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La Liga · Regular Season - 9 October 18, 2026 16:15 Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo
Celta Vigo
#9 · 12 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Alaves
#7 · 12 pts
Ferran Jutglà (ast. Javier Rodríguez Galiano) 53'
Javier Rodríguez Galiano (ast. Iago Aspas) 71'
87' (ast. Mariano Díaz) Hugo Novoa Ramos
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celta Vigo a 36% win probability (draw 28%, Alaves 34%). The final result was Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves. In 2 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Alaves.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
20
3
Shots on target
9
0.91
Actual xG
1.05
8
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
0
Corners
4
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Sebastián Cáceres
15'
45'
Toni Martínez
↕ Ilaix Moriba / Aleix Febas
45'
↕ Williot Swedberg / Javier Rueda García
45'
⚽Ferran Jutglà · ast. Javier Rodríguez Galiano
53'
62'
Hugo Novoa Ramos / Jonny Otto ↕
62'
Mariano Díaz / Toni Martínez ↕
62'
Denis Suárez / Carles Aleñá ↕
↕ Couhaib Driouech / Iago Aspas
70'
↕ Hugo Burcio / Andrés Antañón Vieites
70'
⚽Javier Rodríguez Galiano · ast. Iago Aspas
71'
↕ Sebastián Cáceres / Marcos Alonso
77'
87'
ast. Mariano Díaz · Hugo Novoa Ramos⚽
88'
Aitor Mañas / Abderrahmane Rebbach ↕
88'
Ander Guevara / Antonio Blanco ↕
Pre-match prediction
36.78%
Celta ←
28.38%
X
34.85%
Alaves
we assigned to the actual result (Celta Vigo) 36.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Celta
1.38
0.91
-0.47
Alaves
1.49
1.05
-0.44
xG dominance was balanced (0.91 – 1.05). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 10 27
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 10 25
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid 10 24
4 Real Betis Real Betis 10 20
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 10 19
6 Sevilla Sevilla 10 17
7 Alaves Alaves 10 12
8 Athletic Club Athletic Club 9 12
9 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 10 12
10 Villarreal Villarreal 10 12
11 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 10 11
12 Osasuna Osasuna 10 11
13 Racing Santander Racing Santander 10 11
14 Levante Levante 10 10
15 Elche Elche 10 10
16 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 9 9
17 Getafe Getafe 10 9
18 Espanyol Espanyol 10 8
19 Valencia Valencia 10 6
20 Malaga Malaga 10 5
Lineups
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-4-3
13 I. Radu I. Radu G 8.17
21 S. Cáceres S. Cáceres 77' D 6.60
18 Yoel Lago Yoel Lago D 7.00
20 Javi Rodríguez Javi Rodríguez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.20
23 Hugo Álvarez Hugo Álvarez M 6.90
6 I. Moriba I. Moriba 45' M 6.42
30 H. Burcio H. Burcio 70' M 6.64
5 Sergio Carreira Sergio Carreira M 6.28
19 W. Swedberg W. Swedberg 45' F 6.14
9 Ferran Jutglà Ferran Jutglà 1 ⚽ F 7.74
24 C. Driouech C. Driouech 70' F 6.38
Bench
1 A. Bayındır A. Bayındır G 0.00
4 A. Faye A. Faye D 0.00
14 Aleix Febas Aleix Febas 45' M 6.53
15 Álvaro Núñez Álvaro Núñez D 0.00
28 Andrés Antañón Andrés Antañón 20' M 6.66
31 Ángel Arcos Ángel Arcos F 0.00
16 Hugo González Hugo González F 0.00
10 Iago Aspas Iago Aspas 1 👟 20' F 6.79
25 Iván Villar Iván Villar G 0.00
22 Javi Galán Javi Galán D 0.00
17 Javi Rueda Javi Rueda 45' D 6.47
3 Marcos Alonso Marcos Alonso 13' D 6.82
Alaves Alaves 5-3-2
1 Sivera Sivera G 5.94
21 A. Rebbach A. Rebbach 88' D 6.90
2 N. Valentini N. Valentini D 6.49
16 V. Koski V. Koski D 6.83
17 Jonny Jonny 62' D 6.55
14 N. Tenaglia N. Tenaglia D 6.60
10 Carles Aleñá Carles Aleñá 62' M 6.34
8 Antonio Blanco Antonio Blanco 88' M 7.20
19 Pablo Ibáñez Pablo Ibáñez M 6.67
15 L. Boyé L. Boyé F 6.04
11 Toni Martínez Toni Martínez 62' F 6.39
Bench
13 A. Giménez A. Giménez G 0.00
20 Aitor Mañas Aitor Mañas 2' F 6.32
23 C. Benavídez C. Benavídez M 0.00
4 Denis Suárez Denis Suárez 28' M 6.09
31 G. Swiderski G. Swiderski G 0.00
6 Guevara Guevara 2' M 6.13
12 Hugo Novoa Hugo Novoa 1 ⚽ 28' F 7.46
9 M. Díaz M. Díaz 1 👟 28' F 6.57
22 Miguel Rodríguez Miguel Rodríguez F 0.00
24 Selu Diallo Selu Diallo M 0.00
27 X. Olaiz X. Olaiz D 0.00
3 Yusi Yusi D 0.00
Best on the pitch
Javi Rodríguez
Javi Rodríguez
D · Celta
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 67 pass
I. Radu
I. Radu
G · Celta
8.17
· 30 pass
Ferran Jutglà
Ferran Jutglà
F · Celta
7.74
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
Hugo Novoa
Hugo Novoa
F · Alaves
7.46
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
Antonio Blanco
Antonio Blanco
M · Alaves
7.20
· 66 pass
Yoel Lago
Yoel Lago
D · Celta
7.00
· 71 pass
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Radu G 90 8.17 — — 0 30 17% 0 — —
S. Cáceres D 77 6.60 — — 0 52 43% 5 1 —
Yoel Lago D 90 7.00 — — 0 71 66% 0 — —
Javi Rodríguez D 90 8.20 1 1 1 67 55% 0 — —
Hugo Álvarez M 90 6.90 — — 1 40 35% 0 — —
I. Moriba M 45 6.42 — — 0 18 17% 1 — —
H. Burcio M 70 6.64 — — 0 23 21% 4 — —
Sergio Carreira M 90 6.28 — — 1 48 38% 0 — —
W. Swedberg F 45 6.14 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Ferran Jutglà F 90 7.74 1 — 2 23 16% 1 — —
C. Driouech F 70 6.38 — — 1 20 14% 1 — —
Aleix Febas M 45 6.53 — — 0 15 13% 0 — —
Andrés Antañón M 20 6.66 — — 0 17 15% 1 — —
Iago Aspas F 20 6.79 — 1 0 17 12% 0 — —
Javi Rueda D 45 6.47 — — 0 12 10% 0 — —
Marcos Alonso D 13 6.82 — — 0 9 8% 2 — —
Alaves Alaves — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Sivera G 90 5.94 — — 0 28 18% 0 — —
A. Rebbach D 88 6.90 — — 1 34 26% 0 — —
N. Valentini D 90 6.49 — — 3 58 39% 2 — —
V. Koski D 90 6.83 — — 0 52 46% 2 — —
Jonny D 62 6.55 — — 1 45 39% 0 — —
N. Tenaglia D 90 6.60 — — 1 43 36% 2 — —
Carles Aleñá M 62 6.34 — — 1 33 29% 0 — —
Antonio Blanco M 88 7.20 — — 0 66 60% 2 — —
Pablo Ibáñez M 90 6.67 — — 2 40 35% 0 — —
L. Boyé F 90 6.04 — — 4 31 26% 2 — —
Toni Martínez F 62 6.39 — — 3 14 8% 1 1 —
Aitor Mañas F 2 6.32 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Denis Suárez M 28 6.09 — — 0 17 15% 0 — —
Guevara M 2 6.13 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
Hugo Novoa F 28 7.46 1 — 1 8 4% 3 — —
M. Díaz F 28 6.57 — 1 2 7 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
The final score was Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves.
What did the model predict before Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Celta Vigo win, 28% to a draw, and 34% to an Alaves win.