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League One · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00
Cardiff
#2 · 91 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Northampton
#24 · 35 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cardiff
O. Tanner (ast. C. Willock) 9'
J. Colwill (ast. R. Colwill) 19'
C. Robinson 37'
O. Tanner 54'
Y. Salech (ast. C. Robinson) 85'
68' (ast. N. Guinness-Walker) J. Evans

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 86% win probability (draw 9%, Northampton 4%). The final result was Cardiff 5–1 Northampton. In 1 previous meetings, Cardiff have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Northampton.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
6
72%
Possession
28%
3
Corners
2
15
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽O. Tanner · ast. C. Willock
9'
⚽J. Colwill · ast. R. Colwill
19'
⚽C. Robinson
37'
42'
S. Hoskins
46'
E. List / J. Vale ↕
46'
K. McAdam / K. Swyer ↕
⚽O. Tanner
54'
↕ R. Colwill / Y. Salech
55'
↕ J. Colwill / A. Robertson
55'
↕ C. Willock / O. Kellyman
65'
↕ O. Tanner / I. Davies
65'
66'
J. Evans / S. Hoskins ↕
68'
ast. N. Guinness-Walker · J. Evans⚽
A. Robertson
74'
80'
T. Taylor / D. Campbell ↕
81'
M. Jacobs / T. Fornah ↕
⚽Y. Salech · ast. C. Robinson
85'
↕ D. Turnbull / R. Tankiewicz
87'
Pre-match prediction
86.07%
Cardiff ←
9.52%
X
4.41%
Northampton
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cardiff) 86.07% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cardiff
2.97
—
—
Northampton
0.43
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Cardiff Cardiff 4-2-3-1
30
83' G 7.30
3
J. Bagan 83' D 8.20
48
D. Lawlor 83' D 7.50
2
W. Fish 83' D 6.90
44
R. Kpakio 83' D 6.60
14
D. Turnbull 83' M 7.60
27
J. Colwill 1 ⚽ 55' M 7.00
16 C. Willock C. Willock 1 👟 65' M 7.30
10
R. Colwill 1 👟 55' M 6.90
11 O. Tanner O. Tanner 2 ⚽ 65' M 8.90
47
C. Robinson 1 ⚽ 1 👟 83' F 8.20
Bench
18
Alex Robertson 28' M 6.20
39
I. Davies 18' F 6.20
8
O. Kellyman 18' M 6.50
38
P. Ng D
22 Y. Salech Y. Salech 1 ⚽ 28' F 6.50
Northampton Northampton 4-4-2
1
83' G 7.30
12
N. Guinness-Walker 1 👟 83' D 7.30
5
J. Guthrie 83' D 5.90
35
83' D 5.90
3
C. McCarthy 83' D 6.20
11
K. Swyer 45' M 6.50
4
D. Campbell 80' M 6.30
8
C. McGeehan 83' M 6.30
14
T. Fornah 81' M 5.90
7
S. Hoskins 66' F 6.60
27
J. Vale 45' F 6.20
Bench
10
E. List 38' M 6.20
15
J. Evans 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.30
26
K. McAdam 38' D 6.30
17
M. Jacobs 2' M
9
T. Eaves F
23
T. Taylor 3' M
Best on the pitch
O. Tanner
O. Tanner
M · Cardiff
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 34 pass
J. Bagan
D · Cardiff
8.20
· 75 pass
C. Robinson
F · Cardiff
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 22 pass
D. Turnbull
M · Cardiff
7.60
2 shots · 85 pass
D. Lawlor
D · Cardiff
7.50
· 70 pass
J. Evans
F · Northampton
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
Cardiff Cardiff — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 83 7.30 — — — 25 21% — — —
J. Bagan D 83 8.20 — — — 75 69% 2 — —
D. Lawlor D 83 7.50 — — — 70 66% 1 — —
W. Fish D 83 6.90 — — — 75 64% — — —
R. Kpakio D 83 6.60 — — 1 62 56% 5 — —
D. Turnbull M 83 7.60 — — 2 85 79% 1 — —
J. Colwill M 55 7.00 1 — 2 27 22% — — —
C. Willock M 65 7.30 — 1 2 37 35% — — —
R. Colwill M 55 6.90 — 1 2 33 26% 1 — —
O. Tanner M 65 8.90 2 — 3 34 31% 1 — —
C. Robinson F 83 8.20 1 1 2 22 20% 2 — —
Alex Robertson M 28 6.20 — — — 26 24% 1 1 —
I. Davies F 18 6.20 — — — 7 5% — — —
O. Kellyman M 18 6.50 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
Y. Salech F 28 6.50 1 — — 3 2% — — —
Northampton Northampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 83 7.30 — — — 34 13% — — —
N. Guinness-Walker D 83 7.30 — 1 — 22 19% 7 — —
J. Guthrie D 83 5.90 — — 1 18 12% 1 — —
D 83 5.90 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
C. McCarthy D 83 6.20 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
K. Swyer M 45 6.50 — — — 11 6% 1 — —
D. Campbell M 80 6.30 — — — 31 27% — — —
C. McGeehan M 83 6.30 — — 1 23 20% 2 — —
T. Fornah M 81 5.90 — — — 15 13% — — —
S. Hoskins F 66 6.60 — — 1 7 6% 1 1 —
J. Vale F 45 6.20 — — — 12 10% 1 — —
E. List M 38 6.20 — — 1 2 1% — — —
J. Evans F 17 7.30 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
K. McAdam D 38 6.30 — — — 8 5% 4 — —
M. Jacobs M 2 — — — — — — — — —
T. Taylor M 3 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Northampton?
The final score was Cardiff 5–1 Northampton.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Northampton?
The model assigned 86% probability to a Cardiff win, 9% to a draw, and 4% to an Northampton win.