Skip to main content
← Europa League
Europa League · League Stage - 3 October 22, 2026 21:00 Stadion Z’dežele, Celje
Celje
#25 · 4 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Red Bull Salzburg
#26 · 4 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Red Bull Salzburg, result Draw
Blaž Kramer (ast. Svit Seslar) 50'
A. Kučys (ast. Yaya Dukuly) 90'
9' (ast. Damir Redzic) Sota Kitano
46' (ast. Damir Redzic) Jesper Lindstrom
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 58% win probability (draw 24%, Celje 17%). The final result was Celje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
4
1.68
Actual xG
1.62
2
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
3
22
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
ast. Damir Redzic · Sota Kitano⚽
Artemijus Tutyskinas
32'
35'
Damir Redzic
Pijus Sirvys
43'
45'
Jesper Lindstrom / Yorbe Vertessen ↕
45'
Bartosz Mazurek / Umut Deger Tohumcu ↕
46'
ast. Damir Redzic · Jesper Lindstrom⚽
⚽Blaž Kramer · ast. Svit Seslar
50'
↕ Veton Tusha / Yaya Dukuly
60'
65'
Gaoussou Diakité / Sota Kitano ↕
↕ Benjamin Verbič / A. Kučys
81'
↕ Pijus Sirvys / Žan Žužek
81'
83'
Frans Kratzig / Damir Redzic ↕
90'+2
Bartosz Mazurek
↕ Mario Kvesić / Darko Hrka
90'+4
⚽A. Kučys · ast. Yaya Dukuly
90'
Pre-match prediction
17.68%
Celje
24.29%
X ←
58.03%
Red
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Celje
0.61
1.68
+1.07
Red
1.51
1.62
+0.11
xG dominance was balanced (1.68 – 1.62). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Benfica Benfica 4 12
2 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 12
3 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 4 12
4 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 4 10
5 Juventus Juventus 4 10
6 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 4 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4 9
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4 7
10 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 4 7
11 Sunderland Sunderland 4 7
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4 7
13 Lyon Lyon 4 7
14 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4 6
15 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4 6
16 OFI OFI 4 6
17 Rennes Rennes 4 6
18 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 4 6
19 Torreense Torreense 4 6
20 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4 5
21 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 5
22 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 4 4
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 4 4
24 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4 4
25 Celje Celje 4 4
26 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 4 4
27 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 4 3
28 AC Milan AC Milan 4 3
29 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4 3
30 Plzen Plzen 4 3
31 Marseille Marseille 4 3
32 Celtic Celtic 4 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 1
34 Lillestrom Lillestrom 4 1
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4 1
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 4 0
Lineups
Celje Celje 4-3-3
1 Žan-Luk Leban Žan-Luk Leban G 6.30
11 M. Avdyli M. Avdyli D 7.09
6 A. Tutyškinas A. Tutyškinas D 6.54
44 Ł. Bejger Ł. Bejger D 6.60
2 P. Širvys P. Širvys 81' D 6.30
8 M. Kvesić M. Kvesić 89' M 6.42
19 M. Zabukovnik M. Zabukovnik M 6.07
10 S. Sešlar S. Sešlar 1 👟 M 6.82
7 B. Verbič B. Verbič 81' F 7.00
9 B. Kramer B. Kramer 1 ⚽ F 8.18
25 V. Tusha V. Tusha 60' F 6.56
Bench
20 A. Dionkou A. Dionkou D 0.00
47 A. Kučys A. Kučys 1 ⚽ 9' F 8.11
4 D. Hrka D. Hrka 1' M 0.00
31 D. Suhovrsnik D. Suhovrsnik F 0.00
12 L. Kolar L. Kolar G 0.00
33 L. Koútris L. Koútris D 0.00
77 M. Ivanšek M. Ivanšek F 0.00
13 Papa Mustapha Daniel Papa Mustapha Daniel M 0.00
91 Y. Dukuly Y. Dukuly 1 👟 30' F 7.06
23 Ž. Frelih Ž. Frelih G 0.00
15 Ž. Žužek Ž. Žužek 9' D 6.21
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
52 Christian Zawieschitzky Christian Zawieschitzky G 5.97
31 D. Schmid D. Schmid D 6.85
21 T. Drexler T. Drexler D 6.75
44 K. Boma K. Boma D 6.91
39 L. Morgalla L. Morgalla D 6.59
7 U. Tohumcu U. Tohumcu 45' M 6.09
32 A. Barry A. Barry M 6.62
11 Y. Vertessen Y. Vertessen 45' M 6.08
8 S. Kitano S. Kitano 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.48
23 D. Redzic D. Redzic 2 👟 83' M 7.59
9 H. Tabaković H. Tabaković F 6.55
Bench
33 A. Camara A. Camara M 0.00
15 B. Mazurek B. Mazurek 45' M 6.21
1 C. Früchtl C. Früchtl G 0.00
13 F. Krätzig F. Krätzig 7' D 6.36
30 G. Diakité G. Diakité 25' F 7.02
35 J. Lindstrøm J. Lindstrøm 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.15
4 J. Mellberg J. Mellberg D 0.00
19 K. Konaté K. Konaté F 0.00
41 Nikola Šarčević Nikola Šarčević G 0.00
5 S. Diabaté S. Diabaté M 0.00
22 S. Lainer S. Lainer D 0.00
47 Valentin Zabransky Valentin Zabransky D 0.00
Best on the pitch
B. Kramer
B. Kramer
F · Celje
8.18
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
A. Kučys
A. Kučys
F · Celje
8.11
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
D. Redzic
D. Redzic
M · Red
7.59
2 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
S. Kitano
S. Kitano
M · Red
7.48
1 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
J. Lindstrøm
J. Lindstrøm
M · Red
7.15
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
M. Avdyli
M. Avdyli
D · Celje
7.09
2 shots · 62 pass
Celje Celje — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Žan-Luk Leban G 90 6.30 — — 0 35 30% 0 — —
M. Avdyli D 90 7.09 — — 2 62 54% 4 — —
A. Tutyškinas D 90 6.54 — — 0 71 67% 2 1 —
Ł. Bejger D 90 6.60 — — 0 64 57% 1 — —
P. Širvys D 81 6.30 — — 0 60 52% 4 1 —
M. Kvesić M 89 6.42 — — 0 53 46% 3 — —
M. Zabukovnik M 90 6.07 — — 0 58 48% 1 — —
S. Sešlar M 90 6.82 — 1 1 42 32% 2 — —
B. Verbič F 81 7.00 — — 1 7 6% 2 — —
B. Kramer F 90 8.18 1 — 1 22 16% 1 — —
V. Tusha F 60 6.56 — — 2 14 11% 1 — —
A. Kučys F 9 8.11 1 — 1 1 0% 0 — —
D. Hrka M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Y. Dukuly F 30 7.06 — 1 0 11 8% 1 — —
Ž. Žužek D 9 6.21 — — 1 13 12% 0 — —
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Christian Zawieschitzky G 90 5.97 — — 0 31 22% 0 — —
D. Schmid D 90 6.85 — — 0 63 55% 0 — —
T. Drexler D 90 6.75 — — 0 79 73% 1 — —
K. Boma D 90 6.91 — — 0 60 57% 1 — —
L. Morgalla D 90 6.59 — — 0 32 27% 7 — —
U. Tohumcu M 45 6.09 — — 0 18 17% 0 — —
A. Barry M 90 6.62 — — 4 73 65% 3 — —
Y. Vertessen M 45 6.08 — — 0 13 8% 0 — —
S. Kitano M 65 7.48 1 — 3 30 25% 0 — —
D. Redzic M 83 7.59 — 2 2 21 15% 3 1 —
H. Tabaković F 90 6.55 — — 3 29 22% 0 — —
B. Mazurek M 45 6.21 — — 0 28 26% 1 1 —
F. Krätzig D 7 6.36 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
G. Diakité F 25 7.02 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
J. Lindstrøm M 45 7.15 1 — 3 19 13% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The final score was Celje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg.
What did the model predict before Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Celje win, 24% to a draw, and 58% to an Red Bull Salzburg win.