Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 21
August 08, 2026 01:30
✓Model correct — prediction Ceara
Lucca
(ast. Giovanni Pavani)
29'
Giulio
(ast. Gabriel Rocha)
78'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ceara a 62% win probability (draw 23%, Ponte Preta 14%). The final result was Ceara 2–0 Ponte Preta. In 1 previous meetings, Ceara have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ponte Preta.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
8
Shots on target
1
2.08
Actual xG
0.97
1
Saves
6
69%
Possession
31%
3
Corners
2
19
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
11'
Julio
19'
Julio
19'
Julio
21'
Diego Porfirio
22'
M. L. Diego
/
Kevyson
⚽Lucca
· ast. Giovanni Pavani
29'
43'
Lucas Cunha
46'
Rodrigo Souza
/
David da Hora
Thalisson
/ Luiz Otavio
49'
Giovanni Pavani
/ Richardson
62'
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
/ Melk
62'
64'
Baianinho
/
S. Palacios
Joao Gabriel
69'
⚽Giulio
· ast. Gabriel Rocha
78'
83'
Gustavo Almeida
/
Elvis
83'
Gustavo Telles
/
Andre Lima
Vina
/ Lucas Mugni
84'
Lucca
/ R. Lopez
84'
86'
Gustavo Almeida
Pre-match prediction
62.29%
Ceara ←
23.52%
X
14.2%
Ponte
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Ceara)
62.29%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
2.08
+0.51
0.60
0.97
+0.37
Ceara dominated by xG (2.08 vs 0.97).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Richard
G
Richard
G
6
Sávio
D
Sávio
D
71
Gabriel Rocha
1 👟
D
Gabriel Rocha
1 👟
D
3
Thalisson Gabriel
49'
D
Thalisson Gabriel
49'
D
31
Bryan
D
Bryan
D
81
Joao Gabriel
M
Joao Gabriel
M
21
Giovanni Pavani
1 👟
62'
M
Giovanni Pavani
1 👟
62'
M
35
Giulio
1 ⚽
M
Giulio
1 ⚽
M
29
Vina
84'
M
Vina
84'
M
20
N. Ferreira
62'
M
N. Ferreira
62'
M
99
Lucca
1 ⚽
84'
F
Lucca
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
60
Enzo
F
Enzo
F
88
José Wilson Neto
M
José Wilson Neto
M
90
Kauã Ziegler
F
Kauã Ziegler
F
11
L. Mugni
10'
M
L. Mugni
10'
M
13
Luiz Otávio
45'
D
Luiz Otávio
45'
D
8
Matheus Araújo
M
Matheus Araújo
M
22
Matheus Nogueira
G
Matheus Nogueira
G
40
Melk
32'
M
Melk
32'
M
26
Richardson
32'
M
Richardson
32'
M
7
R. López
10'
F
R. López
10'
F
12
Sanchez
D
Sanchez
D
45
Vini Uchella
M
Vini Uchella
M
30
Vinicius
G
Vinicius
G
13
Diego Porfírio
D
Diego Porfírio
D
3
Lucas Cunha
D
Lucas Cunha
D
23
S. Palacios
64'
D
S. Palacios
64'
D
32
Kevyson
22'
M
Kevyson
22'
M
16
Léo Gomes
M
Léo Gomes
M
8
André Lima
83'
M
André Lima
83'
M
2
Julio
19'
M
Julio
19'
M
10
Elvis
83'
F
Elvis
83'
F
18
David da Hora
45'
F
David da Hora
45'
F
21
Brandão
F
Brandão
F
Bench
11
Baianinho
30'
F
Baianinho
30'
F
4
Diego Leão
72'
D
1
Guilherme Viana
G
Guilherme Viana
G
44
Gustavo Almeida
11'
D
Gustavo Almeida
11'
D
35
Gustavo Lopes
11'
M
Gustavo Lopes
11'
M
9
Joao Damiao
F
Joao Damiao
F
6
Juan
D
Juan
D
17
Miguel
M
Miguel
M
5
Rodrigo Souza
49'
M
Rodrigo Souza
49'
M
Best on the pitch
Sávio
D · Ceara
8.00
1 shots
· 60 pass
Bryan
D · Ceara
8.00
1 shots
· 46 pass
Giulio
M · Ceara
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
Gabriel Rocha
D · Ceara
7.70
1 👟
· 61 pass
Richardson
M · Ceara
7.30
· 29 pass
Giovanni Pavani
M · Ceara
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
Ceara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Sávio | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 54% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabriel Rocha | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 61 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Thalisson Gabriel | D | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Bryan | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Joao Gabriel | M | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Giovanni Pavani | M | 62 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Giulio | M | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Vina | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| N. Ferreira | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 84 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mugni | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Otávio | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Melk | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Richardson | M | 32 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| R. López | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Diego Porfírio | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Cunha | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Palacios | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Kevyson | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Léo Gomes | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| André Lima | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Julio | M | 19 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Elvis | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| David da Hora | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Brandão | F | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Baianinho | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
| Diego Leão | D | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Almeida | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Lopes | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Souza | M | 49 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ceara vs Ponte Preta?
The final score was Ceara 2–0 Ponte Preta.
What did the model predict before Ceara vs Ponte Preta?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Ceara win, 23% to a draw, and 14% to an Ponte Preta win.