G. Larrazabal
(ast. D. Livramento)
35'
52'
J. Blesa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rio Ave a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Casa Pia 32%). The final result was Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave. In 1 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rio Ave.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
2.34
Actual xG
0.61
2
Saves
4
41%
Possession
59%
9
Corners
0
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽G. Larrazabal
· ast. D. Livramento
35'
52'
J. Blesa⚽
S. Perez
/ R. Brito
59'
D. Livramento
/ J. Livolant
59'
63'
A. Papakanellos
/
D. Spikic
K. Prieto
/ A. Conte
76'
J. Marques
80'
82'
O. Pohlmann
/
Diogo Bezerra
P. Rosas
/ K. Osundina
86'
L. Ofori
/ I. Mohamed
86'
88'
J. Lomboto
/
T. Monteiro
88'
L. Buta
/
J. Tome
Pre-match prediction
32.47%
Casa
31.94%
X ←
35.59%
Rio
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.63
2.34
+1.71
0.95
0.61
-0.34
Casa Pia dominated by xG (2.34 vs 0.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
3
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
D
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
D
4
João Goulart
D
João Goulart
D
75
Pedro Rosas
86'
M
Pedro Rosas
86'
M
80
Lawrence Ofori
86'
M
Lawrence Ofori
86'
M
42
Sebastián Pérez
59'
M
Sebastián Pérez
59'
M
19
Kevin Prieto
76'
M
Kevin Prieto
76'
M
11
João Marques
F
João Marques
F
10
Dailon Rocha Livramento
1 👟
59'
F
Dailon Rocha Livramento
1 👟
59'
F
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
1 ⚽
F
Gaizka Larrazabal
1 ⚽
F
Bench
5
Abdu Conté
14'
D
Abdu Conté
14'
D
18
André Geraldes
D
André Geraldes
D
99
Claudio Mendes
F
Claudio Mendes
F
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
24
Iyad Mohamed
11'
M
Iyad Mohamed
11'
M
29
J. Livolant
31'
F
J. Livolant
31'
F
6
José Fonte
D
José Fonte
D
13
K. Osundina
11'
F
8
Rafael Brito
31'
M
Rafael Brito
31'
M
99
Ennio Van Der Gouw
G
Ennio Van Der Gouw
G
77
Omar Richards
D
Omar Richards
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
Gustavo Mancha
D
32
Jakub Brabec
D
Jakub Brabec
D
20
João Tomé
88'
D
João Tomé
88'
D
5
A. Ntoi
M
A. Ntoi
M
44
Tamás Nikitscher
M
Tamás Nikitscher
M
18
Dario Špikić
63'
M
Dario Špikić
63'
M
11
Jalen Blesa
1 ⚽
M
Jalen Blesa
1 ⚽
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
82'
M
Diogo Bezerra
82'
M
9
Tamblé Monteiro
88'
F
Tamblé Monteiro
88'
F
Bench
19
Antonis Papakanellos
27'
M
Antonis Papakanellos
27'
M
1
Cezary Miszta
G
Cezary Miszta
G
54
Georgios Liavas
M
Georgios Liavas
M
63
Julien Lomboto
9'
D
Julien Lomboto
9'
D
14
Karem Zoabi
F
Karem Zoabi
F
24
Leonardo Buta
9'
D
Leonardo Buta
9'
D
80
Olinho
8'
M
Olinho
8'
M
25
Rafael Lobato
F
Rafael Lobato
F
27
Tobias Medina
M
Tobias Medina
M
Best on the pitch
João Marques
F · Casa
8.30
2 shots
· 32 pass
David Sousa
D · Casa
7.30
1 shots
· 29 pass
Jakub Brabec
D · Rio
7.30
· 51 pass
Ennio Van Der Gouw
G · Rio
7.30
· 42 pass
Diogo Bezerra
M · Rio
7.20
1 shots
· 25 pass
Gustavo Mancha
D · Rio
7.20
· 63 pass
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | — | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| João Goulart | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Ofori | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Pérez | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Prieto | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| João Marques | F | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdu Conté | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Iyad Mohamed | M | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Livolant | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. Osundina | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Brito | M | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Rio Ave — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ennio Van Der Gouw | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Omar Richards | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakub Brabec | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| João Tomé | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ntoi | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Tamás Nikitscher | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Dario Špikić | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Jalen Blesa | M | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 35 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Tamblé Monteiro | F | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Antonis Papakanellos | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Julien Lomboto | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Buta | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Olinho | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?
The final score was Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave.
What did the model predict before Casa Pia vs Rio Ave?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Casa Pia win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Rio Ave win.