Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 12
June 11, 2026 01:00
Julio Cesar
(ast. Melk)
19'
Melk
(ast. R. Ramos)
45'+1
60'
(ast. Jean Lucas)
Sorriso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ceara a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Avai 22%). The final result was Ceara 2–1 Avai.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
0.93
Actual xG
0.40
1
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
8
Corners
0
19
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Eder
5'
⚽Julio Cesar
· ast. Melk
19'
Luiz Otavio
26'
38'
Walace Franca
⚽Melk
· ast. R. Ramos
45'+1
Matheus Araujo
48'
57'
Sorriso
/
Thayllon
57'
Wesley Gasolina
/
Wallison
60'
ast. Jean Lucas ·
Sorriso⚽
Wendel Silva
/ Gabriel Amaral
62'
67'
DG
Diego
/ Richardson
70'
Matheus Araujo
/ Gustavo Prado
70'
Fernando
/ Sanchez
70'
R. Ramos
/ Enzo Lodovico
78'
78'
Wenderson
/
DG
78'
Leo Gamalho
/
Walace Franca
82'
Gabriel Simples
/
Guilherme Aquino
Melk
/ Matheusinho
88'
90'+3
Romildo Del Piage
/
Paulo Vitor
90'
Paulo Vitor
Pre-match prediction
50.22%
Ceara ←
27.13%
X
22.65%
Avai
we assigned to the actual result (Ceara)
50.22%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
0.93
-0.72
0.78
0.40
-0.38
Ceara dominated by xG (0.93 vs 0.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Richard
G
Richard
G
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
4
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
18
Júlio
1 ⚽
D
Júlio
1 ⚽
D
17
Fernando
70'
M
Fernando
70'
M
81
Joao Gabriel
M
Joao Gabriel
M
20
Dieguinho
70'
M
Dieguinho
70'
M
2
Rafael Ramos
78'
M
Rafael Ramos
78'
M
8
Matheus Araújo
70'
F
Matheus Araújo
70'
F
9
Wendel
62'
F
Wendel
62'
F
40
Melk
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
Melk
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
Bench
60
Enzo
12'
F
Enzo
12'
F
83
Gabriel Amaral
28'
F
Gabriel Amaral
28'
F
41
G. Dias
G
G. Dias
G
35
Giulio
F
Giulio
F
30
Gustavo Prado
20'
M
Gustavo Prado
20'
M
10
Juan Alano
F
Juan Alano
F
13
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
98
Matheusinho
13'
M
Matheusinho
13'
M
80
Pedro Esli da Silva
M
Pedro Esli da Silva
M
63
Pedro Gilmar
D
Pedro Gilmar
D
26
Richardson
20'
M
Richardson
20'
M
12
Sanchez
20'
D
Sanchez
20'
D
41
Léo Aragão
G
Léo Aragão
G
36
DG
78'
D
DG
78'
D
50
Joao Victor
D
Joao Victor
D
15
Guilherme Vargas
82'
D
Guilherme Vargas
82'
D
2
Wallison
57'
D
Wallison
57'
D
8
Luiz Henrique
M
Luiz Henrique
M
25
Paulo Vitor
89'
M
Paulo Vitor
89'
M
10
Jean Lucas
1 👟
M
Jean Lucas
1 👟
M
14
Daniel Penha
M
Daniel Penha
M
43
Thayllon Roberth
57'
M
Thayllon Roberth
57'
M
57
Walace
78'
F
Walace
78'
F
Bench
5
Del Piage
8'
M
Del Piage
8'
M
18
Hyan
M
Hyan
M
9
Léo Gamalho
12'
F
Léo Gamalho
12'
F
66
Mateus Quaresma
D
Mateus Quaresma
D
21
Otávio Passos
G
Otávio Passos
G
4
Simples Gabriel
8'
D
Simples Gabriel
8'
D
11
Sorriso
1 ⚽
33'
F
Sorriso
1 ⚽
33'
F
95
Wenderson
12'
M
Wenderson
12'
M
52
Wesley Gasolina
33'
D
Wesley Gasolina
33'
D
Best on the pitch
Júlio
D · Ceara
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Melk
F · Ceara
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 18 pass
Sorriso
F · Avai
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Richardson
M · Ceara
7.00
· 6 pass
Luiz Henrique
M · Avai
7.00
· 46 pass
Rafael Ramos
M · Ceara
7.00
1 shots
· 25 pass
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Éder | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luiz Otávio | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Júlio | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Fernando | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Joao Gabriel | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Ramos | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Matheus Araújo | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wendel | F | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Melk | F | 88 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Enzo | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Amaral | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Prado | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheusinho | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Richardson | M | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Sanchez | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Avai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Aragão | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| DG | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joao Victor | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme Vargas | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Wallison | D | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Paulo Vitor | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel Penha | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Thayllon Roberth | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Walace | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Del Piage | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Léo Gamalho | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Simples Gabriel | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Sorriso | F | 33 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Wesley Gasolina | D | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs Avai?
The final score was Ceara 2–1 Avai.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs Avai?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Ceara win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Avai win.