Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 18, 2026 20:00 Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara

Carrarese

#20 · 1 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Sampdoria

#19 · 1 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrarese a 45% win probability (draw 40%, Sampdoria 14%). The final result was Carrarese 2–0 Sampdoria. In 1 previous meetings, Carrarese have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sampdoria.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

1

2.02

Actual xG

0.55

48%

Possession

52%

4

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

45.7%

Carrarese ←

40.2%

X

14.11%

Sampdoria

we assigned to the actual result (Carrarese) 45.7% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Carrarese

0.93

2.02

+1.09

Sampdoria

0.31

0.55

+0.24

Carrarese dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	3	9
2	Sudtirol	4	8
3	Mantova	3	7
4	Modena	4	7
5	Ascoli	4	7
6	Padova	4	7
7	Arezzo	4	6
8	Pisa	4	6
9	Avellino	3	6
10	Empoli	4	6
11	Cesena	3	5
12	Vicenza Virtus	4	5
13	Benevento	4	4
14	Virtus Entella	4	4
15	Hellas Verona	4	4
16	Cremonese	3	3
17	Catanzaro	4	3
18	Juve Stabia	4	2
19	Sampdoria	3	1
20	Carrarese	4	1