68'
Bebeto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Casa Pia a 37% win probability (draw 36%, Tondela 26%). The final result was Casa Pia 0–1 Tondela. In 1 previous meetings, Casa Pia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tondela.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
5
0.45
Actual xG
1.18
5
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
7
Corners
2
11
Tackles
10
8
🟨 Yellow cards
3
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Livolant
49'
R. Brito
51'
Cassiano
55'
J. Marques
/ D. Livramento
57'
R. Brito
/ L. Ofori
58'
63'
Bebeto
/
Cicero
64'
H. Tavares
/
T. Manso
A. Geraldes
65'
68'
Bebeto⚽
70'
Pedro Maranhao
A. Geraldes
/ T. Morais
72'
75'
C. Marques
T. Morais
85'
86'
S. Sithole
/
Pedro Maranhao
A. Conte
/ Kiki
86'
G. Larrazabal
/ K. Prieto
86'
87'
A. van der Heide
/
Rony Lopes
90'+5
B. Kimpioka
/
M. Aiko
J. Goulart
90'+8
90'+9
B. Kimpioka
K. Prieto
90'+9
J. Livolant
90'+11
J. Livolant
90'+11
I. Mohamed
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.07%
Casa
36.78%
X
26.15%
Tondela ←
we assigned to the actual result (Tondela)
26.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
0.45
-0.29
0.59
1.18
+0.59
Tondela dominated by xG (1.18 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
P. Sequeira
G
P. Sequeira
G
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
18
André Geraldes
72'
D
André Geraldes
72'
D
4
João Goulart
D
João Goulart
D
5
Abdu Conté
86'
M
Abdu Conté
86'
M
8
Rafael Brito
58'
M
Rafael Brito
58'
M
24
Iyad Mohamed
M
Iyad Mohamed
M
72
Gaizka Larrazabal
86'
M
Gaizka Larrazabal
86'
M
11
João Marques
57'
F
João Marques
57'
F
90
Cassiano
55'
F
Cassiano
55'
F
29
J. Livolant
F
J. Livolant
F
Bench
99
Claudio Mendes
F
Claudio Mendes
F
10
Dailon Rocha Livramento
33'
F
Dailon Rocha Livramento
33'
F
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
19
Kevin Prieto
16'
F
Kevin Prieto
16'
F
80
Lawrence Ofori
32'
M
Lawrence Ofori
32'
M
42
Sebastián Pérez
M
Sebastián Pérez
M
21
Tiago Morais
18'
F
Tiago Morais
18'
F
31
G
27
Rodrigo Conceição
D
Rodrigo Conceição
D
4
Christian Marques
D
Christian Marques
D
44
João Silva
D
João Silva
D
48
Tiago Manso
64'
D
Tiago Manso
64'
D
32
M
97
Cicero
64'
M
Cicero
64'
M
90
Makan Aïko
89'
M
Makan Aïko
89'
M
79
Hugo Félix
M
Hugo Félix
M
7
Maranhão
86'
M
Maranhão
86'
M
16
Rony Lopes
87'
F
Rony Lopes
87'
F
Bench
26
Arjen Van Der Heide
15'
F
Arjen Van Der Heide
15'
F
2
Bebeto
1 ⚽
26'
D
Bebeto
1 ⚽
26'
D
23
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
1'
F
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka
1'
F
8
Hélder Tavares
26'
M
Hélder Tavares
26'
M
10
Joe Hodge
M
Joe Hodge
M
15
S. Sithole
16'
M
S. Sithole
16'
M
Best on the pitch
Hugo Félix
M · Tondela
7.90
3 shots
· 37 pass
G · Tondela
7.90
· 26 pass
Tiago Manso
D · Tondela
7.30
1 shots
· 42 pass
João Silva
D · Tondela
7.30
· 43 pass
P. Sequeira
G · Casa
7.30
· 28 pass
Abdu Conté
M · Casa
7.20
· 34 pass
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| André Geraldes | D | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| João Goulart | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Abdu Conté | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafael Brito | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Iyad Mohamed | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| João Marques | F | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Cassiano | F | 55 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | 1 | — | 1 |
| J. Livolant | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 26% | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Prieto | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Lawrence Ofori | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Morais | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
Tondela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Conceição | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Christian Marques | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| João Silva | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| Tiago Manso | D | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — | |
| Cicero | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Makan Aïko | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Félix | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Maranhão | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rony Lopes | F | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Arjen Van Der Heide | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Bebeto | D | 26 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Hélder Tavares | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Sithole | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Tondela?
The final score was Casa Pia 0–1 Tondela.
What did the model predict before Casa Pia vs Tondela?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Casa Pia win, 36% to a draw, and 26% to an Tondela win.