Celje - Red Bull Salzburg
Europa League
October 22, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
10.3%
Win
Celje
9.52%
Draw
80.19%
Win
Red Bull Salzburg
0.86
3.4
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Red Bull Salzburg
80.19%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–3
(9.48%)
1X2 Result
1
10%
X
10%
2
80%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
20%
X2
90%
12
91%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
90%
Over 2.5
82%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Red Bull Salzburg a 80% win probability, against 9% for a draw and 10% for Celje. Expected goals are 0.9 for Celje and 3.4 for Red Bull Salzburg (total 4.3), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–3 at 9.48% probability.
Season Stats
1W
2D
2L
6W
1D
6L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.5
2.0
Conceded
1.4
3.0
Shots OT
5.7
2.0
Corners
4.5
44%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
62%
60%
O 2.5
46%
80%
BTTS
38%
0%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
47%
O 3.5
72%
BTTS
0W
2D
0L
· at home
2W
1D
4L
· away
2.0
gls/g
1.1
2.0
Conceded
1.9
0%
Win %
29%
100%
Win or Draw
43%
100%
O 1.5
57%
50%
O 2.5
43%
50%
O 3.5
43%
100%
BTTS
43%
0%
Clean Sht
29%
0%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Celje
Red Bull Salzburg →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| 4 | — | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Celje
Attack
25
Defence
60
Form
9
Red Bull Salzburg
Attack
65
Defence
87
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The model gives Celje a 10% win probability, 9% for a draw, and 80% for an Red Bull Salzburg win.
How many goals are expected in Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Expected goals: Celje 0.9, Red Bull Salzburg 3.4 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
0–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.48%.