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Serie B · Regular Season - 7 October 17, 2026 15:00 Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Carrarese
#18 · 7 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Modena
#2 · 19 pts
Fabio abiuso (ast. Gabriele parlanti) 1'
Tommaso Rubino (ast. Fabio abiuso) 52'
76' (ast. Giacomo Olzer) Andrea Belotti
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Carrarese 30%). The final result was Carrarese 2–1 Modena. In 2 previous meetings, Carrarese have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Modena.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
4
1.78
Actual xG
1.03
3
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
8
21
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Fabio abiuso · ast. Gabriele parlanti
1'
Fabio Andrea
25'
Jonas Rouhi
28'
Fabio abiuso
51'
⚽Tommaso Rubino · ast. Fabio abiuso
52'
56'
Andrea Belotti / Gastón Brugman ↕
56'
Giacomo Olzer / Francesco Zampano ↕
56'
Francesco Folino / Steven Nador ↕
↕ Tommaso Rubino / Jacopo Martini
61'
↕ Fabio abiuso / G. Marconi
71'
76'
ast. Giacomo Olzer · Andrea Belotti⚽
↕ Niccolò Belloni / T. Guercio
81'
↕ Gabriele parlanti / Luka Topalovic
81'
85'
Daniele Montevago / Paulo Azzi ↕
Guido Pagliuca
88'
90'+1
Simone Santoro
G. Marconi
90'+4
90'
Giuseppe Caso
Pre-match prediction
30.14%
Carrarese ←
30.23%
X
39.63%
Modena
we assigned to the actual result (Carrarese) 30.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Carrarese
0.92
1.78
+0.86
Modena
1.38
1.03
-0.35
Carrarese dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.03). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Carrarese Carrarese 3-5-2
1 S. Pizzignacco S. Pizzignacco G 6.55
33 F. Reale F. Reale D 6.87
6 F. Oliana F. Oliana D 6.89
13 F. Ruggeri F. Ruggeri D 6.33
73 J. Rouhi J. Rouhi M 6.76
23 M. Braunöder M. Braunöder M 6.64
18 Nicolás Schiavi Nicolás Schiavi M 6.46
77 G. Parlanti G. Parlanti 1 👟 81' M 7.19
7 N. Belloni N. Belloni 81' M 6.23
10 T. Rubino T. Rubino 1 ⚽ 61' F 8.20
9 F. Abiuso F. Abiuso 1 ⚽ 1 👟 71' F 7.91
Bench
12 G. Garofani G. Garofani G 0.00
91 G. Marconi G. Marconi 19' F 6.12
28 J. Martini J. Martini 29' M 5.87
41 L. Romani L. Romani D 0.00
17 L. Topalović L. Topalović 9' M 6.23
11 M. Cissé M. Cissé F 0.00
32 M. Finotto M. Finotto F 0.00
70 N. Cudrig N. Cudrig F 0.00
66 P. Pinelli P. Pinelli M 0.00
5 T. Macchioni T. Macchioni D 0.00
78 Tommaso Guercio Tommaso Guercio 9' D 6.36
8 Y. Khafi Y. Khafi M 0.00
Modena Modena 3-5-2
1 L. Chichizola L. Chichizola G 6.00
20 B. Nieling B. Nieling D 6.97
6 S. Nador S. Nador 56' D 6.55
77 D. Tonoli D. Tonoli D 6.39
7 F. Zampano F. Zampano 56' M 6.99
42 A. Bianco A. Bianco M 7.20
16 G. Brugman G. Brugman 56' M 6.53
8 S. Santoro S. Santoro M 6.37
27 Paulo Azzi Paulo Azzi 85' M 6.19
70 G. Ambrosino G. Ambrosino F 6.14
10 G. Caso G. Caso F 5.35
Bench
11 A. Belotti A. Belotti 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.26
26 A. Imputato A. Imputato F 0.00
25 A. Laidani A. Laidani G 0.00
34 Diego Ronco Diego Ronco D 0.00
9 D. Montevago D. Montevago 5' F 6.26
23 F. Folino F. Folino 34' D 6.58
72 G. Olzer G. Olzer 1 👟 34' M 6.21
17 K. Bozhanaj K. Bozhanaj M 0.00
29 L. Bacchin L. Bacchin F 0.00
22 L. Consiglio L. Consiglio G 0.00
15 Martino Odero Martino Odero D 0.00
32 W. Acquah W. Acquah M 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Rubino
T. Rubino
F · Carrarese
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
F. Abiuso
F. Abiuso
F · Carrarese
7.91
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 15 pass
A. Belotti
A. Belotti
F · Modena
7.26
1 ⚽
2 shots · 8 pass
A. Bianco
A. Bianco
M · Modena
7.20
2 shots · 64 pass
G. Parlanti
G. Parlanti
M · Carrarese
7.19
1 👟
· 19 pass
F. Zampano
F. Zampano
M · Modena
6.99
2 shots · 25 pass
Carrarese Carrarese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Pizzignacco G 90 6.55 — — 0 31 16% 0 — —
F. Reale D 90 6.87 — — 1 38 33% 3 — —
F. Oliana D 90 6.89 — — 0 32 30% 3 — —
F. Ruggeri D 90 6.33 — — 1 44 37% 0 1 —
J. Rouhi M 90 6.76 — — 0 26 21% 2 1 —
M. Braunöder M 90 6.64 — — 1 35 31% 4 — —
Nicolás Schiavi M 90 6.46 — — 0 45 37% 0 — —
G. Parlanti M 81 7.19 — 1 0 19 15% 3 — —
N. Belloni M 81 6.23 — — 0 35 26% 2 — —
T. Rubino F 61 8.20 1 — 2 17 12% 0 — —
F. Abiuso F 71 7.91 1 1 3 15 12% 0 1 —
G. Marconi F 19 6.12 — — 0 3 3% 2 1 —
J. Martini M 29 5.87 — — 1 15 12% 0 — —
L. Topalović M 9 6.23 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Tommaso Guercio D 9 6.36 — — 0 3 2% 2 — —
Modena Modena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Chichizola G 90 6.00 — — 0 41 30% 0 — —
B. Nieling D 90 6.97 — — 1 66 58% 5 — —
S. Nador D 56 6.55 — — 1 39 36% 1 — —
D. Tonoli D 90 6.39 — — 2 51 46% 0 — —
F. Zampano M 56 6.99 — — 2 25 22% 1 — —
A. Bianco M 90 7.20 — — 2 64 59% 3 — —
G. Brugman M 56 6.53 — — 0 29 25% 2 — —
S. Santoro M 90 6.37 — — 1 47 41% 4 1 —
Paulo Azzi M 85 6.19 — — 0 32 26% 0 — —
G. Ambrosino F 90 6.14 — — 1 23 17% 1 — —
G. Caso F 90 5.35 — — 1 25 20% 0 1 —
A. Belotti F 34 7.26 1 — 2 8 7% 0 — —
D. Montevago F 5 6.26 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
F. Folino D 34 6.58 — — 0 29 25% 0 — —
G. Olzer M 34 6.21 — 1 0 11 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Carrarese vs Modena?
The final score was Carrarese 2–1 Modena.
What did the model predict before Carrarese vs Modena?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Carrarese win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Modena win.