P. Pinelli
(ast. M. Cisse)
80'
22'
(ast. E. Gliozzi)
F. Ruocco
61'
(ast. A. Castellini)
R. Ilie
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrarese a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Mantova 33%). The final result was Carrarese 1–2 Mantova. In 2 previous meetings, Carrarese have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
1.11
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
3
Match Events
10'
B. Tomasevic
22'
ast. E. Gliozzi ·
F. Ruocco⚽
45'
F. Modesto
46'
A. Meroni
/
B. Tomasevic
J. Rouhi
56'
57'
D. Wieser
/
J. Silva
F. Abiuso
/ G. Marconi
59'
Y. Khafi
/ T. Guercio
59'
61'
ast. A. Castellini ·
R. Ilie⚽
67'
F. Chinetti
/
R. Ilie
67'
D. Bragantini
/
F. Ruocco
J. Rouhi
/ P. Pinelli
75'
⚽P. Pinelli
· ast. M. Cisse
80'
F. Reale
/ M. Finotto
84'
L. Romani
/ N. Schiavi
84'
90'+2
F. Paoletti
/
A. Meroni
Pre-match prediction
34.26%
Carrarese
32.71%
X
33.02%
Mantova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova)
33.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
0.75
-0.55
1.01
1.11
+0.1
Mantova dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.75).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Carrarese vs Mantova?
The final score was Carrarese 1–2 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Carrarese vs Mantova?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Carrarese win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Mantova win.