✓Model correct — prediction SC Braga
37'
(ast. D. E. Tiknaz)
P. Victor
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Casa Pia 20%). The final result was Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga. In 1 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for SC Braga.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
2
0.48
Actual xG
0.47
1
Saves
1
31%
Possession
69%
4
Corners
5
14
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
D. Sousa
18'
37'
ast. D. E. Tiknaz ·
P. Victor⚽
45'
P. Victor
A. Geraldes
45'
C. Mendes
/ Cassiano
46'
47'
J. Moutinho
D. Livramento
/ K. Osundina
61'
62'
L. Hornicek
62'
R. Zalazar
/
P. Victor
63'
L. Lelo
/
G. Martinez
I. Mohamed
/ R. Brito
71'
L. Ofori
/ S. Perez
71'
71'
M. Dorgeles
/
J. Moutinho
88'
Pre-match prediction
20.28%
Casa
26.33%
X
53.38%
SC ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (SC Braga)
53.38%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.75
0.48
-0.27
1.42
0.47
-0.95
xG dominance was balanced (0.48 – 0.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
18
André Geraldes
D
André Geraldes
D
4
João Goulart
D
João Goulart
D
75
Pedro Rosas
M
Pedro Rosas
M
80
Lawrence Ofori
71'
M
Lawrence Ofori
71'
M
24
Iyad Mohamed
71'
M
Iyad Mohamed
71'
M
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
M
Gaizka Larrazabal
M
10
Dailon Rocha Livramento
60'
F
Dailon Rocha Livramento
60'
F
29
J. Livolant
F
J. Livolant
F
99
Claudio Mendes
45'
F
Claudio Mendes
45'
F
Bench
90
Cassiano
45'
F
Cassiano
45'
F
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
19
Kevin Prieto
F
Kevin Prieto
F
8
Rafael Brito
19'
M
Rafael Brito
19'
M
42
Sebastián Pérez
19'
M
Sebastián Pérez
19'
M
21
Tiago Morais
F
Tiago Morais
F
1
Lukáš Horníček
G
17
Gabriel Moscardo
D
Gabriel Moscardo
D
15
Paulo Oliveira
D
Paulo Oliveira
D
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
77
Gabriel Martínez
63'
M
8
João Moutinho
71'
M
29
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
M
2
Victor Gómez
M
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
1 👟
F
21
Ricardo Horta
F
18
Pau Víctor
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
9
Amine El Ouazzani
F
Amine El Ouazzani
F
39
Fran Navarro
19'
F
5
Leonardo Lelo
27'
D
90
Luís Pinto
M
20
M. Dorgeles
M
M. Dorgeles
M
10
R. Zalazar
28'
M
R. Zalazar
28'
M
6
Vítor Carvalho
M
Best on the pitch
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D · SC
7.70
· 86 pass
Gabriel Moscardo
D · SC
7.30
· 68 pass
Demir Ege Tıknaz
F · SC
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 73 pass
João Moutinho
M · SC
7.20
· 94 pass
Paulo Oliveira
D · SC
7.20
· 69 pass
Gaizka Larrazabal
M · Casa
7.20
1 shots
· 30 pass
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 17% | — | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 24% | 4 | 1 | — |
| André Geraldes | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| João Goulart | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Lawrence Ofori | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Iyad Mohamed | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Livolant | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Claudio Mendes | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Cassiano | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Brito | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Sebastián Pérez | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Horníček | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Moscardo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 86 | 81% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Martínez | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 94 | 89% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 72 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Gómez | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Demir Ege Tıknaz | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 73 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Ricardo Horta | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Víctor | F | 62 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Lelo | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Zalazar | M | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs SC Braga?
The final score was Casa Pia 0–1 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before Casa Pia vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Casa Pia win, 26% to a draw, and 53% to an SC Braga win.