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La Liga · Regular Season - 1 August 27, 2026 20:30 Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo
Celta Vigo
#16 · 3 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Osasuna
#11 · 7 pts
I. Aspas (ast. M. Roman) 14'
54' (ast. R. Garcia) K. Barja
(pen.) 64' A. Budimir
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celta Vigo a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Osasuna 31%). The final result was Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna. In 2 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Osasuna.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
5
0.13
Actual xG
2.68
2
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
3
7
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽I. Aspas · ast. M. Roman
14'
27'
J. Moncayola
46'
I. Munoz / J. Moncayola ↕
M. Alonso
51'
↕ I. Aspas / C. Starfelt
52'
54'
ast. R. Garcia · K. Barja⚽
58'
A. Budimir / J. Dubasin ↕
58'
R. Garcia / J. Herrando ↕
64'
(pen.) A. Budimir⚽
↕ J. Galan / S. Carreira
65'
↕ J. Rueda / H. Alvarez
65'
↕ W. Swedberg / J. El Abdellaoui
65'
74'
M. Gomez / K. Barja ↕
↕ P. Duran / F. Jutgla
79'
82'
A. Oroz / R. Garcia ↕
Pre-match prediction
36.84%
Celta
32.04%
X
31.11%
Osasuna ←
we assigned to the actual result (Osasuna) 31.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Celta
1.24
0.13
-1.11
Osasuna
1.05
2.68
+1.63
Osasuna dominated by xG (2.68 vs 0.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Alaves Alaves 5 10
3 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
11 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 6
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 4 1
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-4-3
13 I. Radu I. Radu G 5.90
3 Marcos Alonso Marcos Alonso 51' D 6.20
29 Yoel Lago Yoel Lago D 6.20
20 Javi Rodríguez Javi Rodríguez D 6.20
22 Javi Galán Javi Galán 65' M 6.30
6 I. Moriba I. Moriba M 6.50
8 Miguel Román Miguel Román 1 👟 M 6.90
17 Javi Rueda Javi Rueda 65' M 6.60
19 W. Swedberg W. Swedberg 65' F 6.90
11 Pablo Durán Pablo Durán 79' F 6.70
10 Iago Aspas Iago Aspas 1 ⚽ 52' F 7.60
Bench
1 A. Bayındır A. Bayındır G
4 A. Faye A. Faye D
14 Aleix Febas Aleix Febas M
15 Álvaro Núñez Álvaro Núñez D
28 Andrés Antañón Andrés Antañón M
2 C. Starfelt C. Starfelt 50' D 6.30
9 Ferran Jutglà Ferran Jutglà 23' F 6.60
30 H. Burcio H. Burcio M
23 Hugo Álvarez Hugo Álvarez 37' M 6.60
16 Hugo González Hugo González M
39 J. El Abdellaoui J. El Abdellaoui 37' F 6.30
5 Sergio Carreira Sergio Carreira 37' D 8.00
Osasuna Osasuna 5-4-1
1 Sergio Herrera Sergio Herrera G 6.30
23 Abel Bretones Abel Bretones D 6.30
5 Jorge Herrando Jorge Herrando 58' D 6.50
24 Catena Catena D 7.50
29 Asier Osambela Asier Osambela D 6.90
27 Íñigo Arguibide Íñigo Arguibide D 6.20
11 Kike Barja Kike Barja 1 ⚽ 74' M 7.30
6 Lucas Torró Lucas Torró M 6.60
7 Moncayola Moncayola 45' M 6.20
21 Jonathan Dubasin Jonathan Dubasin 58' M 6.30
9 Raúl García Raúl García 1 👟 82' F 6.60
Bench
17 A. Budimir A. Budimir 1 ⚽ 44' F 7.00
10 Aimar Oroz Aimar Oroz 20' M 6.50
13 Aitor Fernández Aitor Fernández G
15 Diego Rico Diego Rico D
22 F. Boyomo F. Boyomo D
8 Iker Muñoz Iker Muñoz 57' M 6.90
26 Mauro Echegoyen Mauro Echegoyen M
16 Moi Gómez Moi Gómez 28' F 6.60
18 Raul Moro Raul Moro F
14 Rubén García Rubén García 44' M 6.90
35 U. Santos U. Santos D
Best on the pitch
Sergio Carreira
Sergio Carreira
D · Celta
8.00
· 23 pass
Iago Aspas
Iago Aspas
F · Celta
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Catena
Catena
D · Osasuna
7.50
· 92 pass
Kike Barja
Kike Barja
M · Osasuna
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
A. Budimir
A. Budimir
F · Osasuna
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 2 pass
Asier Osambela
Asier Osambela
D · Osasuna
6.90
· 78 pass
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Radu G 102 5.90 — — — 44 27% — — —
Marcos Alonso D 51 6.20 — — — 74 66% — — 1
Yoel Lago D 102 6.20 — — — 58 54% 1 — —
Javi Rodríguez D 102 6.20 — — — 72 65% — — —
Javi Galán M 65 6.30 — — — 39 29% 2 — —
I. Moriba M 102 6.50 — — — 61 57% 1 — —
Miguel Román M 102 6.90 — 1 — 76 70% — — —
Javi Rueda M 65 6.60 — — — 18 17% — — —
W. Swedberg F 65 6.90 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
Pablo Durán F 79 6.70 — — — 14 10% — — —
Iago Aspas F 52 7.60 1 — 1 23 18% — — —
C. Starfelt D 50 6.30 — — 1 22 22% 1 — —
Ferran Jutglà F 23 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
Hugo Álvarez M 37 6.60 — — — 14 11% — — —
J. El Abdellaoui F 37 6.30 — — 1 6 5% — — —
Sergio Carreira D 37 8.00 — — — 23 19% — — —
Osasuna Osasuna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Sergio Herrera G 102 6.30 — — — 16 12% — — —
Abel Bretones D 102 6.30 — — 1 45 41% 2 — —
Jorge Herrando D 58 6.50 — — — 40 34% — — —
Catena D 102 7.50 — — — 92 84% — — —
Asier Osambela D 102 6.90 — — — 78 66% 1 — —
Íñigo Arguibide D 102 6.20 — — — 35 29% 3 — —
Kike Barja M 74 7.30 1 — 2 27 24% 1 — —
Lucas Torró M 102 6.60 — — 1 56 47% 2 — —
Moncayola M 45 6.20 — — — 19 16% 2 1 —
Jonathan Dubasin M 58 6.30 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
Raúl García F 82 6.60 — 1 3 17 16% — — —
A. Budimir F 44 7.00 1 — 2 2 1% 2 — —
Aimar Oroz M 20 6.50 — — — 7 5% — — —
Iker Muñoz M 57 6.90 — — — 32 30% — — —
Moi Gómez F 28 6.60 — — — 11 10% — — —
Rubén García M 44 6.90 — — 1 25 23% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
The final score was Celta Vigo 1–2 Osasuna.
What did the model predict before Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Celta Vigo win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an Osasuna win.