La Liga · Regular Season - 29 March 22, 2026 16:15 Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo

Celta Vigo

#15 · 4 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Alaves

#3 · 10 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celta Vigo a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Alaves 20%). The final result was Celta Vigo 3–4 Alaves. In 1 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Alaves.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

6

1.82

Actual xG

1.73

56%

Possession

44%

4

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

54.92%

Celta

25.06%

X

20.03%

Alaves ←

we assigned to the actual result (Alaves) 20.03% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Celta

1.62

1.82

+0.2

Alaves

0.83

1.73

+0.9

xG dominance was balanced (1.82 – 1.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Barcelona	5	15
2	Real Madrid	5	12
3	Alaves	5	10
4	Sevilla	5	10
5	Deportivo La Coruna	5	9
6	Real Betis	4	9
7	Espanyol	5	7
8	Atletico Madrid	4	7
9	Athletic Club	5	7
10	Racing Santander	5	7
11	Real Sociedad	5	7
12	Osasuna	5	7
13	Levante	5	5
14	Getafe	5	5
15	Celta Vigo	6	4
16	Rayo Vallecano	5	4
17	Malaga	5	3
18	Villarreal	4	2
19	Elche	5	2
20	Valencia	5	1