The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Casa Pia a 36% win probability (draw 34%, Santa Clara 28%). The final result was Casa Pia 0–0 Santa Clara. In 1 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santa Clara.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
2
1.27
Actual xG
0.19
2
Saves
3
33%
Possession
67%
4
Corners
6
17
Tackles
7
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
58'
Lucas Soares
I. Mohamed
/ L. Ofori
63'
Cassiano
/ C. Mendes
63'
67'
Diogo Calila
/
Lucas Soares
67'
Darlan
/
J. Tavares
J. Marques
/ D. Livramento
72'
R. Brito
/ S. Perez
73'
P. Rosas
74'
74'
Fernando
/
G. Paciencia
74'
Brenner
/
Vinicius Lopes
85'
Welinton Torrao
/
Gabriel Silva
J. Livolant
/ K. Osundina
86'
C. Mendes
88'
G. Larrazabal
90'+7
90'
H. Silva
Pre-match prediction
36.56%
Casa
34.81%
X ←
28.63%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
1.27
+0.46
0.83
0.19
-0.64
Casa Pia dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
18
André Geraldes
D
André Geraldes
D
4
João Goulart
D
João Goulart
D
75
Pedro Rosas
M
Pedro Rosas
M
8
Rafael Brito
73'
M
Rafael Brito
73'
M
24
Iyad Mohamed
63'
M
Iyad Mohamed
63'
M
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
M
Gaizka Larrazabal
M
11
João Marques
73'
F
João Marques
73'
F
90
Cassiano
63'
F
Cassiano
63'
F
29
J. Livolant
86'
F
J. Livolant
86'
F
Bench
99
Claudio Mendes
35'
F
Claudio Mendes
35'
F
10
Dailon Rocha Livramento
25'
F
Dailon Rocha Livramento
25'
F
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
19
Kevin Prieto
F
Kevin Prieto
F
80
Lawrence Ofori
35'
M
Lawrence Ofori
35'
M
42
Sebastián Pérez
25'
M
Sebastián Pérez
25'
M
21
Tiago Morais
F
Tiago Morais
F
1
G
5
Guilherme Romão
D
Guilherme Romão
D
94
Henrique Silva
D
Henrique Silva
D
23
Sidney Lima
D
Sidney Lima
D
42
Lucas Soares
67'
D
Lucas Soares
67'
D
35
Serginho
M
8
Pedro Ferreira
M
65
José Tavares
67'
M
José Tavares
67'
M
70
Vinícius Lopes
74'
F
Vinícius Lopes
74'
F
39
Gonçalo Paciência
74'
F
Gonçalo Paciência
74'
F
10
Gabriel Silva
85'
F
Bench
11
Brenner
24'
F
2
Diogo Calila
31'
D
Diogo Calila
31'
D
21
Frederico Venâncio
D
Frederico Venâncio
D
77
Gustavo Klismahn
M
26
Luis Fernando
24'
F
Luis Fernando
24'
F
49
Welinton Torrao
13'
F
Welinton Torrao
13'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Santa
8.70
· 39 pass
Gaizka Larrazabal
M · Casa
7.60
3 shots
· 21 pass
P. Sequeira
G · Casa
7.50
· 19 pass
David Sousa
D · Casa
7.50
1 shots
· 21 pass
Sidney Lima
D · Santa
7.50
· 61 pass
André Geraldes
D · Casa
7.30
· 12 pass
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | — | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| André Geraldes | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| João Goulart | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Brito | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Iyad Mohamed | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | M | 98 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| João Marques | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Cassiano | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Livolant | F | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Claudio Mendes | F | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | F | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Ofori | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Pérez | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Santa Clara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Henrique Silva | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Sidney Lima | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Serginho | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| José Tavares | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Silva | F | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Diogo Calila | D | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luis Fernando | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Welinton Torrao | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
The final score was Casa Pia 0–0 Santa Clara.
What did the model predict before Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Casa Pia win, 34% to a draw, and 28% to an Santa Clara win.