Casa Pia - Rio Ave

Primeira Liga May 16, 2026 19:00

Casa Pia

#16 · 29 pts

19:00

vs

Rio Ave

#13 · 35 pts

Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 16.3°C 💨 25 km/h · Rio Maior

⚡ Pre-match analysis

28.66%

Win

Casa Pia

32.99%

Draw

38.34%

Win

Rio Ave

0.63

Expected xG

0.95

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rio Ave a 38% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Casa Pia. Expected goals are 0.6 for Casa Pia and 0.9 for Rio Ave (total 1.6), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 20.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rio Ave.

Score Matrix

↕ Casa Pia Rio Ave →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	20.7%	19.6%	9.3%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
1	13.0%	12.3%	5.8%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
2	4.1%	3.9%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%	—
3	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	—	—
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	—	—	—
5	—	—	—	—	—	—

Recent form

Casa Pia

W Guimaraes 0–1

L Tondela 0–1

L GIL Vicente 2–1

L SC Braga 0–1

D Santa Clara 0–0

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 19%

Rio Ave

L Sporting CP 1–4

D GIL Vicente 0–0

L Guimaraes 2–0

D AVS 2–2

W Santa Clara 0–2

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 28%

Playing profile

Casa Pia

Attack

22

Defence

62

Form

31

Rio Ave

Attack

40

Defence

62

Form

45

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0

Casa Pia

0

Draw

1

Rio Ave

L 4 Jan 2026 Primeira Liga 1–3

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	33	85
2	Sporting CP	33	79
3	Benfica	33	77
4	SC Braga	33	58
5	Famalicao	33	53
6	GIL Vicente	33	50
7	Moreirense	33	42
8	Guimaraes	33	42
9	Estoril	33	39
10	Arouca	33	39
11	Alverca	33	39
12	Santa Clara	33	36
13	Rio Ave	33	35
14	Nacional	33	31
15	Estrela	33	29
16	Casa Pia	33	29
17	Tondela	33	28
18	AVS	33	20