G. Larrazabal
(ast. D. Livramento)
35'
52'
J. Blesa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rio Ave a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Casa Pia 32%). The final result was Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave. In 1 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rio Ave.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
2.34
Actual xG
0.61
2
Saves
4
41%
Possession
59%
9
Corners
0
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽G. Larrazabal
· ast. D. Livramento
35'
52'
J. Blesa⚽
S. Perez
/ R. Brito
59'
D. Livramento
/ J. Livolant
59'
63'
A. Papakanellos
/
D. Spikic
K. Prieto
/ A. Conte
76'
J. Marques
80'
82'
O. Pohlmann
/
Diogo Bezerra
P. Rosas
/ K. Osundina
86'
L. Ofori
/ I. Mohamed
86'
88'
J. Lomboto
/
T. Monteiro
88'
L. Buta
/
J. Tome
Pre-match prediction
32.47%
Casa
31.94%
X ←
35.59%
Rio
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.63
2.34
+1.71
0.95
0.61
-0.34
Casa Pia dominated by xG (2.34 vs 0.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
3
Kaly
D
Kaly
D
4
João Goulart
D
João Goulart
D
75
Pedro Rosas
86'
M
Pedro Rosas
86'
M
80
L. Ofori
86'
M
L. Ofori
86'
M
42
S. Pérez
59'
M
S. Pérez
59'
M
19
K. Prieto
76'
M
K. Prieto
76'
M
11
João Marques
F
10
D. Livramento
1 👟
59'
F
D. Livramento
1 👟
59'
F
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
1 ⚽
F
Gaizka Larrazabal
1 ⚽
F
Bench
5
Abdu Conté
14'
D
Abdu Conté
14'
D
99
Claudio
F
18
Geraldes
D
Geraldes
D
24
I. Mohamed
11'
M
I. Mohamed
11'
M
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
29
J. Livolant
31'
F
J. Livolant
31'
F
6
José Fonte
D
José Fonte
D
13
Oluwakorede Osundina
11'
F
Oluwakorede Osundina
11'
F
8
Rafael Brito
31'
M
Rafael Brito
31'
M
99
E. van der Gouw
G
E. van der Gouw
G
77
O. Richards
D
O. Richards
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
Gustavo Mancha
D
32
Jakub Brabec
D
Jakub Brabec
D
20
João Tomé
88'
D
João Tomé
88'
D
5
A. Ntoi
M
A. Ntoi
M
44
T. Nikitscher
M
T. Nikitscher
M
18
D. Špikić
63'
M
D. Špikić
63'
M
11
J. Blesa
1 ⚽
M
J. Blesa
1 ⚽
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
82'
M
Diogo Bezerra
82'
M
9
Tamble Monteiro
88'
F
Tamble Monteiro
88'
F
Bench
19
A. Papakanellos
27'
M
A. Papakanellos
27'
M
1
Cezary Miszta
G
Cezary Miszta
G
54
G. Liavas
M
G. Liavas
M
63
Julien Lomboto
9'
D
Julien Lomboto
9'
D
14
K. Zoabi
F
24
Leonardo Buta
9'
D
Leonardo Buta
9'
D
80
Ole Pohlmann
8'
M
Ole Pohlmann
8'
M
25
Rafael Lobato
F
Rafael Lobato
F
27
T. Medina
M
T. Medina
M
Best on the pitch
João Marques
F · Casa
8.30
2 shots
· 32 pass
David Sousa
D · Casa
7.30
1 shots
· 29 pass
Jakub Brabec
D · Rio
7.30
· 51 pass
E. van der Gouw
G · Rio
7.30
· 42 pass
Diogo Bezerra
M · Rio
7.20
1 shots
· 25 pass
Gustavo Mancha
D · Rio
7.20
· 63 pass
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Kaly | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| João Goulart | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| L. Ofori | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Pérez | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Prieto | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| João Marques | F | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Livramento | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdu Conté | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Mohamed | M | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Livolant | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Brito | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Rio Ave — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. van der Gouw | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 27% | — | — | — |
| O. Richards | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakub Brabec | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| João Tomé | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ntoi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Nikitscher | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Špikić | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Blesa | M | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Tamble Monteiro | F | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Papakanellos | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Julien Lomboto | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Buta | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ole Pohlmann | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?
The final score was Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave.
What did the model predict before Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Casa Pia win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Rio Ave win.