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Championship · Regular Season - 6 September 08, 2026 20:45
Cardiff
#16 · 14 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Stoke City
#9 · 20 pts
Joel Colwill (ast. Christopher Willock) 63'
22' (ast. Róbert Boženík) Ben Johnson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Stoke City 27%). The final result was Cardiff 1–1 Stoke City.

Match statistics
27
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
6
71%
Possession
29%
7
Corners
5
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
ast. Róbert Boženík · Ben Johnson⚽
27'
Ben Wilmot
Perry Tian Hee Ng
45'+2
59'
Eric Junior Bocat / Luca Bombino ↕
59'
Bae Jun-ho / George Hirst ↕
⚽Joel Colwill · ast. Christopher Willock
63'
69'
Lamine Cissé / Justin Devenny ↕
69'
Jack Mcglynn / Róbert Boženík ↕
81'
Luke Graham
↕ Christopher Willock / C. Ashford
82'
Pre-match prediction
43.04%
Cardiff
29.23%
X ←
27.73%
Stoke
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.23% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cardiff
2.23
—
—
Stoke
1.03
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Cardiff Cardiff 4-2-3-1
1 N. Trott N. Trott G 7.03
3 J. Bagan J. Bagan D 7.00
4 G. Osho G. Osho D 7.13
5 K. Bielik K. Bielik D 7.30
38 P. Ng P. Ng D 6.75
27 J. Colwill J. Colwill 1 ⚽ M 8.05
18 A. Robertson A. Robertson M 7.20
16 C. Willock C. Willock 1 👟 82' M 7.70
8 J. Moylan J. Moylan M 6.91
11 O. Tanner O. Tanner M 6.01
9 Y. Salech Y. Salech F 6.29
Bench
45 Cian Ashford Cian Ashford 8' F 6.47
47 C. Robinson C. Robinson F 0.00
23 C. Scanlon C. Scanlon D 0.00
14 D. Turnbull D. Turnbull M 0.00
30 H. Tyrer H. Tyrer G 0.00
40 N. Anyadike N. Anyadike D 0.00
43 P. Moreno P. Moreno M 0.00
44 R. Kpakio R. Kpakio D 0.00
33 R. Tankiewicz R. Tankiewicz M 0.00
Stoke City Stoke City 3-5-2
1 V. Johansson V. Johansson G 7.53
5 L. Graham L. Graham D 6.05
40 M. Talovierov M. Talovierov D 6.63
16 B. Wilmot B. Wilmot D 6.17
21 L. Bombino L. Bombino 59' M 6.75
8 E. Galbraith E. Galbraith M 6.77
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M 6.40
13 J. Devenny J. Devenny 69' M 6.24
2 B. Johnson B. Johnson 1 ⚽ M 7.60
9 R. Boženík R. Boženík 1 👟 69' F 7.19
15 G. Hirst G. Hirst 59' F 6.58
Bench
10 Bae Jun-Ho Bae Jun-Ho 31' M 6.48
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson M 0.00
17 E. Bocat E. Bocat 31' D 6.37
43 F. Anderson F. Anderson D 0.00
24 J. Griffiths J. Griffiths G 0.00
7 J. McGlynn J. McGlynn 21' M 6.31
11 L. Cissé L. Cissé 21' F 6.50
42 M. Manhoef M. Manhoef F 0.00
19 T. Rigo T. Rigo M 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Colwill
J. Colwill
M · Cardiff
8.05
1 ⚽
3 shots · 34 pass
C. Willock
C. Willock
M · Cardiff
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 29 pass
B. Johnson
B. Johnson
M · Stoke
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
V. Johansson
V. Johansson
G · Stoke
7.53
· 34 pass
K. Bielik
K. Bielik
D · Cardiff
7.30
· 86 pass
A. Robertson
A. Robertson
M · Cardiff
7.20
2 shots · 81 pass
Cardiff Cardiff — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Trott G 90 7.03 — — 0 38 28% 0 — —
J. Bagan D 90 7.00 — — 1 68 56% 2 — —
G. Osho D 90 7.13 — — 0 77 74% 0 — —
K. Bielik D 90 7.30 — — 0 86 78% 1 — —
P. Ng D 90 6.75 — — 2 71 62% 2 1 —
J. Colwill M 90 8.05 1 — 3 34 31% 1 — —
A. Robertson M 90 7.20 — — 2 81 73% 1 — —
C. Willock M 82 7.70 — 1 1 29 26% 0 — —
J. Moylan M 90 6.91 — — 6 33 24% 2 — —
O. Tanner M 90 6.01 — — 7 33 27% 3 — —
Y. Salech F 90 6.29 — — 5 11 9% 0 — —
Cian Ashford F 8 6.47 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Johansson G 90 7.53 — — 0 34 13% 0 — —
L. Graham D 90 6.05 — — 0 21 17% 1 1 —
M. Talovierov D 90 6.63 — — 0 12 8% 0 — —
B. Wilmot D 90 6.17 — — 0 28 20% 1 1 —
L. Bombino M 59 6.75 — — 0 11 8% 4 — —
E. Galbraith M 90 6.77 — — 1 27 23% 1 — —
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M 90 6.40 — — 0 17 12% 1 — —
J. Devenny M 69 6.24 — — 2 16 8% 1 — —
B. Johnson M 90 7.60 1 — 2 17 11% 1 — —
R. Boženík F 69 7.19 — 1 3 19 16% 0 — —
G. Hirst F 59 6.58 — — 2 8 6% 0 — —
Bae Jun-Ho M 31 6.48 — — 0 7 6% 2 — —
E. Bocat D 31 6.37 — — 1 8 3% 0 — —
J. McGlynn M 21 6.31 — — 0 4 4% 2 — —
L. Cissé F 21 6.50 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Stoke City?
The final score was Cardiff 1–1 Stoke City.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Stoke City?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Cardiff win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an Stoke City win.