90'+2
(ast. Lucas Soares)
Joao Vasconcelos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santa Clara a 43% win probability (draw 30%, Casa Pia 26%). The final result was Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara. In 2 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Santa Clara.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
2
0.51
Actual xG
0.67
1
Saves
2
38%
Possession
62%
3
Corners
7
16
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
18'
José Tavares
50'
David Sousa
52'
Henrique Araújo
/ Felipe Silva
54'
57'
Joao Vasconcelos
/
José Tavares
Henrique Araújo
67'
68'
Emanuel Moreira
70'
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
/
Tiago Ribeiro
70'
Vitor Hugo Amorim de Assis
/
Vinicius lopes
Lawrence Ofori
/ Márcio Gabriel Ferreira Pereira
72'
Pedro Rosas
/ João Goulart
73'
77'
Henrique Silva
/
Emanuel Moreira
77'
Léo Jacó
/
Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos
Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri
/ Aymen Zouin
79'
Benjamin Pauwels
/ Evans Maurin
80'
Márcio Gabriel Ferreira Pereira
83'
90'+2
ast. Lucas Soares ·
Joao Vasconcelos⚽
90'+3
Joao Vasconcelos
Andre Geraldes
90'+5
90'+7
Pedro Ferreira
90'+7
Gonçalo Paciência
Pre-match prediction
26.07%
Casa
30.25%
X
43.68%
Santa ←
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Clara)
43.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.55
0.51
-0.04
1.36
0.67
-0.69
xG dominance was balanced (0.51 – 0.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
75
Pedro Rosas
73'
D
Pedro Rosas
73'
D
43
David Sousa
52'
D
David Sousa
52'
D
3
Kaly
D
Kaly
D
18
Geraldes
D
Geraldes
D
80
L. Ofori
72'
M
L. Ofori
72'
M
16
Silvi
M
Silvi
M
77
B. Pauwels
80'
M
B. Pauwels
80'
M
70
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
M
João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
M
11
M. El Boukammiri
79'
M
M. El Boukammiri
79'
M
9
Henrique Araújo
54'
F
Henrique Araújo
54'
F
Bench
20
A. Jatta
F
A. Jatta
F
21
A. Zouin
11'
F
A. Zouin
11'
F
90
Cassiano
F
Cassiano
F
17
E. Maurin
10'
F
E. Maurin
10'
F
44
Felipe Silva
36'
D
Felipe Silva
36'
D
8
Gabi Pereira
18'
M
Gabi Pereira
18'
M
4
João Goulart
17'
D
João Goulart
17'
D
98
JP
M
JP
M
19
K. Prieto
F
K. Prieto
F
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
10
Rochinha
F
Rochinha
F
24
S. Pérez
M
S. Pérez
M
1
Lucas França
G
Lucas França
G
5
Guilherme Romão
D
Guilherme Romão
D
21
Emanuel Fernandes
77'
D
Emanuel Fernandes
77'
D
4
Pedro Pacheco
D
Pedro Pacheco
D
42
Lucas Soares
1 👟
D
Lucas Soares
1 👟
D
20
Tiago Ribeiro
70'
M
Tiago Ribeiro
70'
M
6
Pedro Ferreira
M
Pedro Ferreira
M
8
José Luís Rocha Tavares
57'
M
José Luís Rocha Tavares
57'
M
10
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
77'
F
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
77'
F
9
Gonçalo Paciência
F
Gonçalo Paciência
F
70
Vinícius Lopes
70'
F
Vinícius Lopes
70'
F
Bench
41
Daniel Borges
M
Daniel Borges
M
3
Henrique Silva
13'
D
Henrique Silva
13'
D
17
João Vasconcelos
1 ⚽
33'
M
João Vasconcelos
1 ⚽
33'
M
73
Léo Jacó
13'
F
Léo Jacó
13'
F
7
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
20'
F
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
20'
F
12
Neneca
G
Neneca
G
99
Sorriso
F
Sorriso
F
22
Vitinho
20'
M
Vitinho
20'
M
11
Welinton Torrão
F
Welinton Torrão
F
Best on the pitch
João Vasconcelos
M · Santa
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
Lucas Soares
D · Santa
7.21
1 👟
· 44 pass
Kaly
D · Casa
7.06
· 29 pass
Pedro Pacheco
D · Santa
6.91
· 80 pass
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
F · Santa
6.88
3 shots
· 14 pass
Lucas França
G · Santa
6.81
· 31 pass
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Mandić | G | 90 | 5.62 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | D | 73 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 52 | 4.81 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 17% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Kaly | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Geraldes | D | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Ofori | M | 72 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Silvi | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Pauwels | M | 80 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo | M | 90 | 5.79 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 7 | — | — |
| M. El Boukammiri | M | 79 | 6.32 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Henrique Araújo | F | 54 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Zouin | F | 11 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Maurin | F | 10 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Felipe Silva | D | 36 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabi Pereira | M | 18 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
| João Goulart | D | 17 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Santa Clara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas França | G | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Emanuel Fernandes | D | 77 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 32% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 80 | 76% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 90 | 7.21 | — | 1 | 0 | 44 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Ribeiro | M | 70 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 63% | 5 | 1 | — |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 57 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos | F | 77 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | F | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 5 | 23 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | F | 70 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Henrique Silva | D | 13 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| João Vasconcelos | M | 33 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Léo Jacó | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira | F | 20 | 6.88 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 20 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
The final score was Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara.
What did the model predict before Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Casa Pia win, 30% to a draw, and 43% to an Santa Clara win.