← League One
League One · Regular Season - 43 April 11, 2026 13:30
Cardiff
#2 · 91 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Bolton
#5 · 75 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cardiff
O. Kellyman (ast. J. Bagan) 50'
C. Willock (ast. A. Robertson) 52'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 50% win probability (draw 22%, Bolton 27%). The final result was Cardiff 2–0 Bolton. In 1 previous meetings, Cardiff have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bolton.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
1
7
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽O. Kellyman · ast. J. Bagan
50'
⚽C. Willock · ast. A. Robertson
52'
60'
R. Apter / T. Gale ↕
60'
A. Cozier-Duberry / C. Christie ↕
60'
R. Rodrigues / K. Dempsey ↕
J. Bagan
70'
↕ C. Willock / C. Scanlon
77'
↕ A. Robertson / D. Turnbull
77'
↕ R. Colwill / J. Colwill
78'
83'
T. Ritchie / M. Burstow ↕
↕ O. Kellyman / Y. Salech
88'
Pre-match prediction
50.26%
Cardiff ←
22.08%
X
27.66%
Bolton
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cardiff) 50.26% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cardiff
1.92
—
—
Bolton
1.50
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Cardiff Cardiff 4-2-3-1
13
85' G 6.70
3
J. Bagan 1 👟 85' D 7.60
48
D. Lawlor 85' D 7.30
2
W. Fish 85' D 6.90
38
P. Ng 85' D 7.90
6
R. Wintle 85' M 6.70
18
Alex Robertson 1 👟 77' M 6.90
16 C. Willock C. Willock 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.30
10
R. Colwill 78' M 6.90
11 O. Tanner O. Tanner 85' M 6.50
8
O. Kellyman 1 ⚽ 85' F 6.70
Bench
47
C. Robinson F
23
C. Scanlon 8' D 6.50
14
D. Turnbull 8' M 6.30
27
J. Colwill 7' M
44
R. Kpakio D
22 Y. Salech Y. Salech F
Bolton Bolton 4-2-3-1
1
85' G 6.90
25 Max Conway Max Conway 85' D 5.90
6 George Johnston George Johnston 85' D 6.30
18 Eoin Toal Eoin Toal 85' D 6.30
29 Cyrus Christie Cyrus Christie 60' D 6.00
22
K. Dempsey 60' M 6.30
8 Josh Sheehan Josh Sheehan 85' M 7.20
11 Thierry Gale Thierry Gale 60' M 6.20
48 Mason Paul James Burstow Mason Paul James Burstow 83' M 6.30
14 Jordi Osei-Tutu Jordi Osei-Tutu 85' M 6.90
10 Sam Dalby Sam Dalby 85' F 6.30
Bench
19 A. Cozier-Duberry A. Cozier-Duberry 25' M 6.30
3 Chris Forino Chris Forino D
15
R. Apter 25' M 6.70
27 Rúben Rodrigues Rúben Rodrigues 25' F 7.20
Best on the pitch
C. Willock
C. Willock
M · Cardiff
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
P. Ng
D · Cardiff
7.90
1 shots · 36 pass
J. Bagan
D · Cardiff
7.60
1 👟
· 43 pass
D. Lawlor
D · Cardiff
7.30
· 49 pass
Rúben Rodrigues
Rúben Rodrigues
F · Bolton
7.20
· 7 pass
Josh Sheehan
Josh Sheehan
M · Bolton
7.20
1 shots · 37 pass
Cardiff Cardiff — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 85 6.70 — — — 34 25% — — —
J. Bagan D 85 7.60 — 1 — 43 34% 1 1 —
D. Lawlor D 85 7.30 — — — 49 42% 2 — —
W. Fish D 85 6.90 — — — 46 41% — — —
P. Ng D 85 7.90 — — 1 36 30% 2 — —
R. Wintle M 85 6.70 — — 1 41 30% — — —
Alex Robertson M 77 6.90 — 1 3 32 27% — — —
C. Willock M 77 8.30 1 — 2 34 30% — — —
R. Colwill M 78 6.90 — — — 20 16% 2 — —
O. Tanner M 85 6.50 — — 2 20 13% — — —
O. Kellyman F 85 6.70 1 — 3 9 5% — — —
C. Scanlon D 8 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
D. Turnbull M 8 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Colwill M 7 — — — — 5 4% — — —
Bolton Bolton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 85 6.90 — — — 52 34% — — —
Max Conway D 85 5.90 — — — 30 17% 2 — —
George Johnston D 85 6.30 — — 1 49 41% — — —
Eoin Toal D 85 6.30 — — — 36 33% 1 — —
Cyrus Christie D 60 6.00 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
K. Dempsey M 60 6.30 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
Josh Sheehan M 85 7.20 — — 1 37 32% 2 — —
Thierry Gale M 60 6.20 — — — 8 6% — — —
Mason Paul James Burstow M 83 6.30 — — 1 28 18% — — —
Jordi Osei-Tutu M 85 6.90 — — — 23 16% 4 — —
Sam Dalby F 85 6.30 — — 1 17 13% 1 — —
A. Cozier-Duberry M 25 6.30 — — — 10 7% — — —
R. Apter M 25 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Rúben Rodrigues F 25 7.20 — — — 7 5% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Bolton?
The final score was Cardiff 2–0 Bolton.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Bolton?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Cardiff win, 22% to a draw, and 27% to an Bolton win.