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FAW Championship · South - 12 October 23, 2026 20:30
Carmarthen Town
#8 · 15 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Caerphilly Athletic
#10 · 14 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carmarthen Town a 47% win probability (draw 23%, Caerphilly Athletic 29%). The final result was Carmarthen Town 1–3 Caerphilly Athletic.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
47.2%
Carmarthen
23.22%
X
29.58%
Caerphilly ←
we assigned to the actual result (Caerphilly Athletic) 29.58% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Carmarthen
2.56
—
—
Caerphilly
1.84
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea University Swansea University 9 21
2 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 11 21
3 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 9 19
4 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 11 19
5 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 11 17
6 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 11 16
8 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 11 15
9 Afan Lido Afan Lido 12 15
10 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 11 14
11 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 10 13
12 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 10 11
13 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 9 10
14 Newport City Newport City 9 9
15 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 9 9
16 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 12 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Caerphilly Athletic?
The final score was Carmarthen Town 1–3 Caerphilly Athletic.
What did the model predict before Carmarthen Town vs Caerphilly Athletic?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Carmarthen Town win, 23% to a draw, and 29% to an Caerphilly Athletic win.