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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6 September 12, 2026 19:00 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior
Casa Pia
#17 · 4 pts
1 – 4
Final score
FC Porto
#1 · 21 pts
Henrique Araújo 43' (pen.)
45'+3 (ast. Pablo Rosario) André Silva
60' (ast. Gabri Veiga) Jakub Kiwior
66' Borja Sainz
(pen.) 90'+1 Santiago Giménez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Casa Pia 24%). The final result was Casa Pia 1–4 FC Porto. In 2 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Porto.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
17
5
Shots on target
4
0
Saves
4
38%
Possession
62%
5
Corners
10
12
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Henrique Araújo (pen.)
43'
45'+3
ast. Pablo Rosario · André Silva⚽
45'
Jakub Kiwior
Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira
53'
Andre Geraldes
54'
60'
ast. Gabri Veiga · Jakub Kiwior⚽
62'
Borja Sainz / William Gomes ↕
62'
Santiago Giménez / André Silva ↕
66'
Borja Sainz⚽
↕ Benjamin Pauwels / Evans Maurin
68'
70'
Alan Gonzalo Varela / Hwang In-Beom ↕
↕ Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri / João Pedro
74'
↕ Henrique Araújo / Cassiano
74'
80'
Martim Fernandes / Alberto Costa ↕
80'
Seko Fofana / Gabri Veiga ↕
David Sousa
87'
↕ João Rego / Aymen Zouin
88'
90'+1
(pen.) Santiago Giménez⚽
Ivan Mandic
90'
Pre-match prediction
24.7%
Casa
27.92%
X
47.38%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto) 47.38% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Casa
0.49
—
—
FC
1.80
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 7 21
2 Benfica Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 7 15
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 7 15
5 Arouca Arouca 7 11
6 SC Braga SC Braga 6 11
7 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 7 11
8 Estrela Estrela 7 10
9 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 6 8
10 Alverca Alverca 7 8
11 Maritimo Maritimo 7 8
12 Moreirense Moreirense 7 8
13 Famalicao Famalicao 7 7
14 Vitória SC Vitória SC 7 5
15 Nacional Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 7 4
17 Casa Pia Casa Pia 7 4
18 Estoril Estoril 7 2
Lineups
Casa Pia Casa Pia 4-2-3-1
95 Ivan Mandić Ivan Mandić G 5.33
75 Pedro Rosas Pedro Rosas D 5.90
43 David Sousa David Sousa D 5.66
3 Kaly Kaly D 5.48
18 Geraldes Geraldes D 4.97
80 L. Ofori L. Ofori M 6.03
16 Silvi Silvi M 6.50
77 B. Pauwels B. Pauwels 68' M 5.84
70 João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo 88' M 5.87
11 M. El Boukammiri M. El Boukammiri 74' M 6.09
9 Henrique Araújo Henrique Araújo 1 ⚽ 74' F 6.77
Bench
59 Abdu Dafe Abdu Dafe M 0.00
20 A. Jatta A. Jatta F 0.00
21 A. Zouin A. Zouin 2' F 6.30
90 Cassiano Cassiano 16' F 6.55
17 E. Maurin E. Maurin 22' F 6.30
8 Gabi Pereira Gabi Pereira M 0.00
4 João Goulart João Goulart D 0.00
98 JP JP 16' M 6.02
19 K. Prieto K. Prieto F 0.00
1 P. Sequeira P. Sequeira G 0.00
10 Rochinha Rochinha F 0.00
24 S. Pérez S. Pérez M 0.00
FC Porto FC Porto 4-3-3
99 Diogo Costa Diogo Costa G 6.86
74 Francisco Moura Francisco Moura D 6.64
4 J. Kiwior J. Kiwior 1 ⚽ D 7.28
5 J. Bednarek J. Bednarek D 7.03
20 Alberto Baio Alberto Baio 80' D 6.29
10 Gabri Veiga Gabri Veiga 1 👟 80' M 7.17
13 P. Rosario P. Rosario 1 👟 M 6.82
16 Hwang In-Beom Hwang In-Beom 70' M 6.50
11 Pepê Aquino Pepê Aquino F 6.11
19 André Silva André Silva 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.96
7 William William 62' F 6.37
Bench
22 A. Varela A. Varela 20' M 6.21
17 Borja Sainz Borja Sainz 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.42
14 Cláudio Ramos Cláudio Ramos G 0.00
21 D. Prpić D. Prpić D 0.00
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec F 0.00
50 J. Afonso J. Afonso G 0.00
52 Martim Fernandes Martim Fernandes 10' D 6.16
18 N. Pérez N. Pérez D 0.00
42 S. Fofana S. Fofana 10' M 6.04
29 S. Giménez S. Giménez 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.71
33 Souza Souza D 0.00
58 T. Silva T. Silva M 0.00
Best on the pitch
André Silva
André Silva
F · FC
7.96
1 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
S. Giménez
S. Giménez
F · FC
7.71
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
Borja Sainz
Borja Sainz
F · FC
7.42
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
J. Kiwior
J. Kiwior
D · FC
7.28
1 ⚽
1 shots · 89 pass
Gabri Veiga
Gabri Veiga
M · FC
7.17
1 👟
3 shots · 22 pass
J. Bednarek
J. Bednarek
D · FC
7.03
1 shots · 69 pass
Casa Pia Casa Pia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ivan Mandić G 90 5.33 — — 0 37 10% 0 1 —
Pedro Rosas D 90 5.90 — — 0 12 9% 1 — —
David Sousa D 90 5.66 — — 0 14 11% 2 1 —
Kaly D 90 5.48 — — 0 23 17% 2 1 —
Geraldes D 90 4.97 — — 0 20 14% 0 1 —
L. Ofori M 90 6.03 — — 0 19 15% 2 — —
Silvi M 90 6.50 — — 2 27 20% 1 — —
B. Pauwels M 68 5.84 — — 1 5 1% 0 — —
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo M 88 5.87 — — 5 25 19% 1 — —
M. El Boukammiri M 74 6.09 — — 2 19 16% 1 — —
Henrique Araújo F 74 6.77 1 — 2 16 14% 0 — —
A. Zouin F 2 6.30 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Cassiano F 16 6.55 — — 1 3 1% 0 — —
E. Maurin F 22 6.30 — — 2 9 7% 0 — —
JP M 16 6.02 — — 0 11 9% 2 — —
FC Porto FC Porto — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diogo Costa G 90 6.86 — — 0 28 19% 0 — —
Francisco Moura D 90 6.64 — — 0 33 27% 2 — —
J. Kiwior D 90 7.28 1 — 1 89 77% 1 1 —
J. Bednarek D 90 7.03 — — 1 69 65% 0 — —
Alberto Baio D 80 6.29 — — 2 23 18% 1 — —
Gabri Veiga M 80 7.17 — 1 3 22 15% 0 — —
P. Rosario M 90 6.82 — 1 2 26 22% 2 — —
Hwang In-Beom M 70 6.50 — — 0 26 22% 1 — —
Pepê Aquino F 90 6.11 — — 0 25 15% 1 — —
André Silva F 62 7.96 1 — 3 10 7% 0 — —
William F 62 6.37 — — 3 14 8% 0 — —
A. Varela M 20 6.21 — — 0 14 13% 0 — —
Borja Sainz F 28 7.42 1 — 1 5 4% 1 — —
Martim Fernandes D 10 6.16 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
S. Fofana M 10 6.04 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
S. Giménez F 28 7.71 1 — 1 2 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
The final score was Casa Pia 1–4 FC Porto.
What did the model predict before Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Casa Pia win, 27% to a draw, and 47% to an FC Porto win.