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Celje - Ararat-Armenia

Champions League August 11, 2026 19:00
Celje
vs
Ararat-Armenia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.1%
Win
Celje
25.1%
Draw
32.81%
Win
Ararat-Armenia
1.73
Expected xG
1.52

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.14%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 25%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 58%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celje a 42% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ararat-Armenia. Expected goals are 1.7 for Celje and 1.5 for Ararat-Armenia (total 3.2), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.14% probability.

Season Stats

Celje
0W 2D 0L
Ararat-Armenia
2W 0D 2L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.8
2.0
Conceded
1.2
—
Shots OT
3.0
—
Corners
2.0
—
Poss.
47%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Celje
0W 1D 0L · at home
Ararat-Armenia
0W 0D 2L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
2.5
0%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Celje Ararat-Armenia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9% 5.9% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.7% 10.2% 7.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.8% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.4% 5.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Celje Celje
D Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1
D Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 27%
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
L Shamrock Rovers 2–1
W Shamrock Rovers 2–0
L Riga 3–2
W Riga 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Celje Celje
Attack
41
Defence
62
Form
54
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
Attack
39
Defence
72
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?
The model gives Celje a 42% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 32% for an Ararat-Armenia win.
How many goals are expected in Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?
Expected goals: Celje 1.7, Ararat-Armenia 1.5 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.14%.