Serie B · Regular Season - 1 August 22, 2026 19:00 Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara

Carrarese

#20 · 1 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Mantova

#3 · 7 pts

P. Pinelli (ast. M. Cisse) 80'

22' (ast. E. Gliozzi) F. Ruocco

61' (ast. A. Castellini) R. Ilie

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrarese a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Mantova 33%). The final result was Carrarese 1–2 Mantova. In 2 previous meetings, Carrarese have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

4

0.75

Actual xG

1.11

47%

Possession

53%

2

Corners

3

Match Events

10'

B. Tomasevic

22'

ast. E. Gliozzi · F. Ruocco⚽

45'

F. Modesto

46'

A. Meroni / B. Tomasevic ↕

J. Rouhi

56'

57'

D. Wieser / J. Silva ↕

↕ F. Abiuso / G. Marconi

59'

↕ Y. Khafi / T. Guercio

59'

61'

ast. A. Castellini · R. Ilie⚽

67'

F. Chinetti / R. Ilie ↕

67'

D. Bragantini / F. Ruocco ↕

↕ J. Rouhi / P. Pinelli

75'

⚽P. Pinelli · ast. M. Cisse

80'

↕ F. Reale / M. Finotto

84'

↕ L. Romani / N. Schiavi

84'

90'+2

F. Paoletti / A. Meroni ↕

Pre-match prediction

34.26%

Carrarese

32.71%

X

33.02%

Mantova ←

we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 33.02% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Carrarese

1.30

0.75

-0.55

Mantova

1.01

1.11

+0.1

Mantova dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1