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Celta Vigo - Lillestrom

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Celta Vigo
#25 · 3 pts
vs
Lillestrom
#31 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.1%
Win
Celta Vigo
28.89%
Draw
29.01%
Win
Lillestrom
1.39
Expected xG
0.95

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.25%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 42%
X 29%
2 29%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 71%
X2 58%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 57%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celta Vigo a 42% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Lillestrom. Expected goals are 1.4 for Celta Vigo and 0.9 for Lillestrom (total 2.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.25% probability.

Season Stats

Celta Vigo
7W 2D 6L
Lillestrom
1W 2D 2L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
0.8
1.3
Conceded
2.0
4.0
Shots OT
3.0
3.9
Corners
5.4
49%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
13%
O 3.5
69%
BTTS
Celta Vigo
4W 1D 3L · at home
Lillestrom
0W 2D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
0.5
1.4
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
0%
63%
Win or Draw
100%
88%
O 1.5
50%
75%
O 2.5
0%
25%
O 3.5
0%
88%
BTTS
50%
13%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 8
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Celta Vigo Lillestrom →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
W Celtic 1–2
L Juventus 1–2
L Omonia Nicosia 1–0
L SC Freiburg 1–3
L SC Freiburg 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Lillestrom Lillestrom
L Real Sociedad 0–6
D Sparta Praha 1–1
L Torreense 1–2
W Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–1
D Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Attack
35
Defence
69
Form
45
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Attack
47
Defence
45
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?
The model gives Celta Vigo a 42% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 29% for an Lillestrom win.
How many goals are expected in Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?
Expected goals: Celta Vigo 1.4, Lillestrom 0.9 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.25%.