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Cardiff - Norwich

EFL Cup August 25, 2026 16:00
Cardiff
vs
Norwich
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.87%
Win
Cardiff
28.95%
Draw
30.18%
Win
Norwich
2.07
Expected xG
1.28

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.96%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 29%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 59%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cardiff a 40% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Norwich. Expected goals are 2.1 for Cardiff and 1.3 for Norwich (total 3.4), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.96% probability.

Season Stats

Cardiff
5W 0D 1L
Norwich
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.0
1.3
Conceded
1.7
6.7
Shots OT
5.7
7.0
Corners
5.0
58%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
83%
BTTS
67%
17%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
88%
BTTS
Cardiff
3W 0D 1L · at home
Norwich
1W 0D 0L · away
2.2
gls/g
2.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
75%
Win %
100%
75%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cardiff Norwich →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.2% 9.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.6% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.6% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Cardiff Cardiff
W Swindon Town 3–2
L Chelsea 1–3
W Wrexham 1–2
W Burnley 1–2
W Cheltenham 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Norwich Norwich
W Milton Keynes Dons 4–1
L Southampton 0–3
W Watford 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 46%

Playing profile

Cardiff Cardiff
Attack
72
Defence
58
Form
71
Norwich Norwich
Attack
36
Defence
88
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cardiff vs Norwich?
The model gives Cardiff a 40% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 30% for an Norwich win.
How many goals are expected in Cardiff vs Norwich?
Expected goals: Cardiff 2.1, Norwich 1.3 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Cardiff vs Norwich?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.96%.