Canadian Premier League · Group Stage July 18, 2026 21:00

Cavalry FC

#1 · 46 pts

1 – 1

Final score

HFX Wanderers FC

#6 · 20 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cavalry FC, result Draw

T. Warschewski 52' (pen.)

77' I. Johnston

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cavalry FC a 64% win probability (draw 18%, HFX Wanderers FC 16%). The final result was Cavalry FC 1–1 HFX Wanderers FC. In 2 previous meetings, Cavalry FC have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for HFX Wanderers FC.

Match statistics

Match Events

G. Ntignee

39'

⚽T. Warschewski (pen.)

52'

A. Musse

60'

↕ H. Paton / E. Kobza

65'

66'

C. Kachwele / S. Zitman ↕

70'

J. Bahamboula / M. Arilla ↕

70'

A. Reid / T. Ciccarelli ↕

77'

I. Johnston⚽

↕ S. Camargo / N. Myroniuk

78'

↕ A. Musse / J. Herdman

78'

↕ M. Baldisimo / C. Elva

82'

D. Klomp

90'+6

90'

A. Rampersad / L. Olguin ↕

Pre-match prediction

64.49%

Cavalry

18.68%

X ←

16.83%

HFX

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 18.68% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Cavalry

2.93

—

—

HFX

0.97

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	20	46
2	Forge	20	42
3	Atlético Ottawa	21	34
4	Vancouver FC	21	30
5	Supra du Quebec	20	22
6	HFX Wanderers FC	21	20
7	York United	19	20
8	Pacific FC	20	10