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Celje - NEC Nijmegen

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Celje
#29 · 1 pts
vs
NEC Nijmegen
#20 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.26%
Win
Celje
20.98%
Draw
25.76%
Win
NEC Nijmegen
2.11
Expected xG
1.39

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.36%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 53%
X 21%
2 26%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 74%
X2 47%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
Over 2.5 74%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celje a 53% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 25% for NEC Nijmegen. Expected goals are 2.1 for Celje and 1.4 for NEC Nijmegen (total 3.5), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.36% probability.

Season Stats

Celje
1W 3D 3L
NEC Nijmegen
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.7
2.1
Conceded
2.7
2.7
Shots OT
5.7
2.3
Corners
3.0
51%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
67%
71%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Celje
0W 3D 1L · at home
NEC Nijmegen
1W 0D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.0
2.2
Conceded
3.5
0%
Win %
50%
75%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
75%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Celje NEC Nijmegen →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% —

Recent form

Celje Celje
D Red Bull Salzburg 2–2
L Omonia Nicosia 0–3
L Bayer Leverkusen 2–0
L AEK Larnaca 2–1
D AEK Larnaca 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
W Dinamo Zagreb 2–4
D Levski Sofia 1–1
L Juventus 5–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Celje Celje
Attack
17
Defence
69
Form
12
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
Attack
45
Defence
49
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model gives Celje a 53% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 25% for an NEC Nijmegen win.
How many goals are expected in Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?
Expected goals: Celje 2.1, NEC Nijmegen 1.4 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Celje vs NEC Nijmegen?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.36%.