77'
(ast. P. Obiang)
Hernani
89'
(ast. A. Petagna)
G. Caso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 49% win probability (draw 20%, Monza 29%). The final result was Catanzaro 0–2 Monza. In 3 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Monza.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
5
0.84
Actual xG
0.67
2
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
8
6
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
31'
F. Delli Carri
/
L. Ravanelli
45'+2
L. Colombo
46'
Hernani
/
A. Colpani
64'
A. Petagna
/
D. Mota
74'
G. Caso
/
L. Colombo
74'
P. Obiang
/
P. Cutrone
G. Alesi
/ F. Di Francesco
76'
S. Pontisso
/ F. Rispoli
76'
77'
ast. P. Obiang ·
Hernani⚽
83'
A. Petagna
P. Iemmello
/ R. Oudin
84'
M. Liberali
/ M. D'Alessandro
84'
89'
ast. A. Petagna ·
G. Caso⚽
M. D'Alessandro
90'+4
J. Petriccione
90'+6
90'
G. Caso
Pre-match prediction
49.18%
Catanzaro
20.9%
X
29.92%
Monza ←
we assigned to the actual result (Monza)
29.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.12
0.84
-1.28
1.54
0.67
-0.87
xG dominance was balanced (0.84 – 0.67).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
M. Pigliacelli
G
M. Pigliacelli
G
23
N. Brighenti
D
N. Brighenti
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
T. Cassandro
D
T. Cassandro
D
30
G. Alesi
76'
M
G. Alesi
76'
M
20
S. Pontisso
76'
M
S. Pontisso
76'
M
10
J. Petriccione
M
J. Petriccione
M
27
Costantino Favasuli
M
Costantino Favasuli
M
9
P. Iemmello
84'
F
P. Iemmello
84'
F
14
M. Liberali
84'
F
M. Liberali
84'
F
8
F. Pittarello
F
F. Pittarello
F
Bench
26
B. Verrengia
D
B. Verrengia
D
1
C. Marietta
G
C. Marietta
G
5
Ervin Bashi
D
Ervin Bashi
D
32
Fabio Rispoli
16'
M
Fabio Rispoli
16'
M
94
F. Di Francesco
16'
F
F. Di Francesco
16'
F
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
77
M. D'Alessandro
8'
F
M. D'Alessandro
8'
F
21
M. Pompetti
M
M. Pompetti
M
39
N. Koffi
F
N. Koffi
F
19
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
62
R. Frosinini
D
R. Frosinini
D
28
R. Oudin
8'
M
20
D. Thiam
G
D. Thiam
G
44
A. Carboni
D
A. Carboni
D
13
L. Ravanelli
31'
D
L. Ravanelli
31'
D
19
S. Birindelli
D
S. Birindelli
D
7
Paulo Azzi
M
Paulo Azzi
M
32
Matteo Pessina
M
Matteo Pessina
M
21
L. Colombo
74'
M
L. Colombo
74'
M
24
A. Bakoune
M
A. Bakoune
M
47
Dany Mota
64'
F
Dany Mota
64'
F
28
A. Colpani
45'
F
A. Colpani
45'
F
10
P. Cutrone
74'
F
P. Cutrone
74'
F
Bench
25
A. Álvarez
F
A. Álvarez
F
2
A. Brorsson
D
A. Brorsson
D
37
A. Petagna
1 👟
28'
F
A. Petagna
1 👟
28'
F
15
F. Delli Carri
61'
D
F. Delli Carri
61'
D
30
G. Caso
1 ⚽
18'
M
G. Caso
1 ⚽
18'
M
8
Hernani
1 ⚽
47'
M
Hernani
1 ⚽
47'
M
3
L. Lucchesi
D
L. Lucchesi
D
26
P. Ciurria
F
P. Ciurria
F
14
Pedro Obiang
1 👟
18'
M
Pedro Obiang
1 👟
18'
M
27
Samuele Capolupo
D
Samuele Capolupo
D
1
S. Pizzignacco
G
S. Pizzignacco
G
6
V. Antov
D
V. Antov
D
Best on the pitch
Hernani
M · Monza
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
G. Caso
M · Monza
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
J. Petriccione
M · Catanzaro
7.50
· 82 pass
A. Bakoune
M · Monza
7.30
· 12 pass
Dany Mota
F · Monza
7.20
· 14 pass
M. Liberali
F · Catanzaro
7.20
· 34 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pigliacelli | G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| N. Brighenti | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 75% | — | — | — |
| T. Cassandro | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Alesi | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 66% | — | — | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 82 | 75% | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| P. Iemmello | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Liberali | F | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Di Francesco | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. D'Alessandro | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Oudin | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thiam | G | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| A. Carboni | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Ravanelli | D | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| S. Birindelli | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Azzi | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Matteo Pessina | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Colombo | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bakoune | M | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Dany Mota | F | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Colpani | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Caso | M | 18 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Hernani | M | 47 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Obiang | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Monza?
The final score was Catanzaro 0–2 Monza.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Monza?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Catanzaro win, 20% to a draw, and 29% to an Monza win.