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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28 April 06, 2026 23:45
Casa Pia
#16 · 29 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Benfica
#3 · 77 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Benfica, result Pareggio
R. Brito 78'
68' (ast. A. Schjelderup) R. Rios

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Benfica a 68% win probability (draw 15%, Casa Pia 15%). The final result was Casa Pia 1–1 Benfica. In 1 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Benfica.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
3
0.36
Actual xG
1.67
2
Saves
1
22%
Possession
78%
3
Corners
12
12
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
↕ T. Morais / K. Osundina
46'
58'
G. Prestianni / D. Lukebakio ↕
68'
ast. A. Schjelderup · R. Rios⚽
↕ Cassiano / C. Mendes
70'
70'
G. Sudakov / Rafa Silva ↕
⚽R. Brito
78'
81'
F. Ivanovic / A. Bah ↕
81'
Anisio / E. Barrenechea ↕
Patrick Sequeira
85'
↕ P. Rosas / A. Conte
87'
↕ R. Brito / J. Marques
87'
↕ J. Livolant / K. Nsona
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
15.62%
Casa
15.43%
X ←
68.96%
Benfica
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Casa
0.88
0.36
-0.52
Benfica
2.60
1.67
-0.93
Benfica dominated by xG (1.67 vs 0.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Casa Pia Casa Pia 3-4-3
1 Patrick Sequeira Patrick Sequeira G 6.90
43 David Sousa David Sousa D 6.70
18
A. Geraldes D 6.60
4 João Goulart João Goulart D 6.20
75 Pedro Rosas Pedro Rosas 87' M 7.00
8
R. Brito 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.60
24
I. Mohamed M 6.70
72 Gaizka Larrazabal Gaizka Larrazabal M 6.60
21 Tiago Morais Tiago Morais 45' F 6.30
90
Cassiano 70' F 6.70
29 J. Livolant J. Livolant 89' F 6.60
Bench
5 Abdu Conté Abdu Conté 11' D 6.70
99 Claudio Mendes Claudio Mendes 20' F 6.00
95 Ivan Mandić Ivan Mandić G
11 Joao Marques Joao Marques 11' M 6.60
19 Kevin Prieto Kevin Prieto F
Benfica Benfica 4-2-3-1
1 Anatoliy Trubin Anatoliy Trubin G 6.60
26 Samuel Dahl Samuel Dahl D 6.20
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi D 7.20
4
D 7.20
6 Alexander Bah Alexander Bah 81' D 6.50
5 Enzo Barrenechea Enzo Barrenechea 81' M 7.20
20 R. Rios R. Rios 1 ⚽ M 7.60
21 A. Schjelderup A. Schjelderup 1 👟 M 7.70
27 Rafa Silva Rafa Silva 70' M 6.90
11 D. Lukebakio D. Lukebakio 58' M 6.30
14 V. Pavlidis V. Pavlidis F 6.50
Bench
72
Anísio Cabral 9' F 6.20
58
Daniel Banjaqui D
9 Franjo Ivanović Franjo Ivanović 9' F 6.30
10 Georgiy Sudakov Georgiy Sudakov 20' M 6.50
25 Gianluca Prestianni Gianluca Prestianni 32' F 6.90
64 Gonçalo Oliveira Gonçalo Oliveira D
Best on the pitch
A. Schjelderup
A. Schjelderup
M · Benfica
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 43 pass
R. Rios
R. Rios
M · Benfica
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 65 pass
R. Brito
M · Casa
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Enzo Barrenechea
Enzo Barrenechea
M · Benfica
7.20
· 53 pass
D · Benfica
7.20
· 113 pass
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
D · Benfica
7.20
· 82 pass
Casa Pia Casa Pia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Patrick Sequeira G 90 6.90 — — — 29 11% — 1 —
David Sousa D 90 6.70 — — — 9 5% 1 — —
A. Geraldes D 90 6.60 — — — 11 3% — — —
João Goulart D 90 6.20 — — — 13 6% — — —
Pedro Rosas M 87 7.00 — — 2 6 4% 2 — —
R. Brito M 87 7.60 1 — 1 17 9% 1 — —
I. Mohamed M 90 6.70 — — — 18 9% 4 — —
Gaizka Larrazabal M 90 6.60 — — 1 19 8% 2 — —
Tiago Morais F 45 6.30 — — 1 5 2% — — —
Cassiano F 70 6.70 — — — 10 4% — — —
J. Livolant F 89 6.60 — — — 15 8% — — —
Abdu Conté D 11 6.70 — — — 2 — 1 — —
Claudio Mendes F 20 6.00 — — — 5 1% — — —
Joao Marques M 11 6.60 — — — 1 — 1 — —
Benfica Benfica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anatoliy Trubin G 90 6.60 — — — 16 13% — — —
Samuel Dahl D 90 6.20 — — — 64 51% 1 — —
N. Otamendi D 90 7.20 — — — 82 73% — — —
D 90 7.20 — — — 113 107% 3 — —
Alexander Bah D 81 6.50 — — — 68 53% 2 — —
Enzo Barrenechea M 81 7.20 — — — 53 48% 1 — —
R. Rios M 90 7.60 1 — 3 65 57% 4 — —
A. Schjelderup M 90 7.70 — 1 2 43 37% — — —
Rafa Silva M 70 6.90 — — 1 19 17% 1 — —
D. Lukebakio M 58 6.30 — — 2 18 16% 1 — —
V. Pavlidis F 90 6.50 — — 2 26 16% — — —
Anísio Cabral F 9 6.20 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Franjo Ivanović F 9 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Georgiy Sudakov M 20 6.50 — — 1 17 15% — — —
Gianluca Prestianni F 32 6.90 — — — 13 11% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Benfica?
The final score was Casa Pia 1–1 Benfica.
What did the model predict before Casa Pia vs Benfica?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Casa Pia win, 15% to a draw, and 68% to an Benfica win.