← Copa Sudamericana
Copa Sudamericana · Group Stage - 2 April 16, 2026 00:00
Caracas FC
#2 · 8 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Independiente Petrolero
#4 · 0 pts
Wilfred Correa (ast. Eduardo Fereira) 55'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Caracas FC a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Independiente Petrolero 29%). The final result was Caracas FC 1–0 Independiente Petrolero. In 1 previous meetings, Caracas FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Independiente Petrolero.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
3
1.04
Actual xG
1.11
3
Saves
3
47%
Possession
53%
0
Corners
2
14
Tackles
15
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Francisco La Mantía
7'
21'
Luis Palma
Luis Mago
35'
⚽Wilfred Correa · ast. Eduardo Fereira
55'
57'
Alan Mercado / Diego Vargas ↕
57'
Adelan Santos Da Silva / Thomaz ↕
↕ Adrián Fernández / Sebastián González
59'
↕ Lucciano Reinoso / Rodhier Lezama
59'
Charly Vegas
66'
↕ Charly Vegas / Juan Uribe
71'
Juan Uribe
72'
75'
Adelan Santos Da Silva
Francisco La Mantía
76'
Francisco La Mantía
76'
↕ Michael Covea / Jesús Quintero
78'
82'
Wagner / Rudy Cardozo ↕
83'
Gustavo Cristaldo / Daniel Rojas ↕
86'
Jonathan Cristaldo / Willie ↕
Pre-match prediction
38.09%
Caracas ←
32.45%
X
29.46%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Caracas FC) 38.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Caracas
1.31
1.04
-0.27
Independiente
0.68
1.11
+0.43
xG dominance was balanced (1.04 – 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 4 9
1 Cienciano Cienciano 4 7
1 Botafogo Botafogo 4 10
1 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4 7
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4 8
1 River Plate River Plate 4 10
1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4 6
1 Macara Macara 4 8
2 Gremio Gremio 4 7
2 Olimpia Olimpia 4 7
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 4 6
2 America de Cali America de Cali 4 7
2 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 4 6
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4 5
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 4 7
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4 8
3 Racing Club Racing Club 4 4
3 Juventud Juventud 4 5
3 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 4 4
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 4 4
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 4 6
3 Tigre Tigre 4 5
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 4 4
3 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 4 3
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4 1
4 Santos Santos 4 3
4 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4 4
4 Boston River Boston River 4 0
4 Blooming Blooming 4 1
4 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4 0
4 Palestino Palestino 4 2
Lineups
Caracas FC Caracas FC
1
G 7.60
2
E. E. Fereira Penaranda 1 👟 D 7.60
14 F. La Mantia F. La Mantia 76' D 6.60
19
Luis Mago D 7.20
13
J. Yendis D 6.90
15
C. Larotonda M 6.70
33
W. Correa 1 ⚽ M 8.20
37
Charly Vegas 71' M 7.30
17
L. Reinoso 59' M 6.90
10
M. Covea 78' M 6.90
9
Adrián Fernández 59' F 6.20
Bench
4
J. Quintero 12' D 7.00
32
Juan Uribe 19' F 6.20
20
L. A. Maestre Nino M
3
L. Pagano D
11
M. Marquez F
35
R. Lezama 31' F 6.30
7
Robert Hernandez F
27
S. Gonzalez 31' F 6.30
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero
1
G 7.30
3
D 6.30
2
S. Torres D 6.70
5
Luis Palma D 6.30
4
F. Rodriguez D 6.90
50
Diego Vargas 57' M 6.20
6
Daniel Rojas 83' M 6.70
7
R. Cardozo 82' M 6.90
93
Willie 86' M 6.60
10
Thomaz 57' M 6.90
23
R. Rivas F 6.70
Bench
88
Adelan Santos Da Silva 33' M 6.50
20
A. Mercado 33' M 6.50
27
D. Navarro F
19
G. Cristaldo 14' M 6.60
32
H. Leanos D
9
J. E. Cristaldo 11' F 6.50
13
L. Montenegro D
11
R. Lutkowski F
16
R. Montero D
Best on the pitch
W. Correa
M · Caracas
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 48 pass
G · Caracas
7.60
· 17 pass
E. E. Fereira Penaranda
D · Caracas
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 33 pass
Charly Vegas
M · Caracas
7.30
2 shots · 21 pass
G · Independiente
7.30
· 27 pass
Luis Mago
D · Caracas
7.20
1 shots · 45 pass
Caracas FC Caracas FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 17 8% — — —
E. E. Fereira Penaranda D 90 7.60 — 1 1 33 23% 1 — —
F. La Mantia D 76 6.60 — — — 34 30% 2 2 1
Luis Mago D 90 7.20 — — 1 45 39% 1 1 —
J. Yendis D 90 6.90 — — 1 40 32% — — —
C. Larotonda M 90 6.70 — — — 39 32% 2 — —
W. Correa M 90 8.20 1 — 1 48 42% 2 — —
Charly Vegas M 71 7.30 — — 2 21 18% 2 1 —
L. Reinoso M 59 6.90 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
M. Covea M 78 6.90 — — — 30 28% 1 — —
Adrián Fernández F 59 6.20 — — 2 3 3% — — —
J. Quintero D 12 7.00 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Juan Uribe F 19 6.20 — — — 4 2% — 1 —
R. Lezama F 31 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
S. Gonzalez F 31 6.30 — — 1 5 1% 1 — —
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 27 23% — — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 40 34% — — —
S. Torres D 90 6.70 — — — 32 24% 3 — —
Luis Palma D 90 6.30 — — — 23 16% 1 1 —
F. Rodriguez D 90 6.90 — — — 50 38% 3 — —
Diego Vargas M 57 6.20 — — — 18 15% — — —
Daniel Rojas M 83 6.70 — — — 41 37% 1 — —
R. Cardozo M 82 6.90 — — 1 38 32% 2 — —
Willie M 86 6.60 — — 1 32 22% 1 — —
Thomaz M 57 6.90 — — 1 27 21% 1 — —
R. Rivas F 90 6.70 — — 3 14 10% 1 — —
Adelan Santos Da Silva M 33 6.50 — — — 27 22% — 1 —
A. Mercado M 33 6.50 — — — 9 5% — — —
G. Cristaldo M 14 6.60 — — 1 18 12% 2 — —
J. E. Cristaldo F 11 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Independiente Petrolero?
The final score was Caracas FC 1–0 Independiente Petrolero.
What did the model predict before Caracas FC vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Caracas FC win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Independiente Petrolero win.