Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 8
May 10, 2026 00:00
(pen.)
29'
Gustavo Coutinho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ceara a 36% win probability (draw 33%, Atletico Goianiense 29%). The final result was Ceara 0–1 Atletico Goianiense.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
3
9
Shots on target
1
2.18
Actual xG
1.59
0
Saves
9
75%
Possession
25%
11
Corners
1
12
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Melk
20'
29'
(pen.)
Gustavo Coutinho⚽
41'
Bruno Jose
Alex Silva
/ R. Ramos
46'
Diego
/ Vina
46'
Pedro Henrique
/ Juan Alano
46'
Vina
47'
61'
Adriano Martins
/
Geovany Soares
Lucas Lima
/ Fernandinho
63'
68'
Leo Tocantins
/
Marrony
68'
Leo Jaco
/
Gustavo Coutinho
72'
Paulo Vitor
Matheus Araujo
/ Richardson
77'
78'
Leo Jaco
79'
Nata
/
Matheus Indio
79'
Felipe Guimaraes
/
Guilherme
Pre-match prediction
36.59%
Ceara
33.5%
X
29.9%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Goianiense)
29.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
2.18
+0.89
1.04
1.59
+0.55
Ceara dominated by xG (2.18 vs 1.59).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
94
Bruno Ferreira
G
Bruno Ferreira
G
12
Sánchez
D
Sánchez
D
4
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
21
Alex Silva
45'
D
Alex Silva
45'
D
20
Dieguinho
45'
M
Dieguinho
45'
M
31
Lucas Lima
63'
M
Lucas Lima
63'
M
7
Pedro Henrique
45'
M
Pedro Henrique
45'
M
8
Matheus Araújo
77'
M
Matheus Araújo
77'
M
40
Melk
M
Melk
M
99
Lucca
F
Lucca
F
Bench
11
Fernandinho
27'
F
Fernandinho
27'
F
17
Fernando
D
Fernando
D
35
Giulio
F
Giulio
F
41
Gustavo Dias Martins
G
Gustavo Dias Martins
G
30
Gustavo Prado
M
Gustavo Prado
M
81
João Gabriel
M
João Gabriel
M
10
Juan Alano
45'
F
Juan Alano
45'
F
18
Júlio César
D
Júlio César
D
63
Pedro Gilmar
D
Pedro Gilmar
D
2
Rafael Ramos
45'
D
Rafael Ramos
45'
D
26
Richardson
13'
M
Richardson
13'
M
29
Vina
45'
M
Vina
45'
M
1
Paulo Vítor
G
Paulo Vítor
G
6
Guilherme Lopes
79'
D
Guilherme Lopes
79'
D
4
Junior Barreto
D
Junior Barreto
D
3
Tito
D
Tito
D
2
Ewerthon
D
Ewerthon
D
5
Leandro Vilela
M
Leandro Vilela
M
8
Indio
79'
M
Indio
79'
M
11
Geovany Soares
61'
M
Geovany Soares
61'
M
10
Marrony
68'
M
Marrony
68'
M
7
Bruno José
41'
M
Bruno José
41'
M
9
Gustavo Coutinho
1 ⚽
68'
F
Gustavo Coutinho
1 ⚽
68'
F
Bench
14
Adriano Martins
29'
D
Adriano Martins
29'
D
13
Felipe Guimarães
11'
D
Felipe Guimarães
11'
D
16
Guilherme Marques
M
Guilherme Marques
M
18
Jader Gentil
F
Jader Gentil
F
20
Leo Jacó
22'
F
Leo Jacó
22'
F
19
Léo Tocantins
22'
F
Léo Tocantins
22'
F
15
Natã
11'
D
Natã
11'
D
12
Paulo
G
Paulo
G
17
Redney Emanuel de Jesus Assis
M
Redney Emanuel de Jesus Assis
M
Best on the pitch
Paulo Vítor
G · Atletico
10.00
· 34 pass
Tito
D · Atletico
7.60
· 15 pass
Melk
M · Ceara
7.60
6 shots
· 26 pass
Luiz Otávio
D · Ceara
7.50
2 shots
· 58 pass
Junior Barreto
D · Atletico
7.50
· 18 pass
Lucas Lima
M · Ceara
7.50
· 44 pass
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Ferreira | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 58 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Otávio | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Éder | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Silva | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Lima | M | 63 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Araújo | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Melk | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 6 | 26 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Lucca | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Juan Alano | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Ramos | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Richardson | M | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Vina | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
Atletico Goianiense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Vítor | G | 90 | 10.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Lopes | D | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Junior Barreto | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Tito | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Ewerthon | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Vilela | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Indio | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Geovany Soares | M | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Marrony | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno José | M | 41 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Gustavo Coutinho | F | 68 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Adriano Martins | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Guimarães | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Jacó | F | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Tocantins | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Natã | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs Atletico Goianiense?
The final score was Ceara 0–1 Atletico Goianiense.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs Atletico Goianiense?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Ceara win, 33% to a draw, and 29% to an Atletico Goianiense win.