The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrarese a 51% win probability (draw 28%, Cesena 20%). The final result was Carrarese 0–0 Cesena. In 1 previous meetings, Carrarese have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cesena.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
2
1.14
Actual xG
0.45
2
Saves
3
59%
Possession
41%
10
Corners
4
16
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
G. Parlanti
24'
G. Parlanti
/ E. Zuelli
46'
E. Torregrossa
/ T. Rubino
46'
F. Abiuso
55'
58'
T. Corazza
/
G. Frabotta
58'
G. Castrovilli
/
R. Ciervo
N. Schiavi
/ F. Melegoni
65'
N. Calabrese
72'
S. Zanon
/ D. Bouah
76'
78'
M. Castagnetti
/
C. Shpendi
F. Abiuso
/ M. Finotto
83'
85'
M. Piacentini
/
M. Mangraviti
85'
G. Vrioni
/
A. Cerri
Pre-match prediction
51.08%
Carrarese
28.63%
X ←
20.29%
Cesena
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.14
-0.4
0.79
0.45
-0.34
Carrarese dominated by xG (1.14 vs 0.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
6
F. Oliana
D
F. Oliana
D
4
J. Illanes
D
J. Illanes
D
37
N. Calabrese
D
N. Calabrese
D
7
N. Belloni
M
N. Belloni
M
70
Luis Hasa
M
Luis Hasa
M
18
Nicolás Schiavi
65'
M
Nicolás Schiavi
65'
M
77
G. Parlanti
45'
M
G. Parlanti
45'
M
72
S. Zanon
76'
M
S. Zanon
76'
M
92
E. Torregrossa
45'
F
9
F. Abiuso
83'
F
F. Abiuso
83'
F
Bench
13
D. Bouah
14'
M
D. Bouah
14'
M
17
E. Zuelli
45'
M
E. Zuelli
45'
M
28
F. Distefano
F
F. Distefano
F
8
F. Melegoni
25'
M
F. Melegoni
25'
M
26
F. Ruggeri
D
F. Ruggeri
D
73
J. Rouhi
D
J. Rouhi
D
32
M. Finotto
12'
F
M. Finotto
12'
F
21
T. Rubino
45'
F
T. Rubino
45'
F
1
G
99
G. Frabotta
58'
D
G. Frabotta
58'
D
24
M. Mangraviti
85'
D
M. Mangraviti
85'
D
19
D
15
A. Ciofi
D
A. Ciofi
D
25
D. Bisoli
M
D. Bisoli
M
14
T. Berti
M
T. Berti
M
32
M. Olivieri
M
M. Olivieri
M
9
C. Shpendi
78'
M
C. Shpendi
78'
M
11
R. Ciervo
58'
M
R. Ciervo
58'
M
7
A. Cerri
85'
F
A. Cerri
85'
F
Bench
4
M. Castagnetti
12'
M
10
S. Bastoni
M
S. Bastoni
M
27
T. Corazza
32'
D
T. Corazza
32'
D
Best on the pitch
D · Cesena
7.90
· 39 pass
Luis Hasa
M · Carrarese
7.60
2 shots
· 57 pass
F. Melegoni
M · Carrarese
7.50
· 30 pass
M. Mangraviti
D · Cesena
7.50
· 41 pass
N. Belloni
M · Carrarese
7.50
· 44 pass
G · Carrarese
7.50
· 19 pass
Carrarese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| F. Oliana | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Illanes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| N. Calabrese | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Belloni | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Luis Hasa | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás Schiavi | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Parlanti | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Zanon | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Torregrossa | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Abiuso | F | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Bouah | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Zuelli | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| F. Melegoni | M | 25 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Finotto | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Rubino | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
Cesena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| G. Frabotta | D | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mangraviti | D | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 3 | — | — | |
| A. Ciofi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D. Bisoli | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Berti | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Olivieri | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Shpendi | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Ciervo | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Cerri | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Castagnetti | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Corazza | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Carrarese vs Cesena?
The final score was Carrarese 0–0 Cesena.
What did the model predict before Carrarese vs Cesena?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Carrarese win, 28% to a draw, and 20% to an Cesena win.