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← Brasileirão Série B
#16 · 31 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#6 · 43 pts
Melk (ast. Julio Cesar) 39'
54' Boschilia
59' (ast. Pablo) Gabriel Feliciano
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ceara a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Operario-PR 29%). The final result was Ceara 1–2 Operario-PR.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
2
1.75
Actual xG
0.60
0
Saves
7
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
2
6
Tackles
15
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
19'
J. Cuenu
Fernandinho
26'
Melk · ast. Julio Cesar
39'
Fernando
45'+1
Matheus Araujo
51'
54'
Boschilia
59'
ast. Pablo · Gabriel Feliciano
Fernandinho
61'
Fernandinho
61'
68'
H. Pereira / Moraes
Joao Gabriel / Enzo Lodovico
68'
Julio Cesar / Lucas Lima
68'
73'
Gabriel Feliciano
Wendel Silva / Giulio
75'
Fernando / Pedro Esli
75'
80'
Neto Paraiba / Aylon
80'
Maguinho / Mikael Doka
Lucas Lima
81'
85'
Caio Dantas / Pablo
85'
Felipe Augusto / Vinicius Diniz
88'
Miranda
Lucas Lima
90'+2
Lucas Lima
90'+2
90'+7
Felipe Augusto
Pre-match prediction
41.15%
Ceara
29.43%
X
29.42%
Operario-PR ←
we assigned to the actual result (Operario-PR) 29.42% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Ceara
1.38
1.75
+0.37
Operario-PR
1.08
0.60
-0.48
Ceara dominated by xG (1.75 vs 0.60). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Juventude Juventude 27 50
2 Novorizontino Novorizontino 27 49
3 Vila Nova Vila Nova 27 47
4 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 27 47
5 Criciuma Criciuma 27 47
6 Operario-PR Operario-PR 27 43
7 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 27 43
8 CRB CRB 27 42
9 Sport Recife Sport Recife 27 41
10 Cuiaba Cuiaba 27 39
11 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 27 37
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 27 37
13 Goias Goias 27 36
14 São Bernardo São Bernardo 27 35
15 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 27 31
16 Ceara Ceara 27 31
17 Avai Avai 27 29
18 Londrina Londrina 27 25
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 27 17
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 27 10
Lineups
Ceara Ceara 4-2-3-1
1 Richard Richard G 5.90
17 Fernando Fernando 75' D 6.20
4 Luiz Otávio Luiz Otávio D 6.90
33 Éder Éder D 6.00
20 Dieguinho Dieguinho D 6.70
18 Júlio Júlio 1 👟 68' M 6.30
81 Joao Gabriel Joao Gabriel 68' M 6.30
11 Fernandinho Fernandinho 61' M 6.00
8 Matheus Araújo Matheus Araújo M 6.70
40 Melk Melk 1 ⚽ M 8.60
9 Wendel Wendel 75' F 6.20
Bench
94 Bruno Ferreira Bruno Ferreira G
60 Enzo Enzo 30' F 6.70
35 Giulio Giulio 23' F 6.30
30 Gustavo Prado Gustavo Prado M
10 Juan Alano Juan Alano F
31 Lucas Lima Lucas Lima 24' M 6.20
13 Luiz Otávio Luiz Otávio D
98 Matheusinho Matheusinho M
80 Pedro Esli da Silva Pedro Esli da Silva 23' M 6.70
63 Pedro Gilmar Pedro Gilmar D
2 Rafael Ramos Rafael Ramos D
26 Richardson Richardson M
Operario-PR Operario-PR 4-1-4-1
33 Vagner Vagner G 9.50
27 Gabriel Feliciano Gabriel Feliciano 1 ⚽ D 8.20
16 Miranda Miranda D 6.90
22 J. Cuenú J. Cuenú D 7.20
2 Mikael Doka Mikael Doka 80' D 6.90
39 Matheus Trindade Matheus Trindade M 6.60
6 Moraes Moraes 68' M 6.70
10 Boschilia Boschilia 1 ⚽ M 8.00
20 Vinícius Diniz Vinícius Diniz 85' M 6.60
11 Aylon Aylon 80' M 6.70
92 Pablo Pablo 1 👟 85' F 6.90
Bench
18 André Simplicio André Simplicio D
99 Caio Dantas Caio Dantas 13' F 6.70
41 Diego Monteiro Diego Monteiro G
29 E. Torres E. Torres F
7 Felipe Augusto Felipe Augusto 13' F 6.50
14 Hildeberto Pereira Hildeberto Pereira 30' F 6.30
23 João Gabriel Rodrigues Botão João Gabriel Rodrigues Botão D
44 Klaus Klaus D
26 Maguinho Maguinho 18' D 6.90
88 Neto Paraíba Neto Paraíba 18' M 6.30
30 Pedro Vilhena Pedro Vilhena M
Best on the pitch
Vagner
Vagner
G · Operario-PR
9.50
· 19 pass
Melk
Melk
M · Ceara
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 36 pass
Gabriel Feliciano
Gabriel Feliciano
D · Operario-PR
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 54 pass
Boschilia
Boschilia
M · Operario-PR
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
J. Cuenú
J. Cuenú
D · Operario-PR
7.20
· 43 pass
Maguinho
Maguinho
D · Operario-PR
6.90
· 9 pass
Ceara Ceara — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Richard G 98 5.90 20 17%
Fernando D 75 6.20 1 37 30% 1 1
Luiz Otávio D 98 6.90 2 55 47% 1
Éder D 98 6.00 56 51% 1
Dieguinho D 98 6.70 1 45 39% 1
Júlio M 68 6.30 1 16 13%
Joao Gabriel M 68 6.30 25 20%
Fernandinho M 61 6.00 2 15 13% 2 1
Matheus Araújo M 98 6.70 2 29 23% 1
Melk M 98 8.60 1 3 36 29% 1
Wendel F 75 6.20 1 14 12% 1
Enzo F 30 6.70 1 7 6%
Giulio F 23 6.30 3 1%
Lucas Lima M 24 6.20 19 17% 2 1
Pedro Esli da Silva M 23 6.70 5 4%
Operario-PR Operario-PR — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Vagner G 98 9.50 19 14%
Gabriel Feliciano D 98 8.20 1 2 54 43% 4 1
Miranda D 98 6.90 39 36% 1
J. Cuenú D 98 7.20 43 35% 1 1
Mikael Doka D 80 6.90 21 15% 1
Matheus Trindade M 98 6.60 33 29% 3
Moraes M 68 6.70 15 12%
Boschilia M 98 8.00 1 1 41 36% 3
Vinícius Diniz M 85 6.60 2 15 14% 1
Aylon M 80 6.70 1 16 13% 1
Pablo F 85 6.90 1 27 23%
Caio Dantas F 13 6.70 1 1%
Felipe Augusto F 13 6.50 2 2% 1
Hildeberto Pereira F 30 6.30 9 8%
Maguinho D 18 6.90 9 8%
Neto Paraíba M 18 6.30 7 5% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs Operario-PR?
The final score was Ceara 1–2 Operario-PR.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs Operario-PR?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Ceara win, 29% to a draw, and 29% to an Operario-PR win.