Skip to main content
← National League

Carlisle - Harrogate Town

National League October 28, 2026 20:45
Carlisle
#12 · 20 pts
vs
Harrogate Town
#2 · 31 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.79%
Win
Carlisle
20.55%
Draw
46.66%
Win
Harrogate Town
1.72
Expected xG
2.31

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.25%)
1X2 Result ✓ 71.4% hit rate (28 picks)
1 33%
X 21%
2 47%
Double Chance
1X 53%
X2 67%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Harrogate Town a 46% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 32% for Carlisle. Expected goals are 1.7 for Carlisle and 2.3 for Harrogate Town (total 4.0), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.25% probability.

Season Stats

Carlisle
5W 5D 5L
Harrogate Town
10W 1D 3L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
2.3
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
86%
60%
O 2.5
79%
80%
BTTS
71%
13%
Clean Sht
29%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Carlisle
4W 3D 3L · at home
Harrogate Town
4W 0D 2L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.5
1.6
Conceded
1.3
40%
Win %
67%
70%
Win or Draw
67%
90%
O 1.5
67%
80%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
50%
10%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Carlisle Harrogate Town →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8% 4.1% 4.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.0%
1 3.1% 7.1% 8.2% 6.3% 3.6% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.1% 7.0% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.5% 3.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Carlisle Carlisle
W Solihull Moors 1–2
D Kidderminster Harriers 0–0
W Aldershot Town 1–3
W AFC Fylde 0–2
L Woking 2–5
Home clean sheet (120 days) 17%
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
W Sutton Utd 3–1
W Woking 0–1
W AFC Hornchurch 3–0
W Hartlepool 0–1
W Eastleigh 4–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 35%

Playing profile

Carlisle Carlisle
Attack
38
Defence
69
Form
48
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
Attack
54
Defence
73
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 15 41
2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 14 31
3 Southend Southend 15 29
4 Yeovil Town Yeovil Town 15 28
5 Worthing Worthing 15 28
6 Altrincham Altrincham 15 28
7 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 15 26
8 Barrow Barrow 14 24
9 FC Halifax Town FC Halifax Town 15 21
10 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 15 21
11 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 15 21
12 Carlisle Carlisle 14 20
13 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 14 18
14 Woking Woking 15 18
15 Eastleigh Eastleigh 14 18
16 Sutton Utd Sutton Utd 14 18
17 Tamworth Tamworth 14 17
18 Forest Green Forest Green 12 15
19 Wealdstone Wealdstone 15 15
20 Hartlepool Hartlepool 15 15
21 Boston United Boston United 15 15
22 Scunthorpe Scunthorpe 14 10
23 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 15 10
24 Gateshead Gateshead 14 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
The model gives Carlisle a 32% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 46% for an Harrogate Town win.
How many goals are expected in Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
Expected goals: Carlisle 1.7, Harrogate Town 2.3 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Carlisle vs Harrogate Town?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.25%.