EFL Cup
· Round of 64
August 25, 2026 20:00
Y. Salech
90'+3
25'
(ast. J. Wright)
M. Kvistgaarden
78'
(ast. J. Stacey)
A. Crnac
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Norwich 32%). The final result was Cardiff 1–2 Norwich.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
2
65%
Possession
35%
5
Corners
3
11
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
25'
ast. J. Wright ·
M. Kvistgaarden⚽
P. Ng
27'
I. Davies
33'
46'
A. Brooks
/
A. Musaba
46'
A. Slimane
/
O. Schwartau
50'
P. Mattsson
N. Anyadike
/ R. Colwill
53'
61'
A. Crnac
/
M. Kvistgaarden
61'
K. Fisher
/
D. Yongwa
D. Turnbull
/ J. Moylan
67'
I. Davies
/ Y. Salech
68'
C. Robinson
/ C. Ashford
68'
70'
H. Darling
/
Bruno Alves
78'
ast. J. Stacey ·
A. Crnac⚽
R. Colwill
84'
⚽Y. Salech
90'+3
C. Willock
/ R. Tankiewicz
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
38.4%
Cardiff
29.45%
X
32.15%
Norwich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Norwich)
32.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
—
—
0.97
—
—
Lineups
1
N. Trott
89'
G
N. Trott
89'
G
44
R. Kpakio
89'
D
R. Kpakio
89'
D
3
J. Bagan
89'
D
J. Bagan
89'
D
40
N. Anyadike
53'
D
N. Anyadike
53'
D
38
P. Ng
89'
D
P. Ng
89'
D
18
A. Robertson
89'
M
A. Robertson
89'
M
16
C. Willock
89'
M
C. Willock
89'
M
14
D. Turnbull
67'
M
D. Turnbull
67'
M
27
J. Colwill
89'
M
J. Colwill
89'
M
39
I. Davies
67'
M
I. Davies
67'
M
47
C. Robinson
68'
F
C. Robinson
68'
F
Bench
45
Cian Ashford
21'
F
Cian Ashford
21'
F
23
C. Scanlon
D
C. Scanlon
D
30
H. Tyrer
G
H. Tyrer
G
8
J. Moylan
22'
M
J. Moylan
22'
M
46
Luey Giles
D
Luey Giles
D
43
P. Moreno
M
P. Moreno
M
10
R. Colwill
36'
M
R. Colwill
36'
M
33
R. Tankiewicz
M
R. Tankiewicz
M
9
Y. Salech
1 ⚽
22'
F
Y. Salech
1 ⚽
22'
F
32
D. Grimshaw
89'
G
D. Grimshaw
89'
G
13
D. Yongwa
61'
D
28
Bruno Alves
70'
D
Bruno Alves
70'
D
15
Ruairi McConville
89'
D
Ruairi McConville
89'
D
3
J. Stacey
1 👟
89'
D
J. Stacey
1 👟
89'
D
8
L. Gibbs
89'
M
L. Gibbs
89'
M
7
P. Mattsson
89'
M
P. Mattsson
89'
M
16
Jacob Wright
1 👟
89'
M
Jacob Wright
1 👟
89'
M
49
A. Musaba
45'
M
A. Musaba
45'
M
29
O. Schwartau
45'
F
O. Schwartau
45'
F
30
M. Kvistgaarden
1 ⚽
61'
F
M. Kvistgaarden
1 ⚽
61'
F
Bench
20
A. Ben Slimane
44'
M
A. Ben Slimane
44'
M
11
A. Brooks
44'
M
A. Brooks
44'
M
17
A. Crnac
1 ⚽
28'
F
A. Crnac
1 ⚽
28'
F
46
Errol Mundle-Smith
F
Errol Mundle-Smith
F
6
H. Darling
19'
D
H. Darling
19'
D
35
K. Fisher
28'
D
K. Fisher
28'
D
23
K. McLean
M
K. McLean
M
26
S. Field
M
S. Field
M
1
V. Kovačević
G
V. Kovačević
G
Best on the pitch
M. Kvistgaarden
F · Norwich
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
A. Robertson
M · Cardiff
7.60
1 shots
· 80 pass
A. Crnac
F · Norwich
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Jacob Wright
M · Norwich
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
J. Stacey
D · Norwich
7.20
1 👟
· 30 pass
Ruairi McConville
D · Norwich
7.20
· 40 pass
Cardiff — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott | G | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
| R. Kpakio | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bagan | D | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 83 | 77% | — | — | — |
| N. Anyadike | D | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| P. Ng | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 58 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Robertson | M | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 76% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Willock | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D. Turnbull | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| J. Colwill | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Davies | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Robinson | F | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Cian Ashford | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Moylan | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Colwill | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Y. Salech | F | 22 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Norwich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Grimshaw | G | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D. Yongwa | D | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Alves | D | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ruairi McConville | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | — | — | — |
| J. Stacey | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Gibbs | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Mattsson | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Jacob Wright | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Musaba | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Schwartau | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Kvistgaarden | F | 61 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Ben Slimane | M | 44 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Brooks | M | 44 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Crnac | F | 28 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| H. Darling | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| K. Fisher | D | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Norwich?
The final score was Cardiff 1–2 Norwich.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Norwich?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Cardiff win, 29% to a draw, and 32% to an Norwich win.