H. Alvarez
(ast. J. Rueda)
14'
I. Aspas
(ast. F. Jutgla)
30'
B. Iglesias
(ast. W. Swedberg)
85'
(pen.)
82'
Andre Silva
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celta Vigo a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Elche 26%). The final result was Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche. In 2 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Elche.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
4
0.82
Actual xG
1.45
3
Saves
1
33%
Possession
67%
4
Corners
2
21
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Alvarez
· ast. J. Rueda
14'
28'
G. Villar
⚽I. Aspas
· ast. F. Jutgla
30'
J. Rueda
41'
J. Rueda
/ M. Fernandez
46'
58'
V. Chust
/
D. Affengruber
58'
M. Neto
/
G. Villar
I. Aspas
/ J. El Abdellaoui
63'
69'
H. Fort
/
Tete Morente
69'
Josan
/
A. Pedrosa
F. Jutgla
/ B. Iglesias
71'
H. Alvarez
/ W. Swedberg
71'
77'
L. Cepeda
/
M. Aguado
A. Nunez
/ O. Mingueza
78'
82'
(pen.)
Andre Silva⚽
Y. Lago
83'
⚽B. Iglesias
· ast. W. Swedberg
85'
Pre-match prediction
49.45%
Celta ←
23.56%
X
26.99%
Elche
we assigned to the actual result (Celta Vigo)
49.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
0.82
-0.8
1.17
1.45
+0.28
Elche dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
I. Radu
G
I. Radu
G
14
Álvaro Núñez
78'
D
Álvaro Núñez
78'
D
29
Yoel Lago
D
Yoel Lago
D
32
Javi Rodríguez
D
Javi Rodríguez
D
5
M
6
I. Moriba
M
I. Moriba
M
8
Fer López
M
Fer López
M
17
Javi Rueda
1 👟
45'
M
Javi Rueda
1 👟
45'
M
23
Hugo Álvarez
1 ⚽
71'
F
Hugo Álvarez
1 ⚽
71'
F
10
Iago Aspas
1 ⚽
63'
F
Iago Aspas
1 ⚽
63'
F
9
Ferran Jutglà
1 👟
71'
F
Ferran Jutglà
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
36
Andrés Antañón
M
Andrés Antañón
M
7
Borja Iglesias
1 ⚽
19'
F
Borja Iglesias
1 ⚽
19'
F
22
Hugo Sotelo
M
Hugo Sotelo
M
3
Óscar Mingueza
12'
D
Óscar Mingueza
12'
D
18
Pablo Durán
F
Pablo Durán
F
19
W. Swedberg
1 👟
19'
M
W. Swedberg
1 👟
19'
M
1
G
6
Bigas
D
Bigas
D
22
D. Affengruber
58'
D
D. Affengruber
58'
D
18
John Nwankwo
D
John Nwankwo
D
3
Adrià Pedrosa
69'
M
14
Aleix Febas
M
Aleix Febas
M
8
Marc Aguado
77'
M
Marc Aguado
77'
M
15
Tete Morente
69'
M
Tete Morente
69'
M
12
Gonzalo Villar
58'
F
Gonzalo Villar
58'
F
9
André Silva
1 ⚽
F
André Silva
1 ⚽
F
20
Á. Rodríguez
F
Á. Rodríguez
F
Bench
42
Buba Sangaré
D
Buba Sangaré
D
19
G. Diangana
F
G. Diangana
F
39
Héctor Fort
21'
D
Héctor Fort
21'
D
24
L. Cepeda
13'
F
L. Cepeda
13'
F
21
Léo Pétrot
D
Léo Pétrot
D
16
Martim Neto
32'
M
Martim Neto
32'
M
23
Víctor Chust
32'
D
Víctor Chust
32'
D
Best on the pitch
Hugo Álvarez
F · Celta
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Ferran Jutglà
F · Celta
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
Iago Aspas
F · Celta
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Borja Iglesias
F · Celta
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Gonzalo Villar
F · Elche
7.30
· 41 pass
Javi Rueda
M · Celta
7.30
1 👟
· 12 pass
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Núñez | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — | |
| I. Moriba | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Fer López | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 71 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 63 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 71 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 19 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Elche — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | — | — | — | |
| Bigas | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 83 | 76% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Affengruber | D | 58 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| John Nwankwo | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Adrià Pedrosa | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Aguado | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Tete Morente | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | F | 58 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | — | 1 | — |
| André Silva | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Á. Rodríguez | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Héctor Fort | D | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Cepeda | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Martim Neto | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 34% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Elche?
The final score was Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche.
What did the model predict before Celta Vigo vs Elche?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Celta Vigo win, 23% to a draw, and 26% to an Elche win.