Caracas FC - Santa Fe
Copa Sudamericana
July 31, 2026 02:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.22%
Win
Caracas FC
30.9%
Draw
32.89%
Win
Santa Fe
1.49
1.24
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.87%)
1X2 Result
✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1
36%
X
31%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
64%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
✓ 83.3% hit rate (66 picks)
Over 2.5
52%
✓ 66.7% hit rate (18 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Caracas FC a 36% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Santa Fe. Expected goals are 1.5 for Caracas FC and 1.2 for Santa Fe (total 2.7), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.87% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Caracas FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santa Fe.
Season Stats
5W
6D
4L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
2.0
1.5
Conceded
0.0
3.2
Shots OT
2.0
2.9
Corners
5.0
43%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
100%
53%
O 2.5
0%
73%
BTTS
0%
20%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Caracas FC
Santa Fe →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Caracas FC
Attack
34
Defence
58
Form
50
Santa Fe
Attack
35
Defence
69
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
24 Jul 2026
0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Caracas FC vs Santa Fe?
The model gives Caracas FC a 36% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 32% for an Santa Fe win.
How many goals are expected in Caracas FC vs Santa Fe?
Expected goals: Caracas FC 1.5, Santa Fe 1.2 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Caracas FC vs Santa Fe?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.87%.