Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 18, 2026 20:00 Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara

Carrarese

#18 · 7 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Sampdoria

#19 · 5 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrarese a 45% win probability (draw 40%, Sampdoria 14%). The final result was Carrarese 2–0 Sampdoria. In 1 previous meetings, Carrarese have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sampdoria.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

1

2.02

Actual xG

0.55

48%

Possession

52%

4

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

45.7%

Carrarese ←

40.2%

X

14.11%

Sampdoria

we assigned to the actual result (Carrarese) 45.7% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Carrarese

0.93

2.02

+1.09

Sampdoria

0.31

0.55

+0.24

Carrarese dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	8	22
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	8	14
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Avellino	9	12
10	Cesena	9	11
11	Virtus Entella	9	10
12	Arezzo	8	10
13	Hellas Verona	8	9
14	Cremonese	9	9
15	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
16	Juve Stabia	8	8
17	Empoli	9	7
18	Carrarese	8	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5