La Liga · Regular Season - 29 March 22, 2026 17:15

Celta Vigo

#6 · 50 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Alaves

#16 · 40 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celta Vigo a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Alaves 20%). The final result was Celta Vigo 3–4 Alaves. In 1 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Alaves.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

6

1.82

Actual xG

1.73

56%

Possession

44%

4

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

54.92%

Celta

25.06%

X

20.03%

Alaves ←

we assigned to the actual result (Alaves) 20.03% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Celta

1.62

1.82

+0.2

Alaves

0.83

1.73

+0.9

xG dominance was balanced (1.82 – 1.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Barcelona	36	91
2	Real Madrid	36	80
3	Villarreal	36	69
4	Atletico Madrid	36	66
5	Real Betis	36	57
6	Celta Vigo	36	50
7	Getafe	36	48
8	Real Sociedad	36	45
9	Athletic Club	36	44
10	Rayo Vallecano	36	44
11	Valencia	36	43
12	Sevilla	36	43
13	Osasuna	36	42
14	Espanyol	36	42
15	Girona	36	40
16	Alaves	36	40
17	Elche	36	39
18	Mallorca	36	39
19	Levante	36	39
20	Oviedo	36	29