P. Iemmello
(ast. T. Cassandro)
1'
P. Iemmello
(ast. N. Brighenti)
15'
M. Liberali
(ast. P. Iemmello)
41'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 47% win probability (draw 22%, Palermo 29%). The final result was Catanzaro 3–0 Palermo. In 3 previous meetings, Catanzaro have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Palermo.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
1
1.30
Actual xG
0.44
2
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
2
4
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽P. Iemmello
· ast. T. Cassandro
1'
⚽P. Iemmello
· ast. N. Brighenti
15'
32'
F. Ranocchia
⚽M. Liberali
· ast. P. Iemmello
41'
45'+4
N. Pierozzi
46'
E. Gyasi
/
N. Pierozzi
52'
D. Johnsen
/
J. Le Douaron
59'
T. Augello
60'
A. Blin
/
F. Ranocchia
61'
R. Modesto
/
T. Augello
S. Pontisso
/ M. Pompetti
76'
M. Liberali
/ R. Frosinini
76'
P. Iemmello
/ F. Di Francesco
85'
G. Alesi
/ F. Rispoli
85'
88'
S. Giovane
/
J. Segre
R. Frosinini
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
47.99%
Catanzaro ←
22.1%
X
29.9%
Palermo
we assigned to the actual result (Catanzaro)
47.99%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
1.30
-0.74
1.40
0.44
-0.96
Catanzaro dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
M. Pigliacelli
G
M. Pigliacelli
G
23
N. Brighenti
1 👟
D
N. Brighenti
1 👟
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
84
T. Cassandro
1 👟
D
T. Cassandro
1 👟
D
30
G. Alesi
85'
M
G. Alesi
85'
M
20
S. Pontisso
76'
M
S. Pontisso
76'
M
10
J. Petriccione
M
J. Petriccione
M
27
Costantino Favasuli
M
Costantino Favasuli
M
9
P. Iemmello
2 ⚽
1 👟
85'
F
P. Iemmello
2 ⚽
1 👟
85'
F
14
M. Liberali
1 ⚽
76'
F
M. Liberali
1 ⚽
76'
F
8
F. Pittarello
F
F. Pittarello
F
Bench
26
B. Verrengia
D
B. Verrengia
D
1
C. Marietta
G
C. Marietta
G
98
D. Buglio
M
D. Buglio
M
5
Ervin Bashi
D
Ervin Bashi
D
32
Fabio Rispoli
12'
M
Fabio Rispoli
12'
M
94
F. Di Francesco
12'
F
F. Di Francesco
12'
F
6
Fellipe Jack
D
Fellipe Jack
D
77
M. D'Alessandro
F
M. D'Alessandro
F
21
M. Pompetti
14'
M
M. Pompetti
14'
M
19
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah
F
28
Rémi Oudin
M
62
R. Frosinini
14'
D
R. Frosinini
14'
D
66
Jesse Joronen
G
Jesse Joronen
G
32
P. Ceccaroni
D
P. Ceccaroni
D
96
G. Magnani
D
G. Magnani
D
29
P. Peda
D
P. Peda
D
3
T. Augello
61'
M
T. Augello
61'
M
10
F. Ranocchia
60'
M
F. Ranocchia
60'
M
8
J. Segre
88'
M
J. Segre
88'
M
27
N. Pierozzi
45'
M
N. Pierozzi
45'
M
5
A. Palumbo
F
A. Palumbo
F
21
J. Le Douaron
52'
F
J. Le Douaron
52'
F
20
J. Pohjanpalo
F
J. Pohjanpalo
F
Bench
28
Alexis Blin
30'
M
Alexis Blin
30'
M
1
Alfred Gomis
G
Alfred Gomis
G
14
A. Vasic
M
A. Vasic
M
6
C. Gomes
M
C. Gomes
M
7
D. Johnsen
38'
F
D. Johnsen
38'
F
72
D. Veroli
D
D. Veroli
D
11
E. Gyasi
45'
D
E. Gyasi
45'
D
77
Francesco Di Bartolo Zuccarello
G
Francesco Di Bartolo Zuccarello
G
31
Giacomo Corona
F
Giacomo Corona
F
13
M. Bani
D
M. Bani
D
18
Rui Modesto
29'
M
Rui Modesto
29'
M
17
S. Giovane
9'
M
S. Giovane
9'
M
Best on the pitch
P. Iemmello
F · Catanzaro
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 37 pass
T. Cassandro
D · Catanzaro
7.70
1 👟
· 39 pass
M. Pigliacelli
G · Catanzaro
7.50
· 44 pass
N. Brighenti
D · Catanzaro
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 39 pass
M. Liberali
F · Catanzaro
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
A. Palumbo
F · Palermo
7.30
2 shots
· 50 pass
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pigliacelli | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 30% | — | — | — |
| N. Brighenti | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| T. Cassandro | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Alesi | M | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Iemmello | F | 85 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| M. Liberali | F | 76 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Pittarello | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. Di Francesco | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Palermo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Joronen | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| P. Ceccaroni | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Magnani | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Peda | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Augello | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Ranocchia | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Segre | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| N. Pierozzi | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Palumbo | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Le Douaron | F | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Pohjanpalo | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Blin | M | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Johnsen | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Gyasi | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Rui Modesto | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Giovane | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Palermo?
The final score was Catanzaro 3–0 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Catanzaro vs Palermo?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Catanzaro win, 22% to a draw, and 29% to an Palermo win.