Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 22
August 15, 2026 21:00
Enzo Lodovico
(ast. Lucca)
70'
41'
(ast. Eliel)
Jean Dias
54'
Calebe Costa
90'+7
(ast. Rodrigo Rodrigues)
Kauan Cristtyan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ceara a 41% win probability (draw 32%, Cuiaba 25%). The final result was Ceara 1–3 Cuiaba. In 1 previous meetings, Ceara have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cuiaba.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
3
Shots on target
5
0.33
Actual xG
2.25
3
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
5
9
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
6'
Joao Carlos
/
Marcelo Carne
41'
ast. Eliel ·
Jean Dias⚽
Giovanni Pavani
/ Lucas Mugni
46'
46'
David Miguel
/
Pepe
Vina
/ Melk
46'
54'
Calebe Costa⚽
R. Ramos
/ Enzo Lodovico
58'
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
/ R. Lopez
58'
Richardson
59'
Giulio
/ Matheus Araujo
67'
69'
Calebe Costa
⚽Enzo Lodovico
· ast. Lucca
70'
71'
Kauan Cristtyan
/
Eliel
80'
Weverson
/
Lorenzo
80'
Rodrigo Rodrigues
/
Jean Dias
Enzo Lodovico
/ Kaua Ziegler
88'
88'
Vinicius Peixoto
/
H. Pedro
Eder
90'+2
90'+7
ast. Rodrigo Rodrigues ·
Kauan Cristtyan⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.48%
Ceara
32.68%
X
25.84%
Cuiaba ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cuiaba)
25.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
0.33
-0.63
0.70
2.25
+1.55
Cuiaba dominated by xG (2.25 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Richard
G
Richard
G
6
Sávio
D
Sávio
D
33
Éder
D
Éder
D
18
Júlio
D
Júlio
D
2
Rafael Ramos
58'
D
Rafael Ramos
58'
D
26
Richardson
M
Richardson
M
21
Giovanni Pavani
45'
M
Giovanni Pavani
45'
M
35
Giulio
67'
M
Giulio
67'
M
29
Vina
45'
M
Vina
45'
M
20
N. Ferreira
58'
M
N. Ferreira
58'
M
99
Lucca
1 👟
F
Lucca
1 👟
F
Bench
60
Enzo
1 ⚽
29'
F
Enzo
1 ⚽
29'
F
71
Gabriel Rocha
M
Gabriel Rocha
M
88
José Wilson Neto
M
José Wilson Neto
M
90
Kauã Ziegler
13'
F
Kauã Ziegler
13'
F
11
L. Mugni
45'
M
L. Mugni
45'
M
13
Luiz Otávio
D
Luiz Otávio
D
8
Matheus Araújo
23'
M
Matheus Araújo
23'
M
22
Matheus Nogueira
G
Matheus Nogueira
G
40
Melk
45'
M
Melk
45'
M
7
R. López
32'
F
R. López
32'
F
12
Sanchez
D
Sanchez
D
31
Marcelo Carné
6'
G
Marcelo Carné
6'
G
4
Vitor Mendes
D
Vitor Mendes
D
5
Calebe
1 ⚽
D
Calebe
1 ⚽
D
13
João Basso
D
João Basso
D
36
Lorenzo
80'
M
Lorenzo
80'
M
8
Pepê
45'
M
Pepê
45'
M
30
Raul
M
Raul
M
2
Igor Inocêncio
M
Igor Inocêncio
M
77
Jean Dias
1 ⚽
80'
F
Jean Dias
1 ⚽
80'
F
11
Eliel
1 👟
71'
F
Eliel
1 👟
71'
F
96
Pedro Henrique
88'
F
Pedro Henrique
88'
F
Bench
20
David Miguel
45'
M
David Miguel
45'
M
39
Guilherme Mansano
F
Guilherme Mansano
F
1
João Carlos
84'
G
João Carlos
84'
G
41
Kauan
1 ⚽
19'
F
Kauan
1 ⚽
19'
F
91
Luisão
D
Luisão
D
97
Luiz Otávio
M
Luiz Otávio
M
37
Railan
M
Railan
M
27
Rodrigo Farofa
1 👟
10'
F
Rodrigo Farofa
1 👟
10'
F
29
Vinicius Peixoto
12'
F
Vinicius Peixoto
12'
F
53
Weverson
10'
M
Weverson
10'
M
Best on the pitch
Jean Dias
F · Cuiaba
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 6 pass
Enzo
F · Ceara
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
João Carlos
G · Cuiaba
7.60
· 21 pass
Rodrigo Farofa
F · Cuiaba
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 2 pass
Kauan
F · Cuiaba
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Igor Inocêncio
M · Cuiaba
7.30
1 shots
· 23 pass
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Sávio | D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 69 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Éder | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| Júlio | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Ramos | D | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Richardson | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 75 | 64% | — | 1 | — |
| Giovanni Pavani | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Giulio | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Vina | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| N. Ferreira | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo | F | 29 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Kauã Ziegler | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Mugni | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Araújo | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Melk | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. López | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Cuiaba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Carné | G | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Mendes | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Calebe | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | — | 1 | — |
| João Basso | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Lorenzo | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Pepê | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Raul | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Inocêncio | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| Jean Dias | F | 80 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Eliel | F | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | F | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| David Miguel | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| João Carlos | G | 84 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Kauan | F | 19 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Farofa | F | 10 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Peixoto | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Weverson | M | 10 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs Cuiaba?
The final score was Ceara 1–3 Cuiaba.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs Cuiaba?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Ceara win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an Cuiaba win.