Skip to main content
← EFL Cup

Cardiff - Swindon Town

EFL Cup August 08, 2026 16:00
Cardiff
vs
Swindon Town
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.66%
Win
Cardiff
28.46%
Draw
27.88%
Win
Swindon Town
2.78
Expected xG
1.05

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.03%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 28%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 56%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 60%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cardiff a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Swindon Town. Expected goals are 2.8 for Cardiff and 1.1 for Swindon Town (total 3.8), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.03% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Cardiff have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Swindon Town.

Season Stats

Cardiff
4W 0D 1L
Swindon Town
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
1.2
Conceded
2.0
7.2
Shots OT
1.0
7.2
Corners
2.0
57%
Poss.
27%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
80%
BTTS
100%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Cardiff
2W 0D 1L · at home
Swindon Town
0W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
1.3
Conceded
2.0
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cardiff Swindon Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 6.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.3% 8.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% —

Recent form

Cardiff Cardiff
L Chelsea 1–3
W Wrexham 1–2
W Burnley 1–2
W Cheltenham 3–0
W Swindon Town 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Swindon Town Swindon Town
L Cardiff 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Cardiff Cardiff
Attack
67
Defence
52
Form
64
Swindon Town Swindon Town
Attack
36
Defence
48
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Cardiff
0
Draw
0
Swindon Town
12 Aug 2025 EFL Cup 2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cardiff vs Swindon Town?
The model gives Cardiff a 43% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an Swindon Town win.
How many goals are expected in Cardiff vs Swindon Town?
Expected goals: Cardiff 2.8, Swindon Town 1.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Cardiff vs Swindon Town?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.03%.