Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 14 June 21, 2026 00:00

Ceara

#16 · 43 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Botafogo SP

#12 · 51 pts

77' Rafael Gava

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ceara a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Botafogo SP 29%). The final result was Ceara 0–1 Botafogo SP. In 1 previous meetings, Ceara have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Botafogo SP.

Match statistics

2

Shots on target

5

0.63

Actual xG

1.16

55%

Possession

45%

7

Corners

5

Match Events

6'

Yuri Felipe

19'

Claudio Tencati

51'

Pedro Henrique / Gabriel Inocencio ↕

↕ Fernando / Sanchez

54'

↕ R. Ramos / Enzo Lodovico

55'

↕ Wendel Silva / Lucca

55'

↕ Matheus Araujo / Matheusinho

61'

66'

Ze Hugo / Kelvin ↕

66'

Wesley Santos / Jefferson Nem ↕

67'

Arthur Caike / Hygor ↕

71'

Pedro Henrique

Eder

73'

77'

Rafael Gava⚽

↕ Richardson / Pedro Esli

79'

83'

Erik Rebello / Rafael Gava ↕

87'

Lucca

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

38.08%

Ceara

32.06%

X

29.86%

Botafogo ←

we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo SP) 29.86% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Ceara

0.91

0.63

-0.28

Botafogo

0.86

1.16

+0.3

Botafogo SP dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.63). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Novorizontino	36	67
2	Juventude	36	65
3	Vila Nova	36	63
4	Criciuma	36	62
5	Fortaleza EC	36	62
6	CRB	36	55
7	Goias	36	55
8	Atletico Goianiense	36	55
9	Sport Recife	37	55
10	Operario-PR	37	54
11	São Bernardo	36	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	51
13	Cuiaba	36	47
14	Athletic Club	36	47
15	Nautico Recife	36	46
16	Ceara	36	43
17	Avai	36	37
18	Londrina	37	32
19	America Mineiro	36	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	15