✓Model correct — prediction SC Braga
37'
(ast. D. E. Tiknaz)
P. Victor
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Casa Pia 20%). The final result was Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga. In 1 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Braga.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
2
0.48
Actual xG
0.47
1
Saves
1
31%
Possession
69%
4
Corners
5
14
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
D. Sousa
18'
37'
ast. D. E. Tiknaz ·
P. Victor⚽
45'
P. Victor
A. Geraldes
45'
C. Mendes
/ Cassiano
46'
47'
J. Moutinho
D. Livramento
/ K. Osundina
61'
62'
L. Hornicek
62'
R. Zalazar
/
P. Victor
63'
L. Lelo
/
G. Martinez
I. Mohamed
/ R. Brito
71'
L. Ofori
/ S. Perez
71'
71'
M. Dorgeles
/
J. Moutinho
88'
Pre-match prediction
20.28%
Casa
26.33%
X
53.38%
SC ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (SC Braga)
53.38%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.75
0.48
-0.27
1.42
0.47
-0.95
xG dominance was balanced (0.48 – 0.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
18
Geraldes
D
Geraldes
D
4
João Goulart
D
João Goulart
D
75
Pedro Rosas
M
Pedro Rosas
M
80
L. Ofori
71'
M
L. Ofori
71'
M
24
I. Mohamed
71'
M
I. Mohamed
71'
M
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
M
Gaizka Larrazabal
M
10
D. Livramento
60'
F
D. Livramento
60'
F
29
J. Livolant
F
J. Livolant
F
99
Claudio
45'
F
Bench
90
Cassiano
45'
F
Cassiano
45'
F
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
19
K. Prieto
F
K. Prieto
F
8
Rafael Brito
19'
M
Rafael Brito
19'
M
42
S. Pérez
19'
M
S. Pérez
19'
M
21
Tiago Morais
F
Tiago Morais
F
1
L. Horníček
G
L. Horníček
G
17
Gabriel Moscardo
D
Gabriel Moscardo
D
15
Paulo Oliveira
D
Paulo Oliveira
D
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
G. Lagerbielke
D
77
Gabri Martínez
63'
M
Gabri Martínez
63'
M
8
João Moutinho
71'
M
João Moutinho
71'
M
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
M
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
M
2
Víctor Gómez
M
Víctor Gómez
M
34
E. Tıknaz
1 👟
F
E. Tıknaz
1 👟
F
21
Ricardo Horta
F
Ricardo Horta
F
18
Pau Victor
1 ⚽
62'
F
Pau Victor
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
9
A. El Ouazzani
F
A. El Ouazzani
F
39
Fran Navarro
19'
F
Fran Navarro
19'
F
5
Leonardo Lelo
27'
D
Leonardo Lelo
27'
D
90
Luisinho
M
20
M. Dorgeles
M
M. Dorgeles
M
10
R. Zalazar
28'
M
R. Zalazar
28'
M
6
Vitor Carvalho
M
Vitor Carvalho
M
Best on the pitch
G. Lagerbielke
D · SC
7.70
· 86 pass
Gabriel Moscardo
D · SC
7.30
· 68 pass
E. Tıknaz
F · SC
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 73 pass
João Moutinho
M · SC
7.20
· 94 pass
Paulo Oliveira
D · SC
7.20
· 69 pass
Gaizka Larrazabal
M · Casa
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 17% | — | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 24% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Geraldes | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| João Goulart | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Ofori | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| I. Mohamed | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Livramento | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Livolant | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Claudio | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Cassiano | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Brito | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pérez | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 58% | — | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 86 | 81% | — | — | — |
| Gabri Martínez | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 94 | 89% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 72 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Gómez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Tıknaz | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 73 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Ricardo Horta | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Victor | F | 62 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Lelo | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Zalazar | M | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs SC Braga?
The final score was Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before Casa Pia vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Casa Pia win, 26% to a draw, and 53% to an SC Braga win.