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Serie B · Regular Season - 8 October 24, 2026 17:15 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro
Catanzaro
#20 · 5 pts
1 – 6
Final score
Ascoli
#3 · 18 pts
N'Dri Koffi (ast. Federico Di Francesco) 18'
21' (ast. Andrea·Silipo) Gabriele Gori
32' (ast. Simone D'Uffizi) Gennao Acampora
36' (ast. Andrea Oliveri) Federico Gattoni
45'+1 (ast. Gabriele Gori) Giovanni Corradini
53' Tommaso Milanese
76' (ast. Sergiu Perciun) Gabriele Gori
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ascoli a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Catanzaro 30%). The final result was Catanzaro 1–6 Ascoli.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
24
8
Shots on target
10
1.86
Actual xG
3.93
4
Saves
7
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
9
13
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽N'Dri Koffi · ast. Federico Di Francesco
18'
21'
ast. Andrea·Silipo · Gabriele Gori⚽
32'
ast. Simone D'Uffizi · Gennao Acampora⚽
36'
ast. Andrea Oliveri · Federico Gattoni⚽
39'
Federico Gattoni
45'+1
ast. Gabriele Gori · Giovanni Corradini⚽
45'
Tommaso Milanese / Gennao Acampora ↕
↕ N'Dri Koffi / Marco D'Alessandro
45'
53'
Tommaso Milanese⚽
↕ Marco Ruggero / Niccolò Postiglione
56'
↕ Federico Di Francesco / Nicolo Buso
56'
↕ Simone Pafundi / Nicola Mosti
56'
60'
Sergiu Perciun / Giovanni Corradini ↕
60'
Matteo Ricci / Samuele Damiani ↕
60'
Giacomo De Pieri / Andrea·Silipo ↕
72'
Lorenzo Venuti / Andrea Oliveri ↕
76'
ast. Sergiu Perciun · Gabriele Gori⚽
↕ Franky Tchaouna / Gabriele Alesi
78'
Gabriele Alesi
81'
90'+2
Gabriele Gori
Pre-match prediction
30.69%
Catanzaro
28.49%
X
40.82%
Ascoli ←
we assigned to the actual result (Ascoli) 40.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Catanzaro
1.02
1.86
+0.84
Ascoli
1.73
3.93
+2.2
Ascoli dominated by xG (3.93 vs 1.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli M. Pigliacelli G 6.31
3 M. Imperiale M. Imperiale D 5.89
4 Matias Antonini Matias Antonini D 6.07
24 M. Ruggero M. Ruggero 56' D 5.54
29 F. Di Francesco F. Di Francesco 1 👟 56' M 6.76
10 J. Petriccione J. Petriccione M 6.34
28 F. Tchaouna F. Tchaouna 78' M 6.45
27 A. Candela A. Candela M 6.42
9 P. Iemmello P. Iemmello M 5.44
20 S. Pafundi S. Pafundi 56' M 5.98
19 N. Koffi N. Koffi 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.70
Bench
26 B. Verrengia B. Verrengia D 0.00
1 C. Marietta C. Marietta G 0.00
21 F. Cassa F. Cassa M 0.00
80 F. Reita F. Reita M 0.00
30 G. Alesi G. Alesi 12' F 6.46
91 G. Arditi G. Arditi F 0.00
77 M. D'Alessandro M. D'Alessandro 45' F 6.44
93 M. Dorval M. Dorval D 0.00
7 N. Buso N. Buso 34' F 6.63
6 Niccolò Postiglione Niccolò Postiglione 34' D 5.71
98 N. Mosti N. Mosti 34' M 5.72
62 R. Frosinini R. Frosinini D 0.00
Ascoli Ascoli 4-2-3-1
1 S. Vitale S. Vitale G 8.14
19 A. Guiébré A. Guiébré D 6.23
33 N. Rizzo N. Rizzo D 6.41
32 F. Gattoni F. Gattoni 1 ⚽ D 7.23
14 A. Oliveri A. Oliveri 1 👟 72' D 7.67
4 S. Damiani S. Damiani 60' M 6.62
8 G. Corradini G. Corradini 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.85
15 S. D'Uffizi S. D'Uffizi 1 👟 M 7.60
13 G. Acampora G. Acampora 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.54
7 A. Silipo A. Silipo 1 👟 60' M 7.68
35 G. Gori G. Gori 2 ⚽ 1 👟 F 9.65
Bench
9 A. Chakir A. Chakir F 0.00
77 D. Bolsius D. Bolsius F 0.00
45 G. Crespi G. Crespi G 0.00
21 G. De Pieri G. De Pieri 30' M 6.52
18 L. Lo Scalzo L. Lo Scalzo M 0.00
5 L. Venuti L. Venuti 18' D 6.55
30 M. Curado M. Curado D 0.00
3 M. Nicoletti M. Nicoletti D 0.00
27 M. Ricci M. Ricci 30' M 6.80
11 S. Perciun S. Perciun 1 👟 30' M 7.14
62 T. Milanese T. Milanese 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.16
Best on the pitch
G. Gori
G. Gori
F · Ascoli
9.65
2 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 21 pass
S. Vitale
S. Vitale
G · Ascoli
8.14
· 37 pass
G. Corradini
G. Corradini
M · Ascoli
7.85
1 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
N. Koffi
N. Koffi
F · Catanzaro
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
A. Silipo
A. Silipo
M · Ascoli
7.68
1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
A. Oliveri
A. Oliveri
D · Ascoli
7.67
1 👟
3 shots · 33 pass
Catanzaro Catanzaro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Pigliacelli G 90 6.31 — — 0 37 22% 0 — —
M. Imperiale D 90 5.89 — — 0 27 25% 2 — —
Matias Antonini D 90 6.07 — — 1 35 33% 0 — —
M. Ruggero D 56 5.54 — — 0 23 19% 1 — —
F. Di Francesco M 56 6.76 — 1 1 13 7% 0 — —
J. Petriccione M 90 6.34 — — 3 44 39% 0 — —
F. Tchaouna M 78 6.45 — — 0 34 29% 4 — —
A. Candela M 90 6.42 — — 1 24 21% 2 — —
P. Iemmello M 90 5.44 — — 3 30 19% 0 — —
S. Pafundi M 56 5.98 — — 3 16 14% 1 — —
N. Koffi F 45 7.70 1 — 1 14 11% 0 — —
G. Alesi F 12 6.46 — — 0 6 5% 0 1 —
M. D'Alessandro F 45 6.44 — — 1 8 5% 3 — —
N. Buso F 34 6.63 — — 2 6 5% 0 — —
Niccolò Postiglione D 34 5.71 — — 1 11 9% 0 — —
N. Mosti M 34 5.72 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Ascoli Ascoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Vitale G 90 8.14 — — 0 37 21% 0 — —
A. Guiébré D 90 6.23 — — 0 41 32% 1 — —
N. Rizzo D 90 6.41 — — 0 49 41% 1 — —
F. Gattoni D 90 7.23 1 — 2 55 53% 1 1 —
A. Oliveri D 72 7.67 — 1 3 33 31% 5 — —
S. Damiani M 60 6.62 — — 0 26 23% 1 — —
G. Corradini M 60 7.85 1 — 3 24 21% 1 — —
S. D'Uffizi M 90 7.60 — 1 2 31 24% 0 — —
G. Acampora M 45 7.54 1 — 1 17 15% 1 — —
A. Silipo M 60 7.68 — 1 1 26 22% 1 — —
G. Gori F 90 9.65 2 1 6 21 16% 2 1 —
G. De Pieri M 30 6.52 — — 3 10 9% 0 — —
L. Venuti D 18 6.55 — — 0 14 13% 0 — —
M. Ricci M 30 6.80 — — 0 33 30% 0 — —
S. Perciun M 30 7.14 — 1 0 27 27% 0 — —
T. Milanese M 45 7.16 1 — 3 24 20% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
The final score was Catanzaro 1–6 Ascoli.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Catanzaro win, 28% to a draw, and 40% to an Ascoli win.