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← Brasileirão Série B
#16 · 22 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#8 · 29 pts
(pen.) 45'+4 Mikael
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CRB a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Ceara 30%). The final result was Ceara 0–1 CRB.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
0.79
Actual xG
1.30
2
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
1
15
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Joao Gabriel
11'
Eder
38'
Lucas Mugni
43'
45'+4
(pen.) Mikael
Giulio / M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
46'
Sanchez / Savio
46'
Lucas Mugni / Vina
46'
53'
Lucas Lovat
63'
Geovane / Danielzinho
63'
Reverson / Lucas Lovat
Bryan Borges / Enzo Lodovico
71'
74'
Kevin
Julio Cesar
76'
Giovanni Pavani / Juan Alano
78'
79'
Guilherme Pato / Thiaguinho
88'
De Lucca / Pedro Castro
88'
Vinicius Barata / Dada Belmonte
88'
Vitor Caetano
Pre-match prediction
30.99%
Ceara
28.55%
X
40.46%
CRB ←
we assigned to the actual result (CRB) 40.46% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ceara
0.80
0.79
-0.01
CRB
1.24
1.30
+0.06
CRB dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.79). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Criciuma Criciuma 20 40
2 Juventude Juventude 20 35
3 Operario-PR Operario-PR 20 35
4 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 20 34
5 Vila Nova Vila Nova 20 34
6 Novorizontino Novorizontino 20 33
7 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 20 31
8 CRB CRB 20 29
9 Goias Goias 20 29
10 Sport Recife Sport Recife 20 29
11 Athletic Club Athletic Club 20 28
12 São Bernardo São Bernardo 20 27
13 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 20 25
14 Cuiaba Cuiaba 20 25
15 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 20 24
16 Ceara Ceara 20 22
17 Londrina Londrina 20 20
18 Avai Avai 20 20
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 20 11
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 20 9
Lineups
Ceara Ceara 4-2-3-1
1 Richard Richard G 6.90
12 Sanchez Sanchez 45' D 6.70
33 Éder Éder D 6.70
18 Júlio César Júlio César D 6.50
31 Bryan Borges Bryan Borges 71' D 6.50
81 João Gabriel João Gabriel M 6.30
21 Giovanni Pavani Giovanni Pavani 78' M 6.50
35 Giulio Giulio 45' M 6.50
11 Lucas Mugni Lucas Mugni 45' M 6.30
40 Melk Melk M 7.00
7 Renzo López Renzo López F 6.70
Bench
60 Enzo Valentim Lodovico Enzo Valentim Lodovico 19' F 6.30
71 Gabriel Silva Rocha Gabriel Silva Rocha M
88 José Wilson Neto José Wilson Neto M
10 Juan Alano Juan Alano 12' F 6.30
99 Lucca Lucca F
13 Luiz Otávio Luiz Otávio D
8 Matheus Araújo Matheus Araújo M
22 Matheus Nogueira Matheus Nogueira G
20 Nicolás Ferreira Nicolás Ferreira 45' F 6.60
26 Richardson Richardson M
6 Sávio Sávio 45' D 6.70
29 Vina Vina 45' M 7.00
CRB CRB 4-3-3
1 Vitor Caetano Vitor Caetano G 8.90
36 Lucas Lovat Lucas Lovat 63' D 6.90
27 Fábio Alemão Fábio Alemão D 7.20
22 Bressan Bressan D 7.00
2 Kevin Kevin D 6.70
10 Daniel Daniel 63' M 6.70
21 Pedro Castro Pedro Castro 88' M 6.90
8 Crystopher Crystopher M 7.30
97 Dadá Belmonte Dadá Belmonte 88' F 7.00
28 Mikael Mikael 1 ⚽ F 7.00
17 Thiaguinho Thiaguinho 79' F 6.60
Bench
7 Douglas Baggio Douglas Baggio F
23 Fábio Henrique Fábio Henrique G
18 Geovane Geovane 27' M 6.90
11 Guilherme Pato Guilherme Pato 11' F 6.70
50 Luizão Luizão M
33 Lyncon Lyncon D
45 Patrick De Lucca Patrick De Lucca 9' M 6.70
6 Reverson Reverson 27' D 7.20
14 Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira D
20 Vinicius Barata Vinicius Barata 9' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Vitor Caetano
Vitor Caetano
G · CRB
8.90
· 33 pass
Crystopher
Crystopher
M · CRB
7.30
1 shots · 48 pass
Reverson
Reverson
D · CRB
7.20
1 shots · 17 pass
Fábio Alemão
Fábio Alemão
D · CRB
7.20
· 40 pass
Bressan
Bressan
D · CRB
7.00
· 43 pass
Vina
Vina
M · Ceara
7.00
4 shots · 27 pass
Ceara Ceara — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Richard G 90 6.90 20 12%
Sanchez D 45 6.70 17 15% 2
Éder D 90 6.70 2 46 43% 1
Júlio César D 90 6.50 2 43 39% 1
Bryan Borges D 71 6.50 1 32 27% 2
João Gabriel M 90 6.30 1 44 39% 2 1
Giovanni Pavani M 78 6.50 1 30 26% 2
Giulio M 45 6.50 7 5%
Lucas Mugni M 45 6.30 19 13% 1 1
Melk M 90 7.00 1 34 26% 2
Renzo López F 90 6.70 1 11 9% 2
Enzo Valentim Lodovico F 19 6.30 9 7% 2
Juan Alano F 12 6.30 13 11%
Nicolás Ferreira F 45 6.60 1 20 16%
Sávio D 45 6.70 1 33 29%
Vina M 45 7.00 4 27 18%
CRB CRB — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Vitor Caetano G 90 8.90 33 24% 1
Lucas Lovat D 63 6.90 22 17% 3 1
Fábio Alemão D 90 7.20 40 33%
Bressan D 90 7.00 43 36%
Kevin D 90 6.70 36 32% 1
Daniel M 63 6.70 17 12% 1
Pedro Castro M 88 6.90 33 30% 2
Crystopher M 90 7.30 1 48 40% 3
Dadá Belmonte F 88 7.00 1 22 18% 1
Mikael F 90 7.00 1 4 13 9%
Thiaguinho F 79 6.60 2 29 24%
Geovane M 27 6.90 22 20%
Guilherme Pato F 11 6.70 10 8% 1
Patrick De Lucca M 9 6.70 4 2%
Reverson D 27 7.20 1 17 16% 2
Vinicius Barata F 9 6.30 2 2%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs CRB?
The final score was Ceara 0–1 CRB.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs CRB?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Ceara win, 28% to a draw, and 40% to an CRB win.