Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 19
July 23, 2026 00:30
(pen.)
45'+4
Mikael
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CRB a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Ceara 30%). The final result was Ceara 0–1 CRB.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
0.79
Actual xG
1.30
2
Saves
6
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
1
15
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Joao Gabriel
11'
Eder
38'
Lucas Mugni
43'
45'+4
(pen.)
Mikael⚽
Giulio
/ M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
46'
Sanchez
/ Savio
46'
Lucas Mugni
/ Vina
46'
53'
Lucas Lovat
63'
Geovane
/
Danielzinho
63'
Reverson
/
Lucas Lovat
Bryan Borges
/ Enzo Lodovico
71'
74'
Kevin
Julio Cesar
76'
Giovanni Pavani
/ Juan Alano
78'
79'
Guilherme Pato
/
Thiaguinho
88'
De Lucca
/
Pedro Castro
88'
Vinicius Barata
/
Dada Belmonte
88'
Vitor Caetano
Pre-match prediction
30.99%
Ceara
28.55%
X
40.46%
CRB ←
we assigned to the actual result (CRB)
40.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
0.79
-0.01
1.24
1.30
+0.06
CRB dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Richard
G
Richard
G
12
Sanchez
45'
D
Sanchez
45'
D
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
18
Júlio
D
Júlio
D
31
Bryan
71'
D
Bryan
71'
D
81
Joao Gabriel
M
Joao Gabriel
M
21
Giovanni Pavani
78'
M
Giovanni Pavani
78'
M
35
Giulio
45'
M
Giulio
45'
M
11
L. Mugni
45'
M
L. Mugni
45'
M
40
Melk
M
Melk
M
7
Renzo López
F
Renzo López
F
Bench
60
Enzo
19'
F
Enzo
19'
F
71
Gabriel Rocha
M
Gabriel Rocha
M
88
José Wilson Neto
M
José Wilson Neto
M
10
Juan Alano
12'
F
Juan Alano
12'
F
99
Lucca
F
Lucca
F
13
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
8
Matheus Araújo
M
Matheus Araújo
M
22
Matheus Nogueira
G
Matheus Nogueira
G
20
N. Ferreira
45'
F
N. Ferreira
45'
F
26
Richardson
M
Richardson
M
6
Sávio
45'
D
Sávio
45'
D
29
Vina
45'
M
Vina
45'
M
1
Vitor Caetano
G
Vitor Caetano
G
36
Lucas Lovat
63'
D
Lucas Lovat
63'
D
27
Fábio Alemão
D
Fábio Alemão
D
22
Bressan
D
Bressan
D
2
Kevin
D
Kevin
D
10
Daniel
63'
M
Daniel
63'
M
21
Pedro Castro
88'
M
Pedro Castro
88'
M
8
Crystopher
M
Crystopher
M
97
Dadá Belmonte
88'
F
Dadá Belmonte
88'
F
28
Mikael
1 ⚽
F
Mikael
1 ⚽
F
17
Thiaguinho
79'
F
Thiaguinho
79'
F
Bench
7
Douglas Baggio
F
Douglas Baggio
F
23
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
18
Geovane
27'
M
Geovane
27'
M
11
Guilherme Pato
11'
F
Guilherme Pato
11'
F
50
Luizão
M
Luizão
M
33
Lyncon
D
Lyncon
D
45
Patrick De Lucca
9'
M
Patrick De Lucca
9'
M
6
Reverson
27'
D
Reverson
27'
D
14
Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira
D
Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira
D
20
Vinicius Barata
9'
F
Vinicius Barata
9'
F
Best on the pitch
Vitor Caetano
G · CRB
8.90
· 33 pass
Crystopher
M · CRB
7.30
1 shots
· 48 pass
Reverson
D · CRB
7.20
1 shots
· 17 pass
Fábio Alemão
D · CRB
7.20
· 40 pass
Bressan
D · CRB
7.00
· 43 pass
Vina
M · Ceara
7.00
4 shots
· 27 pass
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Sanchez | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Éder | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Júlio | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 39% | — | 1 | — |
| Bryan | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Joao Gabriel | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Giovanni Pavani | M | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Giulio | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Mugni | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Melk | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Renzo López | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Enzo | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Alano | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Ferreira | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Sávio | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Vina | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
CRB — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Caetano | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Lovat | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fábio Alemão | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Bressan | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Kevin | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Castro | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Crystopher | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Dadá Belmonte | F | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Mikael | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Thiaguinho | F | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Geovane | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Pato | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick De Lucca | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Reverson | D | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinicius Barata | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs CRB?
The final score was Ceara 0–1 CRB.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs CRB?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Ceara win, 28% to a draw, and 40% to an CRB win.