Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 12
June 11, 2026 01:00
Julio Cesar
(ast. Melk)
19'
Melk
(ast. R. Ramos)
45'+1
60'
(ast. Jean Lucas)
Sorriso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ceara a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Avai 22%). The final result was Ceara 2–1 Avai.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
0.93
Actual xG
0.40
1
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
8
Corners
0
19
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Eder
5'
⚽Julio Cesar
· ast. Melk
19'
Luiz Otavio
26'
38'
Walace Franca
⚽Melk
· ast. R. Ramos
45'+1
Matheus Araujo
48'
57'
Sorriso
/
Thayllon
57'
Wesley Gasolina
/
Wallison
60'
ast. Jean Lucas ·
Sorriso⚽
Wendel Silva
/ Gabriel Amaral
62'
67'
DG
Diego
/ Richardson
70'
Matheus Araujo
/ Gustavo Prado
70'
Fernando
/ Sanchez
70'
R. Ramos
/ Enzo Lodovico
78'
78'
Wenderson
/
DG
78'
Leo Gamalho
/
Walace Franca
82'
Gabriel Simples
/
Guilherme Aquino
Melk
/ Matheusinho
88'
90'+3
Romildo Del Piage
/
Paulo Vitor
90'
Paulo Vitor
Pre-match prediction
50.22%
Ceara ←
27.13%
X
22.65%
Avai
we assigned to the actual result (Ceara)
50.22%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
0.93
-0.72
0.78
0.40
-0.38
Ceara dominated by xG (0.93 vs 0.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Richard
G
Richard
G
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
4
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
18
Júlio César
1 ⚽
D
Júlio César
1 ⚽
D
17
Fernando
70'
M
Fernando
70'
M
81
João Gabriel
M
João Gabriel
M
20
Dieguinho
70'
M
Dieguinho
70'
M
2
Rafael Ramos
78'
M
Rafael Ramos
78'
M
8
Matheus Araújo
70'
F
Matheus Araújo
70'
F
9
Wendel
62'
F
Wendel
62'
F
40
Melk
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
Melk
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
F
Bench
60
Enzo Valentim Lodovico
12'
F
Enzo Valentim Lodovico
12'
F
83
Gabriel Amaral
28'
F
Gabriel Amaral
28'
F
35
Giulio
F
Giulio
F
41
Gustavo Dias Martins
G
Gustavo Dias Martins
G
30
Gustavo Prado
20'
M
Gustavo Prado
20'
M
10
Juan Alano
F
Juan Alano
F
13
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
98
Matheusinho
13'
M
Matheusinho
13'
M
80
Pedro Esli da Silva
M
Pedro Esli da Silva
M
63
Pedro Gilmar
D
Pedro Gilmar
D
26
Richardson
20'
M
Richardson
20'
M
12
Sanchez
20'
D
Sanchez
20'
D
41
Léo Aragão
G
Léo Aragão
G
36
Douglas Teixeira
78'
D
Douglas Teixeira
78'
D
50
Joao Victor
D
Joao Victor
D
15
Guilherme Aquino
82'
D
Guilherme Aquino
82'
D
2
Wallison
57'
D
Wallison
57'
D
8
Luiz Henrique
M
Luiz Henrique
M
25
Paulo Vitor
89'
M
Paulo Vitor
89'
M
10
Jean Lucas
1 👟
M
Jean Lucas
1 👟
M
14
Daniel Penha
M
Daniel Penha
M
43
Thayllon Roberth
57'
M
Thayllon Roberth
57'
M
57
Walace
78'
F
Walace
78'
F
Bench
4
Gabriel Pereira Simples
8'
D
Gabriel Pereira Simples
8'
D
18
Hyan
M
Hyan
M
9
Léo Gamalho
12'
F
Léo Gamalho
12'
F
66
Mateus Quaresma
D
Mateus Quaresma
D
21
Otávio
G
Otávio
G
5
Romildo Del Piage
8'
M
Romildo Del Piage
8'
M
11
Sorriso
1 ⚽
33'
F
Sorriso
1 ⚽
33'
F
95
Wenderson
12'
M
Wenderson
12'
M
52
Wesley Gasolina
33'
D
Wesley Gasolina
33'
D
Best on the pitch
Júlio César
D · Ceara
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Melk
F · Ceara
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 18 pass
Sorriso
F · Avai
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Richardson
M · Ceara
7.00
· 6 pass
Luiz Henrique
M · Avai
7.00
· 46 pass
Rafael Ramos
M · Ceara
7.00
1 shots
· 25 pass
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Éder | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luiz Otávio | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Júlio César | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Fernando | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| João Gabriel | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Ramos | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Matheus Araújo | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wendel | F | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Melk | F | 88 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Valentim Lodovico | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Amaral | F | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Prado | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheusinho | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Richardson | M | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Sanchez | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Avai — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Aragão | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Teixeira | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Joao Victor | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme Aquino | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Wallison | D | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Henrique | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Paulo Vitor | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel Penha | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Thayllon Roberth | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Walace | F | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Pereira Simples | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Léo Gamalho | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Romildo Del Piage | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Sorriso | F | 33 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Wesley Gasolina | D | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs Avai?
The final score was Ceara 2–1 Avai.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs Avai?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Ceara win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Avai win.