Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 14
June 21, 2026 00:00
77'
Rafael Gava
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ceara a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Botafogo SP 29%). The final result was Ceara 0–1 Botafogo SP.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
5
0.63
Actual xG
1.16
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
5
Match Events
6'
Yuri Felipe
19'
Claudio Tencati
51'
Pedro Henrique
/
Gabriel Inocencio
Fernando
/ Sanchez
54'
R. Ramos
/ Enzo Lodovico
55'
Wendel Silva
/ Lucca
55'
Matheus Araujo
/ Matheusinho
61'
66'
Ze Hugo
/
Kelvin
66'
Wesley Santos
/
Jefferson Nem
67'
Arthur Caike
/
Hygor
71'
Pedro Henrique
Eder
73'
77'
Rafael Gava⚽
Richardson
/ Pedro Esli
79'
83'
Erik Rebello
/
Rafael Gava
87'
Lucca
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
38.08%
Ceara
32.06%
X
29.86%
Botafogo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo SP)
29.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
0.63
-0.28
0.86
1.16
+0.3
Botafogo SP dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs Botafogo SP?
The final score was Ceara 0–1 Botafogo SP.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs Botafogo SP?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Ceara win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an Botafogo SP win.