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Castrense - Louletano

Taça de Portugal August 30, 2026 18:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Castrense
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Louletano
0.32
Expected xG
0.5

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.3%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Castrense a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Louletano. Expected goals are 0.3 for Castrense and 0.5 for Louletano (total 0.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.3% probability.

Season Stats

Castrense
1W 0D 1L
Louletano
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
3.0
2.5
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Castrense
1W 0D 1L · at home
Louletano
0W 0D 1L · away
0.5
gls/g
1.0
2.5
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Castrense Louletano →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 44.1% 22.2% 5.6% 0.9% 0.1%
1 13.9% 7.0% 1.8% 0.3%
2 2.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.1%
4
5

Recent form

L Lusitânia Lourosa 0–5
W Quarteirense 1–0
L Silves 2–1
W Operário 5–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Castrense Castrense
Attack
12
Defence
47
Form
43
Louletano Louletano
Attack
13
Defence
94
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Castrense vs Louletano?
The model gives Castrense a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Louletano win.
How many goals are expected in Castrense vs Louletano?
Expected goals: Castrense 0.3, Louletano 0.5 (total 0.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Castrense vs Louletano?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.