League One
· Regular Season - 43
April 11, 2026 13:30
✓Model correct — prediction Cardiff
O. Kellyman
(ast. J. Bagan)
50'
C. Willock
(ast. A. Robertson)
52'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 50% win probability (draw 22%, Bolton 27%). The final result was Cardiff 2–0 Bolton. In 1 previous meetings, Cardiff have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bolton.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
1
7
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽O. Kellyman
· ast. J. Bagan
50'
⚽C. Willock
· ast. A. Robertson
52'
60'
R. Apter
/
T. Gale
60'
A. Cozier-Duberry
/
C. Christie
60'
R. Rodrigues
/
K. Dempsey
J. Bagan
70'
C. Willock
/ C. Scanlon
77'
A. Robertson
/ D. Turnbull
77'
R. Colwill
/ J. Colwill
78'
83'
T. Ritchie
/
M. Burstow
O. Kellyman
/ Y. Salech
88'
Pre-match prediction
50.26%
Cardiff ←
22.08%
X
27.66%
Bolton
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cardiff)
50.26%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
—
—
1.50
—
—
Lineups
13
85'
G
3
J. Bagan
1 👟
85'
D
48
Dylan Lawlor
85'
D
Dylan Lawlor
85'
D
2
W. Fish
85'
D
38
P. Ng
85'
D
6
R. Wintle
85'
M
R. Wintle
85'
M
18
Alex Robertson
1 👟
77'
M
16
C. Willock
1 ⚽
77'
M
C. Willock
1 ⚽
77'
M
10
R. Colwill
78'
M
R. Colwill
78'
M
11
O. Tanner
85'
M
O. Tanner
85'
M
8
O. Kellyman
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
47
C. Robinson
F
23
C. Scanlon
8'
D
14
D. Turnbull
8'
M
27
J. Colwill
7'
M
J. Colwill
7'
M
44
R. Kpakio
D
R. Kpakio
D
22
Y. Salech
F
Y. Salech
F
1
85'
G
25
Max Conway
85'
D
Max Conway
85'
D
6
George Johnston
85'
D
George Johnston
85'
D
18
Eoin Toal
85'
D
Eoin Toal
85'
D
29
Cyrus Christie
60'
D
Cyrus Christie
60'
D
22
Kyle Dempsey
60'
M
Kyle Dempsey
60'
M
8
J. Sheehan
85'
M
J. Sheehan
85'
M
11
Thierry Gale
60'
M
Thierry Gale
60'
M
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
83'
M
Mason Paul James Burstow
83'
M
14
J. Osei-Tutu
85'
M
J. Osei-Tutu
85'
M
10
Sam Dalby
85'
F
Sam Dalby
85'
F
Bench
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
25'
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
25'
M
3
Chris Forino
D
Chris Forino
D
15
R. Apter
25'
M
27
Rúben Rodrigues
25'
F
Rúben Rodrigues
25'
F
Best on the pitch
C. Willock
M · Cardiff
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
P. Ng
D · Cardiff
7.90
1 shots
· 36 pass
J. Bagan
D · Cardiff
7.60
1 👟
· 43 pass
Dylan Lawlor
D · Cardiff
7.30
· 49 pass
Rúben Rodrigues
F · Bolton
7.20
· 7 pass
J. Sheehan
M · Bolton
7.20
1 shots
· 37 pass
Cardiff — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| J. Bagan | D | 85 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dylan Lawlor | D | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Fish | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | — | — | — |
| P. Ng | D | 85 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Wintle | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Alex Robertson | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| C. Willock | M | 77 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| R. Colwill | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Tanner | M | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| O. Kellyman | F | 85 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Scanlon | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Turnbull | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Colwill | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| Max Conway | D | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| George Johnston | D | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Eoin Toal | D | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Cyrus Christie | D | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Kyle Dempsey | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Thierry Gale | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Sam Dalby | F | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Apter | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Rúben Rodrigues | F | 25 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Bolton?
The final score was Cardiff 2–0 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Bolton?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Cardiff win, 22% to a draw, and 27% to an Bolton win.