Carlisle 2–1 Tamworth — pre-match prediction — FA Cup — October 17, 2026 — ForzaPitch

FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying October 17, 2026 16:00 Brunton Park, Carlisle

2 – 1

Final score

6'

45'

48'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carlisle a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Tamworth 23%). The final result was Carlisle 2–1 Tamworth. In 2 previous meetings, Carlisle have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tamworth.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

2

62%

Possession

38%

11

Corners

1

Match Events

⚽

6'

32'

⚽

45'

48'

⚽

70'

75'

96'

96'

Pre-match prediction

49.17%

Carlisle ←

27.74%

X

23.09%

Tamworth

we assigned to the actual result (Carlisle) 49.17% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Carlisle

1.24

—

—

Tamworth

0.80

—

—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Carlisle vs Tamworth?

The final score was Carlisle 2–1 Tamworth.

What did the model predict before Carlisle vs Tamworth?

The model assigned 49% probability to a Carlisle win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Tamworth win.