✗Model wrong — prediction Celta Vigo, result Oviedo wins
4'
A. Reina
45'
(ast. I. Chaira)
F. Vinas
57'
(ast. T. Fernandez)
F. Vinas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celta Vigo a 64% win probability (draw 20%, Oviedo 14%). The final result was Celta Vigo 0–3 Oviedo. In 1 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Oviedo.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
0.91
Actual xG
1.71
3
Saves
6
68%
Possession
32%
4
Corners
1
18
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
A. Reina⚽
45'
ast. I. Chaira ·
F. Vinas⚽
M. Vecino
/ I. Moriba
46'
A. Antanon
/ I. Aspas
46'
Fer López
56'
57'
ast. T. Fernandez ·
F. Vinas⚽
P. Duran
/ B. Iglesias
60'
A. Nunez
/ O. Mingueza
60'
W. Swedberg
/ F. Jutgla
60'
66'
H. Hassan
/
T. Fernandez
69'
Nicolas Fonseca
74'
D. Costas
/
A. Reina
74'
S. Colombatto
/
N. Fonseca
83'
T. Borbas
/
F. Vinas
83'
R. Alhassane
/
I. Chaira
90'+2
Abdel Rahim
Pre-match prediction
64.46%
Celta
20.7%
X
14.83%
Oviedo ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Oviedo)
14.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
0.91
-1.04
0.70
1.71
+1.01
Oviedo dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
I. Radu
G
I. Radu
G
20
Marcos Alonso
D
Marcos Alonso
D
4
D
14
Álvaro Núñez
60'
D
Álvaro Núñez
60'
D
5
M
15
Matías Vecino
45'
M
Matías Vecino
45'
M
8
Fer López
M
Fer López
M
17
Javi Rueda
M
Javi Rueda
M
19
W. Swedberg
60'
F
W. Swedberg
60'
F
18
Pablo Durán
60'
F
Pablo Durán
60'
F
36
Andrés Antañón
45'
F
Andrés Antañón
45'
F
Bench
7
Borja Iglesias
35'
F
Borja Iglesias
35'
F
9
Ferran Jutglà
35'
F
Ferran Jutglà
35'
F
22
Hugo Sotelo
M
Hugo Sotelo
M
10
Iago Aspas
50'
F
Iago Aspas
50'
F
6
I. Moriba
50'
M
I. Moriba
50'
M
3
Óscar Mingueza
35'
D
Óscar Mingueza
35'
D
29
Yoel Lago
D
Yoel Lago
D
13
Aarón Escandell
G
Aarón Escandell
G
25
Javi López
D
Javi López
D
12
D
2
E. Bailly
D
E. Bailly
D
22
Nacho Vidal
D
Nacho Vidal
D
23
N. Fonseca
74'
M
N. Fonseca
74'
M
6
K. Sibo
M
K. Sibo
M
15
T. Fernández
1 👟
66'
M
T. Fernández
1 👟
66'
M
5
Alberto Reina
1 ⚽
74'
M
Alberto Reina
1 ⚽
74'
M
7
Ilyas Chaira
1 👟
83'
M
Ilyas Chaira
1 👟
83'
M
9
F. Viñas
2 ⚽
83'
F
F. Viñas
2 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
16
David Carmo
D
David Carmo
D
10
H. Hassan
29'
F
H. Hassan
29'
F
3
R. Alhassane
12'
D
R. Alhassane
12'
D
11
Santiago Colombatto
21'
M
Santiago Colombatto
21'
M
Best on the pitch
F. Viñas
F · Oviedo
8.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
Alberto Reina
M · Oviedo
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Aarón Escandell
G · Oviedo
8.20
· 38 pass
E. Bailly
D · Oviedo
7.70
· 25 pass
Marcos Alonso
D · Celta
7.30
· 124 pass
Óscar Mingueza
D · Celta
7.30
· 28 pass
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 124 | 110% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 81 | 72% | — | — | — | |
| Álvaro Núñez | D | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 82 | 69% | — | — | — | |
| Matías Vecino | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Fer López | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 50 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 44% | 5 | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 35 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
Oviedo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell | G | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Javi López | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 3 | — | — | |
| E. Bailly | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Nacho Vidal | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| N. Fonseca | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Sibo | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Fernández | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Alberto Reina | M | 74 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Ilyas Chaira | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Viñas | F | 83 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 28 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Hassan | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Alhassane | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Santiago Colombatto | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Oviedo?
The final score was Celta Vigo 0–3 Oviedo.
What did the model predict before Celta Vigo vs Oviedo?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Celta Vigo win, 20% to a draw, and 14% to an Oviedo win.