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Cardiff Draconians - Pontardawe Town

FAW Championship December 12, 2026 15:00
Cardiff Draconians
#13 · 7 pts
vs
Pontardawe Town
#14 · 6 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.58%
Win
Cardiff Draconians
30.65%
Draw
28.77%
Win
Pontardawe Town
1.63
Expected xG
0.68

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.58%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 31%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 59%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cardiff Draconians a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Pontardawe Town. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cardiff Draconians and 0.7 for Pontardawe Town (total 2.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.58% probability.

Season Stats

Cardiff Draconians
4W 3D 8L
Pontardawe Town
2W 0D 5L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.6
2.1
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
71%
80%
O 2.5
71%
73%
BTTS
29%
7%
Clean Sht
14%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
65%
O 3.5
53%
BTTS
Cardiff Draconians
4W 1D 5L · at home
Pontardawe Town
0W 0D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.5
2.2
Conceded
2.2
40%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
90%
O 1.5
50%
90%
O 2.5
50%
80%
O 3.5
50%
80%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
75%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cardiff Draconians Pontardawe Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 16.1% 11.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% —
2 13.1% 9.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 7.1% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% — —
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians
L Caerau (Ely) 1–3
W Baglan Dragons 2–1
W llanelli AFC 4–2
L Pontypridd Town 1–4
D Caerphilly Athletic 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town
W Treowen Stars 6–1
L Swansea University 4–0
L Aberystwyth Town 1–0
L Afan Lido 1–0
L Newport City 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians
Attack
47
Defence
56
Form
52
Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town
Attack
19
Defence
44
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

South

# Team G Pts
1 Swansea University Swansea University 7 17
2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 7 16
3 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 7 16
4 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 8 14
5 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 8 13
6 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 8 13
7 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 9 13
8 Afan Lido Afan Lido 9 11
9 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 8 10
10 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 7 10
11 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 8 8
12 Newport City Newport City 6 7
13 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 6 7
14 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 7 6
15 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 6 4
16 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 9 2

What's at stake · South

Top 2 advance to the next round

Cardiff Draconians Pontardawe Town
Current #13 #14
→ Cardiff Draconians #11 #14
→ Draw #11 #14
→ Pontardawe Town #14 #11

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Pontardawe Town?
The model gives Cardiff Draconians a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 28% for an Pontardawe Town win.
How many goals are expected in Cardiff Draconians vs Pontardawe Town?
Expected goals: Cardiff Draconians 1.6, Pontardawe Town 0.7 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Cardiff Draconians vs Pontardawe Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.58%.