Celta Vigo - Bournemouth
Europa League
November 26, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.51%
Win
Celta Vigo
28.58%
Draw
37.91%
Win
Bournemouth
1.35
1.61
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.19%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
29%
2
38%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
62%
X2
67%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bournemouth a 37% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Celta Vigo. Expected goals are 1.3 for Celta Vigo and 1.6 for Bournemouth (total 3.0), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.19% probability.
Season Stats
7W
2D
6L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
4.3
Shots OT
3.0
3.8
Corners
3.0
49%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
93%
BTTS
4W
1D
2L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
1.6
gls/g
2.0
1.3
Conceded
1.0
57%
Win %
100%
71%
Win or Draw
100%
86%
O 1.5
100%
71%
O 2.5
100%
29%
O 3.5
0%
86%
BTTS
100%
14%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Celta Vigo
Bournemouth →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Celta Vigo
Attack
32
Defence
67
Form
34
Bournemouth
Attack
45
Defence
63
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth?
The model gives Celta Vigo a 33% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 37% for an Bournemouth win.
How many goals are expected in Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth?
Expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.3, Bournemouth 1.6 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.19%.