League One
· Regular Season - 45
April 25, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Cardiff
O. Tanner
(ast. C. Willock)
9'
J. Colwill
(ast. R. Colwill)
19'
C. Robinson
37'
O. Tanner
54'
Y. Salech
(ast. C. Robinson)
85'
68'
(ast. N. Guinness-Walker)
J. Evans
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 86% win probability (draw 9%, Northampton 4%). The final result was Cardiff 5–1 Northampton. In 1 previous meetings, Cardiff have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Northampton.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
10
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
6
72%
Possession
28%
3
Corners
2
15
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽O. Tanner
· ast. C. Willock
9'
⚽J. Colwill
· ast. R. Colwill
19'
⚽C. Robinson
37'
42'
S. Hoskins
46'
E. List
/
J. Vale
46'
K. McAdam
/
K. Swyer
⚽O. Tanner
54'
R. Colwill
/ Y. Salech
55'
J. Colwill
/ A. Robertson
55'
C. Willock
/ O. Kellyman
65'
O. Tanner
/ I. Davies
65'
66'
J. Evans
/
S. Hoskins
68'
ast. N. Guinness-Walker ·
J. Evans⚽
A. Robertson
74'
80'
T. Taylor
/
D. Campbell
81'
M. Jacobs
/
T. Fornah
⚽Y. Salech
· ast. C. Robinson
85'
D. Turnbull
/ R. Tankiewicz
87'
Pre-match prediction
86.07%
Cardiff ←
9.52%
X
4.41%
Northampton
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cardiff)
86.07%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.97
—
—
0.43
—
—
Lineups
30
83'
G
3
J. Bagan
83'
D
J. Bagan
83'
D
48
D. Lawlor
83'
D
D. Lawlor
83'
D
2
W. Fish
83'
D
W. Fish
83'
D
44
R. Kpakio
83'
D
R. Kpakio
83'
D
14
D. Turnbull
83'
M
D. Turnbull
83'
M
27
J. Colwill
1 ⚽
55'
M
J. Colwill
1 ⚽
55'
M
16
C. Willock
1 👟
65'
M
C. Willock
1 👟
65'
M
10
R. Colwill
1 👟
55'
M
R. Colwill
1 👟
55'
M
11
O. Tanner
2 ⚽
65'
M
O. Tanner
2 ⚽
65'
M
47
C. Robinson
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
F
C. Robinson
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
18
A. Robertson
28'
M
A. Robertson
28'
M
39
I. Davies
18'
F
I. Davies
18'
F
8
O. Kellyman
18'
M
O. Kellyman
18'
M
38
P. Ng
D
P. Ng
D
22
Y. Salech
1 ⚽
28'
F
Y. Salech
1 ⚽
28'
F
1
83'
G
12
N. Guinness-Walker
1 👟
83'
D
N. Guinness-Walker
1 👟
83'
D
5
Jon Guthrie
83'
D
Jon Guthrie
83'
D
35
83'
D
3
C. McCarthy
83'
D
11
Kamarai Swyer
45'
M
Kamarai Swyer
45'
M
4
Dean Campbell
80'
M
Dean Campbell
80'
M
8
C. McGeehan
83'
M
C. McGeehan
83'
M
14
T. Fornah
81'
M
T. Fornah
81'
M
7
Sam Hoskins
66'
F
Sam Hoskins
66'
F
27
J. Vale
45'
F
Bench
10
Elliot List
38'
M
Elliot List
38'
M
15
J. Evans
1 ⚽
17'
F
J. Evans
1 ⚽
17'
F
26
K. McAdam
38'
D
17
M. Jacobs
2'
M
9
T. Eaves
F
23
T. Taylor
3'
M
T. Taylor
3'
M
Best on the pitch
O. Tanner
M · Cardiff
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 34 pass
J. Bagan
D · Cardiff
8.20
· 75 pass
C. Robinson
F · Cardiff
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 22 pass
D. Turnbull
M · Cardiff
7.60
2 shots
· 85 pass
D. Lawlor
D · Cardiff
7.50
· 70 pass
J. Evans
F · Northampton
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Cardiff — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| J. Bagan | D | 83 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Lawlor | D | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 70 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Fish | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 75 | 64% | — | — | — |
| R. Kpakio | D | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 56% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Turnbull | M | 83 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 85 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Colwill | M | 55 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Willock | M | 65 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 35% | — | — | — |
| R. Colwill | M | 55 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Tanner | M | 65 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Robinson | F | 83 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Robertson | M | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Davies | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| O. Kellyman | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Salech | F | 28 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Northampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| N. Guinness-Walker | D | 83 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 19% | 7 | — | — |
| Jon Guthrie | D | 83 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 83 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — | |
| C. McCarthy | D | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Kamarai Swyer | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Dean Campbell | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| C. McGeehan | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Fornah | M | 81 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Sam Hoskins | F | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Vale | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Elliot List | M | 38 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Evans | F | 17 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| K. McAdam | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Jacobs | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Taylor | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Northampton?
The final score was Cardiff 5–1 Northampton.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Northampton?
The model assigned 86% probability to a Cardiff win, 9% to a draw, and 4% to an Northampton win.