Cymru Premier · Regular Season - 11 September 26, 2026 15:30

Cardiff MET

#8 · 25 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Caernarfon Town

#6 · 29 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Caernarfon Town, result Draw

J. Payne 13'

J. Veale 64'

87' O. Evans

90'+8 Z. Clarke

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Caernarfon Town a 62% win probability (draw 15%, Cardiff MET 21%). The final result was Cardiff MET 2–2 Caernarfon Town. In 2 previous meetings, Cardiff MET have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Caernarfon Town.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽J. Payne

13'

14'

P. Mendes

L. Mwandwe

19'

27'

N. Edwards

L. Mwandwe

37'

L. Mwandwe

37'

51'

M. Jones

⚽J. Veale

64'

↕ A. Wildig / J. Edwards

69'

73'

O. Zanzala / R. Sears ↕

73'

S. Nyamwanza / S. Bradley ↕

↕ C. Craven / J. Hooper

86'

87'

O. Evans⚽

↕ S. Snaith / H. Matthews

90'+3

90'+4

C. Marriott

90'+5

P. Mooney / A. Cieslewicz ↕

90'+8

Z. Clarke⚽

Pre-match prediction

21.82%

Cardiff

15.54%

X ←

62.64%

Caernarfon

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.54% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cardiff

1.66

—

—

Caernarfon

3.19

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	The New Saints	16	44
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	16	38
3	Penybont	15	36
4	Colwyn Bay	16	32
5	Airbus UK	16	30
6	Caernarfon Town	16	29
7	Barry Town	16	29
8	Cardiff MET	16	25
9	Cambrian & Clydach	16	19
10	Llandudno	16	16
11	Haverfordwest County AFC	16	16
12	Briton Ferry	16	15
13	Flint Town United	16	14
14	Ammanford AFC	16	12
15	Trefelin	16	6
16	Holywell	15	2