Championship
· Regular Season - 1
August 17, 2026 21:00
R. Colwill
90'+8
3'
(ast. D. Imray)
K. Moore
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cardiff a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Wrexham 33%). The final result was Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham. In 1 previous meetings, Cardiff have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Wrexham.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
8
0.77
Actual xG
1.49
7
Saves
2
67%
Possession
33%
9
Corners
9
14
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
3'
ast. D. Imray ·
K. Moore⚽
33'
K. Moore
54'
D. Hyam
O. Tanner
/ R. Colwill
62'
C. Willock
/ J. Colwill
63'
67'
B. Whiteman
/
O. Rathbone
72'
S. Smith
/
K. Moore
72'
D. Keillor-Dunn
/
N. Broadhead
75'
G. Dobson
/
M. James
75'
R. Longman
/
D. Imray
A. Robertson
/ C. Robinson
80'
C. Scanlon
/ R. Kpakio
80'
C. Ashford
/ I. Davies
80'
⚽R. Colwill
90'+8
B. Barry-Murphy
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
34.09%
Cardiff
32.23%
X ←
33.68%
Wrexham
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.23%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.41
0.77
-2.64
0.69
1.49
+0.8
Wrexham dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
N. Trott
G
N. Trott
G
23
C. Scanlon
80'
D
C. Scanlon
80'
D
3
J. Bagan
D
J. Bagan
D
4
G. Osho
D
G. Osho
D
38
P. Ng
D
P. Ng
D
18
A. Robertson
80'
M
A. Robertson
80'
M
16
C. Willock
63'
M
C. Willock
63'
M
45
Cian Ashford
80'
M
Cian Ashford
80'
M
8
J. Moylan
M
J. Moylan
M
11
O. Tanner
62'
M
O. Tanner
62'
M
9
Y. Salech
F
Y. Salech
F
Bench
47
C. Robinson
16'
F
C. Robinson
16'
F
14
D. Turnbull
M
D. Turnbull
M
30
H. Tyrer
G
H. Tyrer
G
39
I. Davies
16'
F
I. Davies
16'
F
27
J. Colwill
33'
M
J. Colwill
33'
M
40
N. Anyadike
D
N. Anyadike
D
10
R. Colwill
1 ⚽
34'
M
R. Colwill
1 ⚽
34'
M
44
R. Kpakio
16'
D
R. Kpakio
16'
D
33
R. Tankiewicz
M
R. Tankiewicz
M
22
A. Patterson
G
A. Patterson
G
2
C. Doyle
D
C. Doyle
D
5
D. Hyam
D
D. Hyam
D
26
Z. Vyner
D
Z. Vyner
D
14
George Thomason
M
George Thomason
M
27
L. O'Brien
M
L. O'Brien
M
37
M. James
75'
M
M. James
75'
M
20
O. Rathbone
67'
M
O. Rathbone
67'
M
30
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
1 👟
75'
M
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
1 👟
75'
M
33
N. Broadhead
72'
F
N. Broadhead
72'
F
19
K. Moore
1 ⚽
72'
F
K. Moore
1 ⚽
72'
F
Bench
11
B. Cadamarteri
F
B. Cadamarteri
F
8
B. Whiteman
29'
M
B. Whiteman
29'
M
24
Dan Scarr
D
Dan Scarr
D
7
D. Keillor-Dunn
24'
F
D. Keillor-Dunn
24'
F
21
D. Ward
G
D. Ward
G
15
G. Dobson
21'
M
G. Dobson
21'
M
4
M. Cleworth
D
M. Cleworth
D
47
R. Longman
21'
M
R. Longman
21'
M
28
S. Smith
24'
F
S. Smith
24'
F
Best on the pitch
N. Trott
G · Cardiff
8.50
· 34 pass
C. Doyle
D · Wrexham
7.90
4 shots
· 31 pass
A. Patterson
G · Wrexham
7.90
· 23 pass
K. Moore
F · Wrexham
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
J. Bagan
D · Cardiff
7.50
· 83 pass
P. Ng
D · Cardiff
7.30
· 68 pass
Cardiff — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Trott | G | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| C. Scanlon | D | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bagan | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Osho | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ng | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Robertson | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 81 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Willock | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Cian Ashford | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Moylan | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| O. Tanner | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Salech | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Robinson | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| I. Davies | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Colwill | M | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Colwill | M | 34 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| R. Kpakio | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Wrexham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| C. Doyle | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 4 | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Hyam | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Z. Vyner | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| George Thomason | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| L. O'Brien | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| M. James | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Rathbone | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Broadhead | F | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 72 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Whiteman | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Keillor-Dunn | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Dobson | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Longman | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Smith | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cardiff vs Wrexham?
The final score was Cardiff 1–1 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before Cardiff vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Cardiff win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Wrexham win.