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Carlisle - Salford City

FA Cup November 07, 2026 16:00
Carlisle
vs
Salford City
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.47%
Win
Carlisle
27.12%
Draw
41.41%
Win
Salford City
0.99
Expected xG
1.26

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (13.93%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 27%
2 41%
Double Chance
1X 59%
X2 69%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Salford City a 41% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Carlisle. Expected goals are 1.0 for Carlisle and 1.3 for Salford City (total 2.2), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 13.93% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Carlisle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Salford City.

Season Stats

Carlisle
3W 0D 1L
Salford City
2W 1D 1L
Averages per game
2.8
Goals
2.0
2.2
Conceded
1.2
8.0
Shots OT
5.0
10.5
Corners
4.7
52%
Poss.
34%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Carlisle
2W 0D 0L · at home
Salford City
0W 0D 1L · away
3.5
gls/g
0.0
1.5
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Carlisle Salford City →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6% 13.3% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.5% 13.2% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.2% 6.5% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Carlisle Carlisle
W Tamworth 2–1
L Blackpool 4–1
W Reading 2–3
W Boston United 5–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 17%
Salford City Salford City
L Manchester City 2–0
W Swindon Town 3–2
W Leyton Orient 4–0
D Lincoln 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Carlisle Carlisle
Attack
42
Defence
73
Form
58
Salford City Salford City
Attack
60
Defence
75
Form
74
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Carlisle
0
Draw
1
Salford City
28 Jul 2026 Friendlies Clubs 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Carlisle vs Salford City?
The model gives Carlisle a 31% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 41% for an Salford City win.
How many goals are expected in Carlisle vs Salford City?
Expected goals: Carlisle 1.0, Salford City 1.3 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Carlisle vs Salford City?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.93%.