77'
(ast. P. Obiang)
Hernani
89'
(ast. A. Petagna)
G. Caso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 49% win probability (draw 20%, Monza 29%). The final result was Catanzaro 0–2 Monza. In 3 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Monza.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
5
0.84
Actual xG
0.67
2
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
8
6
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
F. Delli Carri
/
L. Ravanelli
45'+2
L. Colombo
46'
Hernani
/
A. Colpani
64'
A. Petagna
/
D. Mota
74'
G. Caso
/
L. Colombo
74'
P. Obiang
/
P. Cutrone
G. Alesi
/ F. Di Francesco
76'
S. Pontisso
/ F. Rispoli
76'
77'
ast. P. Obiang ·
Hernani⚽
83'
A. Petagna
P. Iemmello
/ R. Oudin
84'
M. Liberali
/ M. D'Alessandro
84'
89'
ast. A. Petagna ·
G. Caso⚽
M. D'Alessandro
90'+4
J. Petriccione
90'+6
90'
G. Caso
Pre-match prediction
49.18%
Catanzaro
20.9%
X
29.92%
Monza ←
we assigned to the actual result (Monza)
29.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.12
0.84
-1.28
1.54
0.67
-0.87
xG dominance was balanced (0.84 – 0.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Mirko Pigliacelli
G
Mirko Pigliacelli
G
23
Nicolò Brighenti
D
Nicolò Brighenti
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
Tommaso Cassandro
D
Tommaso Cassandro
D
30
Gabriele Alesi
76'
M
Gabriele Alesi
76'
M
20
S. Pontisso
76'
M
S. Pontisso
76'
M
10
J. Petriccione
M
J. Petriccione
M
27
Costantino Favasuli
M
Costantino Favasuli
M
9
P. Iemmello
84'
F
P. Iemmello
84'
F
14
Mattia Liberali
84'
F
Mattia Liberali
84'
F
8
F. Pittarello
F
F. Pittarello
F
Bench
26
Bruno Verrengia
D
Bruno Verrengia
D
1
Christian Marietta
G
Christian Marietta
G
5
Ervin Bashi
D
Ervin Bashi
D
32
Fabio Rispoli
16'
M
Fabio Rispoli
16'
M
94
Federico Di Francesco
16'
F
Federico Di Francesco
16'
F
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
77
Marco D'Alessandro
8'
F
Marco D'Alessandro
8'
F
21
Marco Pompetti
M
Marco Pompetti
M
39
N'Dri Koffi
F
N'Dri Koffi
F
19
P. Nuamah
F
P. Nuamah
F
28
Rémi Oudin
8'
M
Rémi Oudin
8'
M
62
Ruggero Frosinini
D
Ruggero Frosinini
D
20
Demba Thiam
G
Demba Thiam
G
44
Andrea Carboni
D
Andrea Carboni
D
13
Luca Ravanelli
31'
D
Luca Ravanelli
31'
D
19
Samuele Birindelli
D
Samuele Birindelli
D
7
Paulo Azzi
M
Paulo Azzi
M
32
Matteo Pessina
M
Matteo Pessina
M
21
Leonardo Colombo
74'
M
Leonardo Colombo
74'
M
24
Adam Bakoune
M
Adam Bakoune
M
47
Dany Mota
64'
F
Dany Mota
64'
F
28
Andrea Colpani
45'
F
Andrea Colpani
45'
F
10
Patrick Cutrone
74'
F
Patrick Cutrone
74'
F
Bench
25
Agustín Álvarez
F
Agustín Álvarez
F
37
A. Petagna
1 👟
28'
F
A. Petagna
1 👟
28'
F
2
Arvid Brorsson
D
Arvid Brorsson
D
15
Filippo Delli Carri
61'
D
Filippo Delli Carri
61'
D
30
Giuseppe Caso
1 ⚽
18'
M
Giuseppe Caso
1 ⚽
18'
M
8
Hernani
1 ⚽
47'
M
Hernani
1 ⚽
47'
M
3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
D
Lorenzo Lucchesi
D
26
Patrick Ciurria
F
Patrick Ciurria
F
14
Pedro Obiang
1 👟
18'
M
Pedro Obiang
1 👟
18'
M
27
Samuele Capolupo
D
Samuele Capolupo
D
1
Semuel Pizzignacco
G
Semuel Pizzignacco
G
6
Valentin Antov
D
Valentin Antov
D
Best on the pitch
Hernani
M · Monza
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Giuseppe Caso
M · Monza
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
J. Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
7.50
· 82 pass
Adam Bakoune
M · Monza
7.30
· 12 pass
Dany Mota
F · Monza
7.20
· 14 pass
Mattia Liberali
F · Catanzaro
7.20
· 34 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirko Pigliacelli | G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Brighenti | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Cassandro | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriele Alesi | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 66% | — | — | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 82 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| P. Iemmello | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Mattia Liberali | F | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Federico Di Francesco | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Marco D'Alessandro | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rémi Oudin | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demba Thiam | G | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Andrea Carboni | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Luca Ravanelli | D | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Samuele Birindelli | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Azzi | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Matteo Pessina | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonardo Colombo | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Adam Bakoune | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrea Colpani | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Cutrone | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Filippo Delli Carri | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Giuseppe Caso | M | 18 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Hernani | M | 47 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Obiang | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Monza?
The final score was Catanzaro 0–2 Monza.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Monza?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Catanzaro win, 20% to a draw, and 29% to an Monza win.