Copa del Rey
· Round of 128
October 27, 2026 19:45
A. Murillo
(ast. M. Lachevre)
93'
112'
(ast. A. Sola)
Thalys
(pen.)
120'+2
S. Arribas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Almeria a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Castellonense 32%). The final result was Castellonense 1–2 Almeria.
Match statistics
Match Events
60'
Leo Baptistao
D. de Pedro
/ M. Alvarez
66'
J. Winstanley
/ J. Rodriguez
66'
P. Ferriz
71'
I. Garijo
/ A. Sangare
73'
74'
M. Luna
/
Leo Baptistao
74'
Javier Munoz
/
Gui Guedes
F. Sastre
/ R. Murcia
80'
P. Ferriz
/ I. Jove
80'
90'+1
S. Arribas
/
A. Embarba
90'+1
M. de la Fuente
/
Q. Junyent
90'
⚽A. Murillo
· ast. M. Lachevre
93'
M. Lachevre
/ D. Castella
97'
C. Badal Andani
101'
110'
Javier Munoz
112'
ast. A. Sola ·
Thalys⚽
D. Castella
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.)
S. Arribas⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.11%
Castellonense
32.19%
X
35.71%
Almeria ←
we assigned to the actual result (Almeria)
35.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
—
—
2.22
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Castellonense vs Almeria?
The final score was Castellonense 1–2 Almeria.
What did the model predict before Castellonense vs Almeria?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Castellonense win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Almeria win.