← 1. SNL

Celje - Koper

1. SNL May 16, 2026 17:30
#1 · 71 pts
vs
#2 · 64 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Light rain 13.2°C 💨 2 km/h 🌧️ 35% · Celje
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.11%
Win
Celje
18.73%
Draw
23.17%
Win
Koper
2.71
Expected xG
1.63
Model prediction
Celje
58.11%
Probability
91.7%
1X2 accuracy · 12 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celje a 58% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 23% for Koper. Expected goals are 2.7 for Celje and 1.6 for Koper (total 4.3), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.8% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Celje have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Koper.

Score Matrix
↕ Celje Koper →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.8% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 4.8% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.3% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.9% 4.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Recent form
L Bravo 2–3
W Aluminij 5–0
W Mura 0–2
W Olimpija Ljubljana 2–0
W Radomlje 1–3
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 31%
W Aluminij 1–0
W Mura 0–1
W Olimpija Ljubljana 3–2
W Radomlje 0–3
W Maribor 3–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 36%
Playing profile
Celje Celje
Attack
60
Defence
83
Form
76
Koper Koper
Attack
50
Defence
85
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Celje Celje 32 71
2 Koper Koper 33 64
3 Bravo Bravo 33 59
4 Maribor Maribor 31 50
5 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 31 49
6 Radomlje Radomlje 32 42
7 Aluminij Aluminij 32 35
8 Mura Mura 32 28
9 Primorje Primorje 32 21
10 NK Domzale NK Domzale 18 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celje vs Koper?
The model gives Celje a 58% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 23% for an Koper win.
How many goals are expected in Celje vs Koper?
Expected goals: Celje 2.7, Koper 1.6 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Celje vs Koper?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.8%.