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Celje - NEC Nijmegen

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Celje
#7 · 0 pts
vs
NEC Nijmegen
#24 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.26%
Win
Celje
20.98%
Draw
25.76%
Win
NEC Nijmegen
2.11
Expected xG
1.39

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.36%)
1X2 Result
1 53%
X 21%
2 26%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 74%
X2 47%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 74%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celje a 53% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 25% for NEC Nijmegen. Expected goals are 2.1 for Celje and 1.4 for NEC Nijmegen (total 3.5), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.36% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Celje NEC Nijmegen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% —

Recent form

Celje Celje
L AEK Larnaca 2–1
D AEK Larnaca 1–1
D Sabah FA 3–3
W Sabah FA 2–3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
No data available

Playing profile

Celje Celje
Attack
39
Defence
61
Form
46
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
Attack
39
Defence
47
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model gives Celje a 53% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 25% for an NEC Nijmegen win.
How many goals are expected in Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?
Expected goals: Celje 2.1, NEC Nijmegen 1.4 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.36%.