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La Liga · Regular Season - 34 May 03, 2026 14:00 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
Celta Vigo
#6 · 54 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Elche
#15 · 43 pts
H. Alvarez (ast. J. Rueda) 14'
I. Aspas (ast. F. Jutgla) 30'
B. Iglesias (ast. W. Swedberg) 85'
(pen.) 82' Andre Silva
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celta Vigo a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Elche 26%). The final result was Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche. In 1 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Elche.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
4
0.82
Actual xG
1.45
3
Saves
1
33%
Possession
67%
4
Corners
2
21
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Alvarez · ast. J. Rueda
14'
28'
G. Villar
⚽I. Aspas · ast. F. Jutgla
30'
J. Rueda
41'
↕ J. Rueda / M. Fernandez
46'
58'
V. Chust / D. Affengruber ↕
58'
M. Neto / G. Villar ↕
↕ I. Aspas / J. El Abdellaoui
63'
69'
H. Fort / Tete Morente ↕
69'
Josan / A. Pedrosa ↕
↕ F. Jutgla / B. Iglesias
71'
↕ H. Alvarez / W. Swedberg
71'
77'
L. Cepeda / M. Aguado ↕
↕ A. Nunez / O. Mingueza
78'
82'
(pen.) Andre Silva⚽
Y. Lago
83'
⚽B. Iglesias · ast. W. Swedberg
85'
Pre-match prediction
49.45%
Celta ←
23.56%
X
26.99%
Elche
we assigned to the actual result (Celta Vigo) 49.45% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Celta
1.62
0.82
-0.8
Elche
1.17
1.45
+0.28
Elche dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.82). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 38 86
3 Villarreal Villarreal 38 72
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Real Betis 38 60
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe Getafe 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 38 50
9 Valencia Valencia 38 49
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 38 46
11 Espanyol Espanyol 38 46
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 38 45
13 Sevilla Sevilla 38 43
14 Alaves Alaves 38 43
15 Elche Elche 38 43
16 Levante Levante 38 42
17 Osasuna Osasuna 38 42
18 Mallorca Mallorca 38 42
19 Girona Girona 38 41
20 Oviedo Oviedo 38 29
Lineups
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1
13 Ionuț Radu Ionuț Radu G 6.90
14 Alvaro Núñez Alvaro Núñez 78' D 6.30
29 Yoel Lago Yoel Lago D 6.60
32 Javi Rodríguez Javi Rodríguez D 6.90
5
M 6.90
6 I. Moriba I. Moriba M 6.90
8 Fer López Fer López M 6.90
17 Javi Rueda Javi Rueda 1 👟 45' M 7.30
23 Hugo Álvarez Hugo Álvarez 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.90
10 Iago Aspas Iago Aspas 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.70
9 Ferran Jutglà Ferran Jutglà 1 👟 71' F 7.70
Bench
36 Andrés Antañón Andrés Antañón M
7 Borja Iglesias Borja Iglesias 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.60
22 Hugo Sotelo Hugo Sotelo M
3 Óscar Mingueza Óscar Mingueza 12' D 6.20
18 Pablo Durán Pablo Durán F
19 W. Swedberg W. Swedberg 1 👟 19' M 6.90
Elche Elche 3-4-1-2
1
G 6.90
6 Pedro Bigas Pedro Bigas D 6.70
22 David Affengruber David Affengruber 58' D 5.90
18 John Donald John Donald D 6.50
3 Adrià Pedrosa Adrià Pedrosa 69' M 6.30
14 Aleix Febas Aleix Febas M 7.00
8 Marc Aguado Marc Aguado 77' M 6.70
15 Tete Morente Tete Morente 69' M 6.50
12 Gonzalo Villar Gonzalo Villar 58' F 7.30
9 André Silva André Silva 1 ⚽ F 7.20
20 Álvaro Rodriguez Álvaro Rodriguez F 6.60
Bench
42 Buba Sangare Buba Sangare D
19 Grady Diangana Grady Diangana F
39 Hector Fort Hector Fort 21' D 6.20
21 Léo Pétrot Léo Pétrot D
24 Lucas Cepeda Lucas Cepeda 13' F 6.30
16 Martim Neto Martim Neto 32' M 6.30
23 Víctor Chust Víctor Chust 32' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
Hugo Álvarez
Hugo Álvarez
F · Celta
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Ferran Jutglà
Ferran Jutglà
F · Celta
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 24 pass
Iago Aspas
Iago Aspas
F · Celta
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Borja Iglesias
Borja Iglesias
F · Celta
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar
F · Elche
7.30
· 41 pass
Javi Rueda
Javi Rueda
M · Celta
7.30
1 👟
· 12 pass
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ionuț Radu G 90 6.90 — — — 40 20% — — —
Alvaro Núñez D 78 6.30 — — — 24 17% 1 — —
Yoel Lago D 90 6.60 — — — 35 26% 2 1 —
Javi Rodríguez D 90 6.90 — — 1 32 26% 3 — —
M 90 6.90 — — — 28 25% 2 — —
I. Moriba M 90 6.90 — — — 20 17% 3 — —
Fer López M 90 6.90 — — — 22 20% 4 — —
Javi Rueda M 45 7.30 — 1 — 12 9% — 1 —
Hugo Álvarez F 71 7.90 1 — 1 17 14% 1 — —
Iago Aspas F 63 7.70 1 — 1 18 11% 2 — —
Ferran Jutglà F 71 7.70 — 1 1 24 19% 1 — —
Borja Iglesias F 19 7.60 1 — 1 10 9% — — —
Óscar Mingueza D 12 6.20 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
W. Swedberg M 19 6.90 — 1 — 4 4% 1 — —
Elche Elche — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 57 50% — — —
Pedro Bigas D 90 6.70 — — — 83 76% 1 — —
David Affengruber D 58 5.90 — — 1 60 54% 2 — —
John Donald D 90 6.50 — — 1 53 49% 3 — —
Adrià Pedrosa M 69 6.30 — — — 26 22% 1 — —
Aleix Febas M 90 7.00 — — — 69 61% 2 — —
Marc Aguado M 77 6.70 — — 1 53 51% 1 — —
Tete Morente M 69 6.50 — — 1 31 27% — — —
Gonzalo Villar F 58 7.30 — — — 41 39% — 1 —
André Silva F 90 7.20 1 — 3 29 23% — — —
Álvaro Rodriguez F 90 6.60 — — 2 17 10% 1 — —
Hector Fort D 21 6.20 — — 1 7 6% — — —
Lucas Cepeda F 13 6.30 — — 1 5 5% — — —
Martim Neto M 32 6.30 — — — 18 18% 1 — —
Víctor Chust D 32 6.20 — — 1 35 34% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Elche?
The final score was Celta Vigo 3–1 Elche.
What did the model predict before Celta Vigo vs Elche?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Celta Vigo win, 23% to a draw, and 26% to an Elche win.