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Celta Vigo - Lillestrom

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Celta Vigo
#8 · 0 pts
vs
Lillestrom
#20 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.1%
Win
Celta Vigo
28.89%
Draw
29.01%
Win
Lillestrom
1.39
Expected xG
0.95

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.25%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 29%
2 29%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 71%
X2 58%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celta Vigo a 42% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Lillestrom. Expected goals are 1.4 for Celta Vigo and 0.9 for Lillestrom (total 2.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.25% probability.

Season Stats

Celta Vigo
7W 2D 5L
Lillestrom
1W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.0
1.4
Conceded
0.5
4.2
Shots OT
2.5
3.4
Corners
6.0
49%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
50%
71%
O 2.5
50%
71%
BTTS
50%
21%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 14 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
43%
BTTS
Celta Vigo
4W 1D 2L · at home
Lillestrom
0W 1D 0L · away
1.6
gls/g
0.0
1.3
Conceded
0.0
57%
Win %
0%
71%
Win or Draw
100%
86%
O 1.5
0%
71%
O 2.5
0%
29%
O 3.5
0%
86%
BTTS
0%
14%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Celta Vigo Lillestrom →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
L SC Freiburg 1–3
L SC Freiburg 3–0
W Lyon 0–2
D Lyon 1–1
W PAOK 1–0
Lillestrom Lillestrom
W Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–1
D Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0

Playing profile

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Attack
31
Defence
64
Form
43
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Attack
41
Defence
66
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?
The model gives Celta Vigo a 42% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 29% for an Lillestrom win.
How many goals are expected in Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?
Expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.4, Lillestrom 0.9 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.25%.