Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 17
July 14, 2026 01:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ceara a 36% win probability (draw 35%, Athletic Club 28%). The final result was Ceara 0–0 Athletic Club. In 1 previous meetings, Ceara have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Athletic Club.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
1
0.99
Actual xG
0.80
1
Saves
2
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
6
11
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
21'
Jhonatan Silva
Fernando
/ Sanchez
46'
Julio Cesar
/ Luiz Otavio
46'
Richardson
/ Caio
60'
Juan Alano
/ Vina
60'
66'
Diogo Batista
69'
Douglas Pele
/
Diogo Batista
79'
Luiz Fernando
/
Max
79'
Pedro Oliveira
/
Joao Miguel
Lucas Mugni
/ Matheus Araujo
80'
85'
J. Pool
/
Jota
90'+3
J. Pool
Caio
90'+4
90'+6
Ian Luccas
Pre-match prediction
36.84%
Ceara
35.01%
X ←
28.15%
Athletic
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
35.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.73
0.99
+0.26
0.72
0.80
+0.08
xG dominance was balanced (0.99 – 0.80).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Richard
G
Richard
G
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
26
Richardson
60'
D
Richardson
60'
D
18
Júlio
45'
D
Júlio
45'
D
17
Fernando
45'
M
Fernando
45'
M
10
Juan Alano
60'
M
Juan Alano
60'
M
81
Joao Gabriel
M
Joao Gabriel
M
40
Melk
M
Melk
M
31
Bryan
M
Bryan
M
11
L. Mugni
80'
F
L. Mugni
80'
F
99
Lucca
F
Lucca
F
Bench
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
Bruno Ferreira
G
60
Enzo
F
Enzo
F
71
Gabriel Rocha
M
Gabriel Rocha
M
35
Giulio
F
Giulio
F
88
José Wilson Neto
36'
M
José Wilson Neto
36'
M
90
Kauã Ziegler
F
Kauã Ziegler
F
13
Luiz Otávio
51'
D
Luiz Otávio
51'
D
8
Matheus Araújo
16'
M
Matheus Araújo
16'
M
80
P. Esli
M
P. Esli
M
12
Sanchez
51'
D
Sanchez
51'
D
29
Vina
36'
M
Vina
36'
M
9
Wendel
F
Wendel
F
1
Luan Polli
G
Luan Polli
G
4
Lucas Belezi
D
Lucas Belezi
D
3
Jhonatan
D
Jhonatan
D
6
Zeca
D
Zeca
D
23
Enzo
M
Enzo
M
16
João Miguel
79'
M
João Miguel
79'
M
15
Jota
85'
M
Jota
85'
M
22
Diogo Batista
68'
M
Diogo Batista
68'
M
17
Kauan
F
Kauan
F
11
Max
79'
F
Max
79'
F
5
Ian Luccas
F
Ian Luccas
F
Bench
7
Bruninho
F
Bruninho
F
2
Douglas Pelé
28'
D
Douglas Pelé
28'
D
21
D. Vera
F
D. Vera
F
13
Felipe Vieira
D
Felipe Vieira
D
12
Glauco
G
Glauco
G
10
Gustavinho
M
Gustavinho
M
19
J. Torres
11'
D
J. Torres
11'
D
20
Luiz Fernando
17'
F
Luiz Fernando
17'
F
14
Marcelo Henrique
D
Marcelo Henrique
D
18
Pedro Oliveira
17'
M
Pedro Oliveira
17'
M
Best on the pitch
Luiz Otávio
D · Ceara
7.70
· 40 pass
Éder
D · Ceara
7.30
· 67 pass
Lucas Belezi
D · Athletic
7.30
1 shots
· 27 pass
Richard
G · Ceara
7.20
· 12 pass
Kauan
F · Athletic
7.20
· 19 pass
Zeca
D · Athletic
7.20
· 38 pass
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Éder | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | — | — | — |
| Richardson | D | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Júlio | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Fernando | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Juan Alano | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Joao Gabriel | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Melk | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| L. Mugni | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| José Wilson Neto | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Luiz Otávio | D | 51 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Matheus Araújo | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Sanchez | D | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Vina | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan Polli | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Belezi | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Jhonatan | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Zeca | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| João Miguel | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Jota | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Diogo Batista | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Kauan | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Max | F | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Ian Luccas | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Douglas Pelé | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luiz Fernando | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Oliveira | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Ceara 0–0 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Ceara win, 35% to a draw, and 28% to an Athletic Club win.